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Monday, March 10, 2025
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center (ESPN+)
EDM
Edmonton Oilers
2 – 3
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
59% xGF%
41% xGF%
EDM was expected to score 3.29 goals BUF was expected to score 2.26 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG EDM BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Edmonton Oilers Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 8:26 0.98 1 3:07 0.03 0
Even Strength 48:27 2.31 1 48:27 2.08 3
Penalty Kill 3:07 0.00 0 8:26 0.14 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 30:07 0.98 0
Tied 29:53 1.28 0 29:53 1.27 3
Down 1 30:07 2.00 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 13:28 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (0-1)
  • ► Darnell Nurse scores at 1:35 in the 2nd period 0.02 xG (1-1)
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 3:52 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (1-2)
  • ► Evan Bouchard scores at 9:12 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (2-2)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 3:20 in the 3rd period 0.15 xG (2-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
EDM Leon Draisaitl (C) 0.64 0 2 2 25 23:26 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (C) 0.51 0 0 0 22 19:13 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.39 1 0 1 26 19:09 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Connor McDavid (C) 0.32 0 1 1 21 26:01 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.31 2 0 2 21 15:29 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Viktor Arvidsson (L) 0.26 0 0 0 14 12:15 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Mattias Janmark (C) 0.25 0 0 0 16 12:22 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Connor Brown (R) 0.23 0 0 0 18 13:18 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.20 0 1 1 25 21:02 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.19 0 0 0 23 19:05 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Jeff Skinner (L) 0.19 0 0 0 14 11:56 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.17 0 0 0 22 14:37 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.17 0 0 0 18 13:53 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Zach Hyman (L) 0.16 0 0 0 20 22:18 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Sam Lafferty (C) 0.14 0 0 0 7 04:20 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.10 0 0 0 21 15:30 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF JJ Peterka (R) 0.09 0 0 0 22 17:31 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.06 0 0 0 10 06:29 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
EDM Corey Perry (R) 0.05 0 0 0 17 12:30 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Vasily Podkolzin (R) 0.01 0 0 0 13 09:37 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 14 10:07 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.00 0 1 1 25 17:55 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Max Jones (L) 0.00 0 0 0 12 09:55 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
EDM Adam Henrique (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 12:31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
EDM Evan Bouchard (D) 0.27 1 0 1 24 26:32 6 -2 0 1 0 0 0
EDM Darnell Nurse (D) 0.22 1 0 1 24 23:27 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.20 0 0 0 27 21:58 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.18 0 0 0 23 17:54 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Jake Walman (D) 0.09 0 0 0 25 19:59 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.03 0 0 0 28 23:53 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
EDM Ty Emberson (D) 0.03 0 0 0 18 11:27 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Brett Kulak (D) 0.02 0 0 0 23 20:09 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.02 0 0 0 26 22:15 1 +2 2 0 0 0 0
EDM Troy Stecher (D) 0.02 0 1 1 18 11:31 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 15:44 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Connor Clifton (D) 0.00 0 0 0 19 16:17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) +3.79% 0.941 1.3 2 32 60:00 34 W 0
EDM Stuart Skinner (G) -3.23% 0.870 -0.7 3 20 57:33 23 L 0