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Monday, April 6, 2026 (7:00 PM ET)
KeyBank Center | NHLN
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
2 – 4
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
45% xGF%
55% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 2.54 goals BUF was expected to score 3.17 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TBL BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 11:14 0.42 1 7:37 0.90 0
Even Strength 41:09 2.12 1 41:09 1.61 3
Penalty Kill 7:37 0.00 0 11:14 0.66 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 46:23 2.11 0
Tied 11:43 0.38 0 11:43 1.06 3
Down 1 46:23 1.80 2 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 1:54 0.36 0 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 5:42 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (0-1)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 11:45 in the 1st period 0.06 xG (1-1)
  • ► Josh Norris scores at 14:04 in the 1st period 0.07 xG (1-2)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 3:56 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (2-2)
  • ► Jason Zucker scores at 7:38 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (2-3)
  • ► Jack Quinn scores at 18:06 in the 3rd period (2-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.97 1 0 1 28 17:59 6 0 4 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.82 1 1 2 27 24:54 6 -1 2 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.52 1 1 2 17 13:44 4 +2 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.46 1 0 1 18 14:24 4 +2 2 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.45 1 0 1 23 23:30 3 -1 0 1
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.39 0 1 1 25 17:44 2 +1 2 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.31 0 1 1 23 20:11 2 -1 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.16 0 0 0 24 19:17 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.14 1 0 1 21 17:10 2 +1 0 0
TBL Corey Perry (R) 0.12 0 0 0 16 12:36 1 -2 2 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.11 0 0 0 12 07:58 1 0 2 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.10 0 0 0 21 17:56 1 -1 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.09 0 0 0 19 12:53 1 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.08 0 0 0 25 18:05 2 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.07 0 1 1 20 14:40 0 +1 2 0
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.06 0 0 0 19 11:19 1 0 2 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.01 0 0 0 20 12:37 1 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.00 0 0 0 18 14:57 1 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.00 0 0 0 23 14:53 0 -2 0 0
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.00 0 0 0 9 05:58 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.00 0 1 1 23 17:31 0 +3 0 0
TBL Mitchell Chaffee (R) 0.00 0 0 0 10 06:23 0 -1 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 11:29 0 0 2 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.00 0 0 0 15 08:21 0 -2 2 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.23 0 2 2 21 25:45 4 -2 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.12 0 0 0 23 19:54 2 -1 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.11 0 0 0 22 16:44 0 -1 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.10 0 0 0 23 18:02 3 -1 2 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.09 0 1 1 24 23:01 1 +2 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.07 0 0 0 26 19:48 2 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.07 0 0 0 26 22:44 1 +2 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.03 0 0 0 20 13:58 1 0 2 0
BUF Logan Stanley (D) 0.02 0 0 0 16 12:40 1 0 0 0
BUF Luke Schenn (D) 0.01 0 0 0 17 12:54 0 0 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.01 0 0 0 24 16:58 0 -1 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.00 0 2 2 27 21:16 1 +2 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) +2.17% 0.920 0.5 2 23 60:00 25 W 0
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) +0.60% 0.893 0.2 3 25 58:05 28 L 0