The probabilities above reflect the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations, using the output from the bpdatabases Game Projections model. Thus, a 0% probability does not necessarily mean the team is eliminated; rather, the team did not make the playoffs in any of the simulations.

Key games include same-conference games in the next 7 days between teams within 4 points of each other. The "Bubble Games" are between teams ranked 3rd-6th in their division who are close to the wild card cutoff. The "Seeding Games" are between teams currently in a playoff spot.