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Monday, November 17, 2025
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center (MSG-B)
EDM
Edmonton Oilers
1 – 5
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
37% xGF%
63% xGF%
EDM was expected to score 2.14 goals BUF was expected to score 3.63 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 2 Cumulative xG EDM BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Edmonton Oilers Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 3:54 0.47 0 2:27 0.40 1
Even Strength 53:39 1.67 1 53:39 3.23 3
Penalty Kill 2:27 0.00 0 3:54 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 30:17 1.71 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 6:28 0.63 1
Tied 23:15 0.68 0 23:15 1.29 2
Down 1 6:28 0.27 1 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 30:17 1.19 0 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Noah Ostlund scores at 19:03 in the 1st period 0.17 xG (0-1)
  • ► Jack Roslovic scores at 4:29 in the 2nd period 0.05 xG (1-1)
  • ► Bowen Byram scores at 8:41 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (1-2)
  • ► Beck Malenstyn scores at 9:43 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (1-3)
  • ► Noah Ostlund scores at 7:55 in the 3rd period 0.07 xG (1-4)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 17:37 in the 3rd period (1-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.65 0 0 0 25 18:52 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Zach Hyman (L) 0.40 0 0 0 22 22:06 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.39 1 0 1 22 18:29 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Leon Draisaitl (C) 0.37 0 1 1 21 23:07 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.33 0 1 1 18 12:29 2 +1 5 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.30 0 0 0 21 16:30 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.29 1 0 1 18 11:10 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Matt Savoie (C) 0.29 0 0 0 18 15:49 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.28 0 0 0 24 16:35 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.28 0 1 1 23 15:50 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.27 2 0 2 17 10:42 3 +2 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.23 0 0 0 24 16:48 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Trent Frederic (C) 0.21 0 0 0 16 12:24 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Isak Rosen (R) 0.18 0 1 1 21 14:52 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.16 0 0 0 23 17:51 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
EDM Curtis Lazar (C) 0.14 0 0 0 15 09:03 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Adam Henrique (C) 0.11 0 0 0 19 13:23 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Andrew Mangiapane (L) 0.09 0 1 1 17 13:33 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Jack Roslovic (C) 0.05 1 0 1 16 17:51 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Connor McDavid (C) 0.05 0 0 0 22 23:35 1 -2 2 0 0 0 0
EDM Vasily Podkolzin (R) 0.03 0 0 0 15 14:41 0 -1 5 0 0 0 0
EDM Noah Philp (C) 0.00 0 0 0 11 06:23 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Mattias Janmark (C) 0.00 0 0 0 13 08:35 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.00 0 1 1 15 09:12 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
EDM Evan Bouchard (D) 0.19 0 0 0 24 24:16 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.10 1 0 1 25 20:40 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.10 0 2 2 27 24:02 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Mattias Ekholm (D) 0.08 0 0 0 25 22:35 3 +1 2 0 0 0 0
EDM Darnell Nurse (D) 0.05 0 0 0 26 22:03 5 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.04 0 0 0 20 16:54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Brett Kulak (D) 0.03 0 0 0 21 18:16 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Jake Walman (D) 0.02 0 0 0 27 19:38 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Alec Regula (D) 0.02 0 0 0 14 12:09 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.02 0 1 1 26 25:36 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Conor Timmins (D) 0.01 0 0 0 22 19:09 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 17 12:19 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Colten Ellis (G) +3.46% 0.970 1.1 1 32 60:00 33 W 0
EDM Stuart Skinner (G) -1.36% 0.852 -0.4 4 23 58:06 27 L 0