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Thursday, March 18, 2027 (7:30 PM ET)
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51% Win Probability
49% Win Probability
WSH is expected to score 3.09 goals BUF is expected to score 3.37 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on November 1, 2026 at 3:13 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Washington Capitals Buffalo Sabres
Record 8-4-0 7-4-3
L10 Record 7-3-0 5-2-3
Pts% 66.67% 60.71%
Division Rank 3 (Metropolitan) 7 (Atlantic)
Conference Rank 10 (Eastern) 9 (Eastern)
Projected Points 93.83 89.29
xGF/G 3.24+0.02 ● 3.21
xGA/G 3.22+0.00 ● 3.23
xGF% 50.10%+0.21 ● 49.89%
L10 xGF 33.28+1.71 ● 31.57
L10 xGA 32.19+3.00 ● 35.19
L10 xGF% 50.83%+3.54 ● 47.29%
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.45 10 7 17 14 19:25 6.3 3.7 63 15.9 0.100 5.8 163 72 44.2 0.91 -0.23 0.68
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.40 8 6 14 14 19:16 5.7 2.3 40 20.0 0.142 5.8 3 2 66.7 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.40 2 11 13 14 19:57 5.7 -4.7 33 6.1 0.172 -11.1 13 4 30.8 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Alex Tuch (R) 0.40 10 2 12 12 18:58 4.8 4.2 33 30.3 0.145 15.8 24 12 50.0 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.38 1 0 1 5 11:36 1.9 -0.9 10 10.0 0.189 -8.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Dylan Strome (C) 0.36 3 9 12 12 17:07 4.4 -1.4 26 11.5 0.168 -5.2 189 97 51.3 0.58 -0.20 0.39
WSH Ryan Leonard (R) 0.35 4 4 8 12 14:16 4.2 -0.2 32 12.5 0.131 -0.6 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.33 4 5 9 14 18:53 4.7 -0.7 33 12.1 0.141 -2.0 128 46 35.9 0.03 -0.17 -0.14
WSH Tom Wilson (R) 0.27 2 3 5 12 18:37 3.3 -2.3 26 7.7 0.126 -4.9 2 0 0.0 0.00 -0.16 -0.16
WSH Boone Jenner (C) 0.22 5 1 6 12 16:00 2.6 2.4 26 19.2 0.101 9.2 160 87 54.4 0.26 -0.27 0.00
WSH Pierre-Luc Dubois (C) 0.21 1 6 7 7 16:40 1.5 -0.5 11 9.1 0.135 -4.4 104 39 37.5 0.02 -0.15 -0.12
WSH Alex Ovechkin (L) 0.20 1 3 4 12 13:32 2.5 -1.5 19 5.3 0.129 -7.6 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.20 2 1 3 14 15:24 2.8 -0.8 23 8.7 0.123 -3.6 5 2 40.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Aliaksei Protas (L) 0.19 1 4 5 12 16:19 2.3 -1.3 16 6.3 0.141 -7.8 10 7 70.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.19 2 1 3 14 14:29 2.6 -0.6 15 13.3 0.173 -4.0 134 69 51.5 0.13 -0.47 -0.34
BUF Jiri Kulich (C)+ 0.18 1 2 3 8 13:09 1.4 -0.4 9 11.1 0.159 -4.8 55 28 50.9 0.00 -0.14 -0.14
WSH Jordan Kyrou (R) 0.17 4 7 11 12 14:09 2.0 2.0 22 18.2 0.092 8.9 3 1 33.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Ilya Protas (L) 0.16 1 4 5 12 11:44 1.9 -0.9 10 10.0 0.194 -9.4 91 45 49.5 0.11 -0.15 -0.04
WSH Justin Sourdif (C) 0.13 1 1 2 10 13:42 1.3 -0.3 9 11.1 0.143 -3.2 61 32 52.5 0.00 -0.08 -0.08
WSH Ivan Miroshnichenko (L) 0.12 1 0 1 3 11:03 0.4 0.6 1 100.0 0.371 62.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Konsta Helenius (C)+ 0.12 1 2 3 11 12:59 1.3 -0.3 12 8.3 0.112 -2.9 8 1 12.5 0.00 -0.01 -0.01
