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Saturday, December 5, 2026 (7:00 PM ET)
Canadian Tire Centre | The Spot
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Ottawa Senators
 OTT
58% Win Probability
42% Win Probability
TBL is expected to score 3.16 goals OTT is expected to score 3.16 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on November 1, 2026 at 3:13 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning Ottawa Senators
Record 8-3-2 9-5-1
L10 Record 6-2-2 5-4-1
Pts% 69.23% 63.33%
Division Rank 4 (Atlantic) 3 (Atlantic)
Conference Rank 5 (Eastern) 4 (Eastern)
Projected Points 100.14 92.76
xGF/G 3.36+0.36 ● 2.99
xGA/G 2.80+0.07 ● 2.88
xGF% 54.48%+3.49 ● 50.99%
L10 xGF 34.48+6.17 ● 28.31
L10 xGA 27.53+1.66 ● 29.19
L10 xGF% 55.60%+6.37 ● 49.23%
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
OTT William Eklund (L)+ 0.61 1 1 2 4 13:55 2.5 -1.5 9 11.1 0.273 -16.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.51 8 8 16 13 21:28 6.6 -0.6 58 13.8 0.114 2.4 4 1 25.0 0.00 -0.08 -0.08
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.46 8 6 14 13 20:47 6.0 1.0 38 21.1 0.159 5.2 73 26 35.6 0.00 -0.07 -0.07
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.40 3 8 11 13 19:28 5.1 -2.1 28 10.7 0.184 -7.7 127 61 48.0 0.27 -0.15 0.12
OTT Dylan Cozens (C) 0.32 4 6 10 15 17:49 4.8 -0.8 35 11.4 0.136 -2.2 155 81 52.3 0.12 -0.17 -0.05
OTT Drake Batherson (R) 0.31 9 8 17 15 17:38 4.7 3.3 36 25.0 0.130 12.0 6 1 16.7 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Tim Stützle (C) 0.31 9 12 21 15 21:52 4.6 4.4 33 27.3 0.139 13.3 189 103 54.5 0.28 -0.55 -0.28
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.29 4 14 18 13 20:58 3.8 0.2 35 11.4 0.107 0.7 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Shane Pinto (C) 0.28 5 6 11 15 19:51 4.2 -0.2 29 17.2 0.145 2.7 190 100 52.6 0.27 -0.40 -0.13
OTT Stephen Halliday (C) 0.25 3 2 5 15 11:31 3.7 -0.7 23 13.0 0.162 -3.2 76 32 42.1 0.10 -0.02 0.09
OTT Fabian Zetterlund (L) 0.24 1 5 6 15 13:39 3.6 -2.6 32 3.1 0.114 -8.3 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.24 4 4 8 13 17:30 3.1 0.9 17 23.5 0.181 5.5 246 125 50.8 0.16 -0.22 -0.06
OTT Ridly Greig (C) 0.21 2 2 4 13 17:17 2.8 -0.8 19 10.5 0.146 -4.0 113 53 46.9 0.20 -0.05 0.15
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.19 4 6 10 13 14:34 2.5 0.5 21 19.0 0.118 7.3 17 7 41.2 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
OTT Michael Amadio (R) 0.18 3 3 6 15 15:49 2.7 -0.7 18 16.7 0.151 1.5 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.17 4 0 4 13 11:42 2.3 1.7 17 23.5 0.133 10.2 83 33 39.8 0.04 -0.35 -0.31
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.14 0 2 2 12 15:32 1.6 -1.6 12 0.0 0.137 -13.7 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Claude Giroux (R) 0.13 2 6 8 15 17:02 2.0 0.0 18 11.1 0.112 -0.1 140 87 62.1 0.50 -0.03 0.47
OTT Warren Foegele (L)+ 0.13 1 3 4 13 12:06 1.7 -0.7 14 7.1 0.124 -5.2 7 2 28.6 0.02 0.00 0.02
TBL Ilya Mikheyev (R) 0.13 2 2 4 13 14:41 1.7 0.3 16 12.5 0.105 2.0 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Jeffrey Viel (L) 0.11 0 2 2 10 9:26 1.1 -1.1 7 0.0 0.155 -15.5 2 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C)+ 0.11 1 1 2 11 13:33 1.2 -0.2 14 7.1 0.085 -1.3 140 80 57.1 0.05 -0.18 -0.13
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.09 0 2 2 5 12:22 0.4 -0.4 5 0.0 0.085 -8.5 50 20 40.0 0.04 -0.14 -0.10
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.07 0 1 1 3 9:10 0.2 -0.2 1 0.0 0.213 -21.3 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Andre Burakovsky (L)+ 0.07 0 0 0 8 11:00 0.6 -0.6 3 0.0 0.187 -18.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Nick Cousins (C) 0.05 1 1 2 15 8:58 0.8 0.2 10 10.0 0.081 1.9 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Hayden Hodgson (R) 0.05 0 0 0 5 5:05 0.3 -0.3 1 0.0 0.265 -26.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TBL John Carlson (D) 0.21 5 3 8 13 19:12 2.7 2.3 36 13.9 0.075 6.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Thomas Chabot (D) 0.15 1 4 5 11 24:30 1.6 -0.6 23 4.3 0.072 -2.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.14 0 0 0 13 18:16 1.8 -1.8 15 0.0 0.119 -11.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Jake Sanderson (D) 0.09 1 7 8 7 22:10 0.6 0.4 13 7.7 0.049 2.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Carter Yakemchuk (D) 0.09 1 2 3 13 18:22 1.1 -0.1 20 5.0 0.057 -0.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.08 0 3 3 7 16:57 0.6 -0.6 13 0.0 0.043 -4.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Jordan Spence (D) 0.08 1 2 3 15 21:02 1.2 -0.2 14 7.1 0.084 -1.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.07 3 2 5 12 14:13 0.9 2.1 15 20.0 0.059 14.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.07 2 5 7 12 16:55 0.9 1.1 18 11.1 0.048 6.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Erik Cernak (D)+ 0.05 0 2 2 12 19:00 0.6 -0.6 15 0.0 0.042 -4.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Tyler Kleven (D) 0.05 2 1 3 15 20:25 0.7 0.3 20 10.0 0.035 6.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Artem Zub (D) 0.03 0 3 3 8 18:58 0.2 -0.2 6 0.0 0.037 -3.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.03 0 2 2 13 16:24 0.4 -0.4 7 0.0 0.051 -5.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.02 0 0 0 6 12:42 0.1 -0.1 2 0.0 0.065 -6.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTT Nikolas Matinpalo (D) 0.02 0 3 3 13 15:13 0.3 -0.3 9 0.0 0.029 -2.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
OTT Linus Ullmark (G)+ +4.83% 8.8 1.33 0.945 7 8 1 87.5 0 10 182 172 18.8
TBL Dennis Hildeby (G) -0.06% 0.0 2.98 0.885 2 3 0 66.7 0 9 78 69 9.0
OTT Jonas Johansson (G) -0.94% -0.7 4.04 0.859 1 3 1 33.3 0 10 71 61 9.3
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -1.03% -2.5 3.00 0.877 6 10 3 60.0 0 30 243 213 27.5
OTT Samuel Ersson (G) -2.79% -4.0 3.78 0.866 1 7 3 14.3 0 19 142 123 15.0