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Monday, March 3, 2025 (6:30 PM ET)
Capital One Arena | MNMT
OTT
Ottawa Senators
4 – 5
Final/SO
Washington Capitals
 WSH
55% xGF%
45% xGF%
OTT was expected to score 4.90 goals WSH was expected to score 4.05 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 4 5 Cumulative xG OTT WSH Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Ottawa Senators Washington Capitals
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 11:26 2.73 2 5:44 0.78 1
Even Strength 47:50 2.17 2 47:50 3.28 3
Penalty Kill 5:44 0.01 0 11:26 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 37:31 1.73 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 14:58 1.23 1
Tied 12:14 0.95 0 12:14 1.10 2
Down 1 14:58 1.12 2 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 37:31 2.83 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Connor McMichael scores at 1:41 in the 1st period 0.28 xG (0-1)
  • ► Pierre-Luc Dubois scores at 3:34 in the 1st period 0.16 xG (0-2)
  • ► Tom Wilson scores at 6:53 in the 2nd period 0.14 xG (0-3)
  • ► Shane Pinto scores at 12:18 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (1-3)
  • ► Claude Giroux scores at 1:05 in the 3rd period 0.06 xG (2-3)
  • ► Shane Pinto scores at 8:01 in the 3rd period 0.10 xG (3-3)
  • ► Martin Fehérváry scores at 12:43 in the 3rd period 0.09 xG (3-4)
  • ► Brady Tkachuk scores at 18:52 in the 3rd period 0.16 xG (4-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
WSH WSH xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
OTT Tim Stützle (C) 1.01 0 2 2 28 25:11 6 -2 0 0
OTT Ridly Greig (C) 0.86 0 0 0 25 18:13 5 +2 0 0
WSH Connor McMichael (L) 0.73 1 1 2 23 15:07 5 +3 0 0
WSH Aliaksei Protas (L) 0.63 0 1 1 23 16:28 3 0 2 0
OTT Brady Tkachuk (L) 0.60 1 0 1 27 23:12 2 -1 5 1
WSH Pierre-Luc Dubois (C) 0.58 1 2 3 25 19:42 5 +2 2 0
OTT Shane Pinto (C) 0.49 2 0 2 31 18:03 3 +2 0 0
OTT Drake Batherson (R) 0.45 0 0 0 26 21:13 2 -1 2 0
OTT David Perron (L) 0.34 0 0 0 21 13:32 1 0 0 0
WSH Alex Ovechkin (L) 0.29 0 0 0 20 16:50 5 -1 2 0
WSH Lars Eller (C) 0.29 0 0 0 18 13:56 5 -1 2 0
WSH Tom Wilson (R) 0.29 1 1 2 24 20:14 3 +2 5 1
OTT Claude Giroux (R) 0.25 1 1 2 27 22:22 5 0 0 1
WSH Brandon Duhaime (L) 0.24 0 0 0 23 15:42 1 -1 0 0
WSH Andrew Mangiapane (L) 0.20 0 0 0 13 10:44 2 0 0 0
OTT Adam Gaudette (R) 0.16 0 0 0 11 07:53 2 0 0 0
WSH Nic Dowd (C) 0.16 0 0 0 27 18:04 1 0 0 0
OTT Josh Norris (C) 0.09 0 0 0 29 20:39 1 -1 0 0
WSH Dylan Strome (C) 0.03 0 1 1 20 14:36 1 -1 2 0
OTT Noah Gregor (L) 0.01 0 0 0 14 07:18 1 -1 0 0
OTT Matthew Highmore (C) 0.00 0 0 0 13 05:11 0 0 0 0
OTT Michael Amadio (R) 0.00 0 1 1 21 11:31 0 0 0 0
WSH Taylor Raddysh (R) 0.00 0 0 0 18 12:46 0 -1 2 0
WSH Ethen Frank (R) 0.00 0 0 0 11 09:58 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
OTT Thomas Chabot (D) 0.30 0 1 1 32 25:30 2 -1 0 0
WSH John Carlson (D) 0.25 0 0 0 25 25:05 3 0 0 0
WSH Martin Fehérváry (D) 0.23 1 1 2 22 21:37 2 +1 0 0
OTT Jake Sanderson (D) 0.22 0 3 3 33 31:49 3 0 0 0
OTT Nikolas Matinpalo (D) 0.08 0 0 0 20 11:50 1 0 0 0
WSH Matt Roy (D) 0.07 0 0 0 21 21:09 2 +1 0 0
WSH Jakob Chychrun (D) 0.04 0 0 0 22 21:00 2 +1 0 0
OTT Nick Jensen (D) 0.03 0 0 0 24 17:26 1 -1 2 0
WSH Trevor van Riemsdyk (D) 0.03 0 0 0 17 16:43 1 -1 0 0
OTT Travis Hamonic (D) 0.02 0 0 0 20 11:35 1 0 0 0
OTT Artem Zub (D) 0.01 0 0 0 29 20:08 1 0 0 0
WSH Rasmus Sandin (D) 0.00 0 1 1 21 16:44 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
WSH Logan Thompson (G) +2.45% 0.892 0.9 4 33 64:50 37 W 0
OTT Linus Ullmark (G) +0.13% 0.902 0.1 4 37 63:40 41 O 0