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Saturday, October 24, 2026 (7:00 PM ET)
Capital One Arena | MSG-B
39% xGF%
61% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 2.31 goals WSH was expected to score 3.63 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG BUF WSH Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Washington Capitals
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:00 0.37 0 6:00 0.70 0
Even Strength 53:42 1.64 3 53:42 2.85 4
Penalty Kill 6:00 0.30 0 4:00 0.08 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 5:34 0.11 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 10:58 0.26 1 4:56 0.11 0
Tied 42:14 1.61 1 42:14 2.60 2
Down 1 4:56 0.34 1 10:58 0.69 1
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 5:34 0.22 1
  • ► Jack Quinn scores at 6:27 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (1-0)
  • ► Josh Doan scores at 10:36 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (2-0)
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 16:10 in the 1st period 0.03 xG (2-1)
  • ► Dylan Strome scores at 2:59 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (2-2)
  • ► Dylan Strome scores at 17:24 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (2-3)
  • ► Noah Ostlund scores at 2:20 in the 3rd period 0.07 xG (3-3)
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 3:42 in the OT period 0.14 xG (3-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
WSH WSH xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
WSH Aliaksei Protas (C) 0.64 0 0 0 22 16:48 4 +1 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.63 0 1 1 26 18:32 2 +1 0 0
WSH Dylan Strome (C) 0.47 2 1 3 25 20:59 5 +3 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.40 1 0 1 24 17:24 3 -1 0 0
WSH Tom Wilson (R) 0.40 0 0 0 24 19:13 3 0 2 0
WSH Jordan Kyrou (R) 0.30 0 2 2 23 16:51 3 +1 0 0
WSH Ryan Leonard (R) 0.29 0 0 0 19 15:10 3 0 0 0
WSH Pierre-Luc Dubois (L) 0.23 0 0 0 23 18:08 2 0 0 0
WSH Justin Sourdif (R) 0.22 0 1 1 20 15:26 2 0 0 0
WSH Alex Tuch (R) 0.19 2 0 2 27 22:32 3 +1 2 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.18 0 1 1 25 17:15 1 +1 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.17 0 0 0 27 17:06 1 -1 0 0
WSH Ilya Protas (L) 0.16 0 0 0 11 09:25 1 -1 0 0
WSH Boone Jenner (C) 0.11 0 0 0 21 15:04 1 -1 0 0
WSH Alex Ovechkin (L) 0.10 0 0 0 14 11:43 1 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.10 1 0 1 20 12:40 1 +1 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.07 1 0 1 24 16:25 1 -1 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.04 0 0 0 22 17:00 0 -1 0 0
BUF Konsta Helenius (C) 0.02 0 0 0 18 12:10 1 +1 2 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.01 0 0 0 20 13:17 1 0 0 0
WSH Anthony Beauvillier (L) 0.00 0 0 0 10 07:41 0 -1 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 24 15:13 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.00 0 0 0 20 14:21 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.00 0 0 0 21 13:52 0 -1 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
WSH Jakob Chychrun (D) 0.33 0 2 2 28 25:01 4 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.25 0 1 1 31 27:20 3 +1 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.15 0 1 1 32 30:09 2 0 0 0
BUF Olen Zellweger (D) 0.15 0 1 1 29 21:06 2 +1 2 0
WSH Martin Fehérváry (D) 0.12 0 1 1 25 23:19 2 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.12 0 0 0 27 25:27 1 0 2 0
WSH Cole Hutson (D) 0.06 0 0 0 26 22:32 0 +1 0 0
BUF Louis Crevier (D) 0.03 0 0 0 12 07:37 2 -2 0 0
WSH Matt Roy (D) 0.02 0 0 0 25 24:04 0 -1 0 0
WSH Timothy Liljegren (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 15:56 0 0 0 0
BUF Dennis Gilbert (D) 0.00 0 0 0 15 08:12 0 -2 0 0
WSH Dylan McIlrath (D) 0.00 0 0 0 12 07:14 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -1.08% 0.882 -0.4 4 30 63:42 34 O 0
WSH Charlie Lindgren (G) -3.30% 0.857 -0.7 3 18 63:42 21 W 0