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Saturday, March 7, 2026
5:30 PM ET
KeyBank Center (MSG-B)
53% xGF%
47% xGF%
NSH was expected to score 3.12 goals BUF was expected to score 2.75 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG NSH BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Nashville Predators Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 5:10 1.06 1 4:00 0.17 0
Even Strength 50:50 1.96 1 50:50 2.58 3
Penalty Kill 4:00 0.11 0 5:10 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 15:52 0.51 0
Up 1 11:22 0.99 0 9:51 0.50 1
Tied 22:55 0.63 1 22:55 1.15 1
Down 1 9:51 0.29 0 11:22 0.60 1
Down 2+ 15:52 1.22 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • Zachary L'Heureux scores at 1:17 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (1-0)
  • Tage Thompson scores at 12:39 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (1-1)
  • Jason Zucker scores at 14:17 in the 2nd period 0.52 xG (1-2)
  • Josh Doan scores at 0:16 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (1-3)
  • Matthew Wood scores at 16:08 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (2-3)
  • Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.63 1 0 1 19 14:42 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Zachary L'Heureux (L) 0.61 1 0 1 16 13:26 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Ryan O'Reilly (C) 0.60 0 1 1 23 21:20 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Matthew Wood (R) 0.56 1 0 1 18 15:57 3 -1 0 1 0 0 0
NSH Filip Forsberg (L) 0.47 0 0 0 19 18:48 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.41 0 1 1 19 14:10 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.41 1 0 1 23 16:11 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.39 1 0 1 23 18:53 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Luke Evangelista (R) 0.35 0 0 0 16 15:48 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Erik Haula (L) 0.16 0 0 0 21 16:12 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.15 0 0 0 21 14:27 0 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.13 0 1 1 21 14:46 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.13 0 0 0 15 09:32 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Steven Stamkos (C) 0.13 0 1 1 19 17:53 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.07 0 1 1 27 21:19 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Sam Carrick (C) 0.01 0 0 0 13 08:55 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Jonathan Marchessault (C) 0.01 0 1 1 18 17:03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Tyson Jost (C) 0.00 0 0 0 13 10:47 0 -1 4 0 0 0 0
NSH Fedor Svechkov (C) 0.00 0 0 0 10 09:49 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Ozzy Wiesblatt (R) 0.00 0 0 0 10 09:21 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 13 09:12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.00 0 1 1 23 16:37 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Joakim Kemell (R) 0.00 0 0 0 18 15:00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.00 0 0 0 24 17:32 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.22 0 0 0 26 23:11 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Roman Josi (D) 0.09 0 1 1 27 25:56 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Nicolas Hague (D) 0.07 0 0 0 24 20:59 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.07 0 0 0 14 10:28 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Nick Perbix (D) 0.07 0 0 0 25 18:41 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.06 0 0 0 28 23:02 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.03 0 0 0 31 24:36 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.02 0 1 1 31 24:36 1 +3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.01 0 0 0 12 11:38 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Brady Skjei (D) 0.00 0 0 0 29 21:35 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Justin Barron (D) 0.00 0 0 0 16 12:49 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Ryan Ufko (D) 0.00 0 0 0 17 13:44 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Alex Lyon (G) +4.50% 0.920 1.1 2 23 60:00 25 W 0
NSH Juuse Saros (G) -1.03% 0.875 -0.2 3 21 58:52 24 L 0