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Thursday, March 12, 2026
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center (MSG-B)
WSH
Washington Capitals
2 – 1
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
42% xGF%
58% xGF%
WSH was expected to score 2.50 goals BUF was expected to score 3.40 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG WSH BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Washington Capitals Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:00 0.87 0 5:27 0.85 0
Even Strength 50:33 1.63 2 50:33 2.39 1
Penalty Kill 5:27 0.00 0 4:00 0.16 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 1:33 0.00 0 16:12 1.15 0
Tied 42:15 2.29 1 42:15 2.26 1
Down 1 16:12 0.21 1 1:33 0.00 0
  • ► Sam Carrick scores at 6:02 in the 1st period 0.17 xG (0-1)
  • ► Ryan Leonard scores at 2:14 in the 2nd period 0.06 xG (1-1)
  • ► Jakob Chychrun scores at 18:27 in the 3rd period 0.09 xG (2-1)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
WSH WSH xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
WSH Tom Wilson (R) 0.65 0 0 0 23 20:34 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.52 0 0 0 16 14:42 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.51 0 0 0 18 17:07 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.40 0 0 0 20 22:04 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Alex Ovechkin (L) 0.28 0 0 0 17 14:03 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Connor McMichael (C) 0.27 0 0 0 22 14:15 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
WSH Pierre-Luc Dubois (L) 0.26 0 0 0 21 19:41 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tanner Pearson (L) 0.22 0 0 0 15 08:58 3 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.22 0 0 0 16 15:45 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Sam Carrick (C) 0.22 1 0 1 18 10:51 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.19 0 0 0 21 17:26 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.19 0 1 1 16 10:25 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.13 0 0 0 21 16:19 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.12 0 0 0 20 17:15 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Aliaksei Protas (C) 0.10 0 1 1 20 16:31 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Hendrix Lapierre (C) 0.09 0 0 0 15 13:17 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.08 0 0 0 16 13:44 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Anthony Beauvillier (L) 0.07 0 0 0 17 14:07 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Ryan Leonard (R) 0.06 1 0 1 17 13:46 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Justin Sourdif (R) 0.03 0 0 0 18 14:50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.02 0 0 0 18 16:49 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Dylan Strome (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 15:25 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Brandon Duhaime (R) 0.00 0 0 0 19 12:17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Ethen Frank (C) 0.00 0 0 0 14 10:30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.26 0 0 0 24 23:02 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Trevor van Riemsdyk (D) 0.25 0 1 1 21 19:00 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Rasmus Sandin (D) 0.23 0 0 0 22 19:47 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.14 0 0 0 22 23:28 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Logan Stanley (D) 0.10 0 0 0 20 13:02 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
WSH Jakob Chychrun (D) 0.10 1 0 1 18 20:25 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Timothy Liljegren (D) 0.07 0 0 0 19 15:50 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.04 0 0 0 24 20:30 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.02 0 1 1 22 21:29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Matt Roy (D) 0.02 0 0 0 26 21:46 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Martin Fehérváry (D) 0.02 0 0 0 22 19:56 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Luke Schenn (D) 0.01 0 0 0 20 14:31 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
WSH Charlie Lindgren (G) +8.01% 0.967 2.4 1 29 60:00 30 W 0
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) +2.27% 0.909 0.5 2 20 58:33 22 L 0