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Saturday, March 6, 2027
10:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose (NBCSCA)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
San Jose Sharks
 SJS
44% Win Probability
56% Win Probability
TBL is expected to score 2.88 goals SJS is expected to score 3.34 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on October 12, 2026 at 3:13 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning San Jose Sharks
Record 4-1-0 3-2-0
L10 Record 4-1-0 3-2-0
Pts% 80.00% 60.00%
Division Rank 1 (Atlantic) 5 (Pacific)
Conference Rank 3 (Eastern) 10 (Western)
Projected Points 93.40 91.44
xGF/G 3.21+0.94 ● 2.28
xGA/G 2.48+1.27 ● 3.75
xGF% 56.48%+18.68 ● 37.80%
L10 xGF - -
L10 xGA - -
L10 xGF% - -
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.57 4 4 8 5 22:05 2.8 -0.8 26 15.4 0.109 4.5 3 1 33.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.36 3 3 6 5 20:52 1.8 0.2 16 18.8 0.114 7.4 24 13 54.2 0.00 -0.02 -0.02
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.34 1 2 3 5 19:34 1.7 -0.7 10 10.0 0.170 -7.0 49 23 46.9 0.14 0.00 0.14
SJS Will Smith (C) 0.34 2 1 3 5 18:36 1.7 0.3 7 28.6 0.240 4.6 19 8 42.1 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Tyler Toffoli (C) 0.30 2 2 4 5 13:03 1.5 0.5 12 16.7 0.124 4.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Macklin Celebrini (C) 0.25 1 5 6 3 22:12 0.8 0.2 11 9.1 0.069 2.1 46 21 45.7 0.04 -0.02 0.03
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.23 1 1 2 5 18:19 1.1 -0.1 9 11.1 0.127 -1.5 93 45 48.4 0.14 0.00 0.13
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.22 1 7 8 5 21:30 1.1 -0.1 7 14.3 0.157 -1.4 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.20 1 1 2 5 15:01 1.0 0.0 7 14.3 0.142 0.1 3 1 33.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Alexander Wennberg (C) 0.18 0 1 1 5 19:43 0.9 -0.9 7 0.0 0.129 -12.9 82 44 53.7 0.22 0.00 0.22
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.18 1 0 1 5 11:05 0.9 0.1 8 12.5 0.111 1.4 31 11 35.5 0.00 -0.16 -0.16
SJS Michael Misa (C) 0.17 0 3 3 5 13:49 0.9 -0.9 4 0.0 0.216 -21.6 54 25 46.3 0.17 0.00 0.17
SJS Mason Marchment (L) 0.16 1 0 1 5 16:14 0.8 0.2 10 10.0 0.079 2.1 4 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.16 0 0 0 5 15:42 0.8 -0.8 2 0.0 0.395 -39.5 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Jeffrey Viel (L) 0.15 0 0 0 4 8:23 0.6 -0.6 6 0.0 0.102 -10.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Ilya Mikheyev (R) 0.15 1 2 3 5 14:24 0.8 0.2 5 20.0 0.152 4.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Ivar Stenberg (L) 0.14 0 2 2 5 15:41 0.7 -0.7 5 0.0 0.144 -14.4 4 1 25.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Zack Ostapchuk (C) 0.13 0 0 0 5 10:45 0.6 -0.6 5 0.0 0.130 -13.0 37 15 40.5 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.11 0 1 1 5 13:13 0.6 -0.6 6 0.0 0.094 -9.4 60 33 55.0 0.00 -0.13 -0.13
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.11 0 0 0 1 9:29 0.1 -0.1 1 0.0 0.110 -11.0 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Kiefer Sherwood (L) 0.11 1 0 1 5 15:00 0.5 0.5 5 20.0 0.109 9.1 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Collin Graf (R) 0.10 1 0 1 5 14:56 0.5 0.5 5 20.0 0.105 9.5 12 4 33.3 0.00 -0.17 -0.17
SJS Igor Chernyshov (L) 0.08 2 1 3 5 14:07 0.4 1.6 4 50.0 0.095 40.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Ty Dellandrea (C) 0.03 0 0 0 2 13:25 0.1 -0.1 1 0.0 0.052 -5.2 16 6 37.5 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Barclay Goodrow (C) 0.02 0 0 0 5 12:00 0.1 -0.1 3 0.0 0.028 -2.8 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TBL John Carlson (D) 0.16 2 2 4 5 19:55 0.8 1.2 15 13.3 0.054 8.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Luca Cagnoni (D) 0.15 1 1 2 5 19:37 0.7 0.3 8 12.5 0.094 3.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Nolan Allan (D) 0.12 1 0 1 2 18:22 0.2 0.8 3 33.3 0.079 25.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.11 0 0 0 5 16:20 0.5 -0.5 4 0.0 0.132 -13.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.10 0 2 2 3 17:38 0.3 -0.3 6 0.0 0.049 -4.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.09 0 1 1 5 19:28 0.5 -0.5 8 0.0 0.057 -5.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Darnell Nurse (D) 0.08 1 0 1 5 21:09 0.4 0.6 10 10.0 0.039 6.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.07 0 0 0 1 10:30 0.1 -0.1 1 0.0 0.072 -7.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Jacob Trouba (D) 0.05 0 2 2 5 21:19 0.3 -0.3 8 0.0 0.032 -3.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.04 1 0 1 5 14:40 0.2 0.8 8 12.5 0.028 9.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Dmitry Orlov (D) 0.03 0 0 0 5 18:25 0.2 -0.2 3 0.0 0.055 -5.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.03 0 1 1 5 13:59 0.2 -0.2 4 0.0 0.041 -4.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Michael Kesselring (D) 0.02 0 0 0 5 19:34 0.1 -0.1 5 0.0 0.023 -2.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Sam Dickinson (D) 0.01 0 1 1 3 16:17 0.0 0.0 1 0.0 0.024 -2.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.01 0 1 1 5 16:02 0.0 0.0 2 0.0 0.017 -1.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
SJS Alex Nedeljkovic (G) +6.25% 1.6 1.97 0.923 1 1 0 100.0 0 2 26 24 3.6
TBL Dennis Hildeby (G) +2.94% 1.1 2.01 0.944 1 1 0 100.0 0 2 36 34 3.1
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) +0.39% 0.3 2.29 0.890 3 4 1 75.0 0 9 82 73 9.3
SJS Yaroslav Askarov (G) +0.09% 0.1 3.71 0.860 2 4 2 50.0 0 15 107 92 15.1