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Saturday, March 6, 2027 (3:00 PM ET)
KeyBank Center | ABC
51% win probability Game Projection 49% win probability
NYR is expected to score 3.09 goals BUF is expected to score 3.26 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on November 3, 2026 at 3:14 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Record 7-7-1 7-4-3
L10 Record 3-6-1 5-2-3
Pts% 50.00% 60.71%
Division Rank 5 (Metropolitan) 7 (Atlantic)
Conference Rank 13 (Eastern) 9 (Eastern)
Projected Points 91.44 89.74
xGF/G 2.91 ● +0.303.21
xGA/G 2.76+0.47 ● 3.23
xGF% 51.32%+1.43 ● 49.89%
L10 xGF 30.90 ● +0.6731.57
L10 xGA 27.69+7.50 ● 35.19
L10 xGF% 52.74%+5.45 ● 47.29%
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.45 10 7 17 14 19:25 6.3 3.7 63 15.9 0.100 5.8 163 72 44.2 0.91 -0.23 0.68
NYR Pavel Dorofeyev (R) 0.45 4 5 9 15 17:26 6.7 -2.7 43 9.3 0.157 -6.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.40 8 6 14 14 19:16 5.7 2.3 40 20.0 0.142 5.8 3 2 66.7 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Zach Benson (L)+ 0.40 2 11 13 14 19:57 5.7 -4.7 33 6.1 0.172 -11.1 13 4 30.8 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.38 1 0 1 5 11:36 1.9 -0.9 10 10.0 0.189 -8.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR Will Cuylle (L) 0.37 4 4 8 15 16:05 5.5 -1.5 33 12.1 0.166 -4.5 39 21 53.8 0.00 -0.10 -0.10
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.33 4 5 9 14 18:53 4.7 -0.7 33 12.1 0.141 -2.0 128 46 35.9 0.03 -0.17 -0.14
NYR Alexis Lafrenière (L) 0.32 9 7 16 15 18:56 4.8 2.2 36 25.0 0.133 11.7 15 6 40.0 0.18 0.00 0.18
NYR Gabe Perreault (R) 0.29 4 3 7 15 16:37 4.4 -0.4 30 13.3 0.147 -1.3 3 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR J.T. Miller (C) 0.28 4 6 10 15 18:38 4.2 -0.2 24 16.7 0.174 -0.8 251 141 56.2 0.81 -0.10 0.71
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.20 2 1 3 14 15:24 2.8 -0.8 23 8.7 0.123 -3.6 5 2 40.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.20 5 2 7 15 11:11 3.0 2.0 21 23.8 0.141 9.7 2 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR Mika Zibanejad (C) 0.19 3 9 12 15 20:39 2.8 -0.8 29 10.3 0.097 0.6 252 135 53.6 0.46 -0.23 0.24
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.19 2 1 3 14 14:29 2.6 -0.6 15 13.3 0.173 -4.0 134 69 51.5 0.13 -0.47 -0.34
BUF Jiri Kulich (C) 0.18 1 2 3 8 13:09 1.4 -0.4 9 11.1 0.159 -4.8 55 28 50.9 0.00 -0.14 -0.14
NYR Tye Kartye (L) 0.17 4 6 10 15 15:35 2.6 1.4 21 19.0 0.124 6.6 8 3 37.5 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR Luke Glendening (C) 0.17 0 0 0 3 7:04 0.5 -0.5 2 0.0 0.260 -26.0 20 15 75.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Konsta Helenius (C)+ 0.12 1 2 3 11 12:59 1.3 -0.3 12 8.3 0.112 -2.9 8 1 12.5 0.00 -0.01 -0.01
NYR Eeli Tolvanen (R) 0.12 3 1 4 15 12:30 1.7 -0.7 17 17.6 0.103 7.4 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.11 1 2 3 14 15:03 1.5 -0.5 13 7.7 0.116 -4.0 154 80 51.9 0.23 -0.23 0.00
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.09 0 7 7 14 13:41 1.3 -1.3 7 0.0 0.179 -17.9 50 24 48.0 0.17 0.00 0.17
NYR Matt Rempe (C) 0.09 0 0 0 2 6:46 0.2 -0.2 1 0.0 0.175 -17.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR Noah Laba (C) 0.08 0 4 4 15 14:48 1.3 -1.3 11 0.0 0.115 -11.5 184 108 58.7 0.20 -0.19 0.01
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.07 0 2 2 14 11:00 1.0 -1.0 7 0.0 0.145 -14.5 7 4 57.1 0.00 -0.11 -0.11
NYR Jaroslav Chmelar (R) 0.06 0 0 0 7 8:14 0.4 -0.4 3 0.0 0.141 -14.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Sam Carrick (C) 0.05 0 1 1 6 7:39 0.3 -0.3 5 0.0 0.058 -5.8 20 11 55.0 0.00 -0.01 -0.01
BUF Justin Danforth (R)+ 0.04 0 0 0 6 9:09 0.3 -0.3 1 0.0 0.251 -25.1 40 20 50.0 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
NYR Joe Veleno (C) 0.03 0 0 0 4 11:37 0.1 -0.1 2 0.0 0.061 -6.1 39 21 53.8 0.00 -0.04 -0.04
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.03 1 0 1 6 11:05 0.2 0.8 2 50.0 0.090 41.0 36 14 38.9 0.00 -0.10 -0.10
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.21 2 7 9 11 24:39 2.3 -0.3 33 6.1 0.070 -0.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR Scott Morrow (D) 0.16 0 1 1 1 15:02 0.2 -0.2 3 0.0 0.054 -5.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Olen Zellweger (D) 0.14 3 3 6 13 19:46 1.8 1.2 27 11.1 0.067 4.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.11 2 9 11 14 26:38 1.6 0.4 18 11.1 0.087 2.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.10 2 7 9 14 23:50 1.4 0.6 21 9.5 0.067 2.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR Adam Fox (D) 0.08 1 16 17 15 22:11 1.2 -0.2 19 5.3 0.062 -0.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR Braden Schneider (D) 0.06 0 2 2 15 17:43 0.9 -0.9 23 0.0 0.038 -3.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR Vladislav Gavrikov (D) 0.06 1 5 6 15 21:17 0.8 0.2 23 4.3 0.036 0.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR Alberts Smits (D) 0.04 0 0 0 15 14:43 0.6 -0.6 6 0.0 0.099 -9.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR Sean Durzi (D)+ 0.04 2 3 5 14 19:47 0.5 1.5 12 16.7 0.043 12.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Louis Crevier (D) 0.03 0 1 1 14 13:12 0.5 -0.5 12 0.0 0.038 -3.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.03 0 2 2 12 12:20 0.4 -0.4 7 0.0 0.051 -5.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
NYR Marcus Pettersson (D) 0.02 0 2 2 15 20:39 0.3 -0.3 9 0.0 0.038 -3.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Matt Grzelcyk (D)+ 0.00 0 0 0 1 14:27 0.0 - 0 - - - 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
NYR Igor Shesterkin (G)+ +5.31% 5.8 1.79 0.927 3 5 1 60.0 0 8 109 101 13.8
BUF Colten Ellis (G) +0.11% 0.1 3.11 0.880 3 5 1 60.0 1 14 117 103 14.1
NYR Dylan Garand (G) -0.59% -1.5 2.73 0.897 4 11 6 36.4 1 26 252 226 24.5
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -0.75% -2.0 3.40 0.873 4 10 3 40.0 0 33 260 227 31.0
NYR James Reimer (G) -23.28% -1.9 9.00 0.625 0 1 0 0.0 0 3 8 5 1.1