WSH Ethen Frank (R) 0.11 0 0 0 2 9:43 0.2 -0.2 2 0.0 0.112 -11.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.11 1 2 3 14 15:03 1.5 -0.5 13 7.7 0.116 -4.0 154 80 51.9 0.23 -0.23 0.00
WSH Anthony Beauvillier (R) 0.10 1 1 2 12 11:17 1.2 -0.2 12 8.3 0.102 -1.9 10 4 40.0 0.01 0.00 0.01
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.09 0 7 7 14 13:41 1.3 -1.3 7 0.0 0.179 -17.9 50 24 48.0 0.17 0.00 0.17
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.07 0 2 2 14 11:00 1.0 -1.0 7 0.0 0.145 -14.5 7 4 57.1 0.00 -0.11 -0.11
BUF Sam Carrick (C) 0.05 0 1 1 6 7:39 0.3 -0.3 5 0.0 0.058 -5.8 20 11 55.0 0.00 -0.01 -0.01
BUF Justin Danforth (R)+ 0.04 0 0 0 6 9:09 0.3 -0.3 1 0.0 0.251 -25.1 40 20 50.0 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.03 1 0 1 6 11:05 0.2 0.8 2 50.0 0.090 41.0 36 14 38.9 0.00 -0.10 -0.10
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.21 2 7 9 11 24:39 2.3 -0.3 33 6.1 0.070 -0.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Cole Hutson (D) 0.20 4 3 7 12 19:04 2.4 1.6 25 16.0 0.095 6.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Jakob Chychrun (D) 0.19 1 8 9 12 24:16 2.3 -1.3 37 2.7 0.062 -3.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Olen Zellweger (D) 0.14 3 3 6 13 19:46 1.8 1.2 27 11.1 0.067 4.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.11 2 9 11 14 26:38 1.6 0.4 18 11.1 0.087 2.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.10 2 7 9 14 23:50 1.4 0.6 21 9.5 0.067 2.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Matt Roy (D) 0.08 0 1 1 6 20:21 0.5 -0.5 5 0.0 0.100 -10.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Martin Fehérváry (D) 0.04 0 3 3 12 21:57 0.5 -0.5 6 0.0 0.083 -8.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Timothy Liljegren (D) 0.04 1 0 1 12 17:26 0.4 0.6 6 16.7 0.072 9.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Dennis Gilbert (D) 0.03 1 1 2 5 9:55 0.2 0.8 1 100.0 0.174 82.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Louis Crevier (D) 0.03 0 1 1 14 13:12 0.5 -0.5 12 0.0 0.038 -3.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.03 0 2 2 12 12:20 0.4 -0.4 7 0.0 0.051 -5.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Jack St. Ivany (D) 0.01 0 4 4 6 14:00 0.1 -0.1 2 0.0 0.036 -3.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Vincent Desharnais (D)+ 0.01 0 3 3 9 19:24 0.1 -0.1 3 0.0 0.033 -3.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Dylan McIlrath (D) 0.00 0 0 0 4 6:34 0.0 0.0 0 - - - 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Matt Grzelcyk (D)+ 0.00 0 0 0 1 14:27 0.0 - 0 - - - 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
WSH Logan Thompson (G) +2.15% 4.9 2.78 0.903 5 8 3 62.5 0 22 227 205 26.9
BUF Colten Ellis (G) +0.11% 0.1 3.11 0.880 3 5 1 60.0 1 14 117 103 14.1
WSH Charlie Lindgren (G) -0.19% -0.2 2.98 0.887 3 4 1 75.0 0 12 106 94 11.8
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -0.75% -2.0 3.40 0.873 4 10 3 40.0 0 33 260 227 31.0