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Saturday, March 6, 2027 (10:00 PM ET)
SAP Center at San Jose | NBCSCA
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
San Jose Sharks
 SJS
60% Win Probability
40% Win Probability
TBL is expected to score 3.21 goals SJS is expected to score 3.06 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on November 2, 2026 at 3:13 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning San Jose Sharks
Record 8-3-2 7-7-1
L10 Record 6-2-2 4-5-1
Pts% 69.23% 50.00%
Division Rank 4 (Atlantic) 4 (Pacific)
Conference Rank 5 (Eastern) 10 (Western)
Projected Points 99.40 84.38
xGF/G 3.36+0.62 ● 2.74
xGA/G 2.80+0.97 ● 3.78
xGF% 54.48%+12.44 ● 42.04%
L10 xGF 34.48+4.95 ● 29.53
L10 xGA 27.53+9.69 ● 37.22
L10 xGF% 55.60%+11.36 ● 44.24%
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.51 8 8 16 13 21:28 6.6 -0.6 58 13.8 0.114 2.4 4 1 25.0 0.00 -0.08 -0.08
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.46 8 6 14 13 20:47 6.0 1.0 38 21.1 0.159 5.2 73 26 35.6 0.00 -0.07 -0.07
SJS Macklin Celebrini (C) 0.46 5 11 16 13 22:39 6.0 -1.0 52 9.6 0.116 -2.0 241 117 48.5 0.32 -0.32 0.00
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.40 3 8 11 13 19:28 5.1 -2.1 28 10.7 0.184 -7.7 127 61 48.0 0.27 -0.15 0.12
SJS Will Smith (C) 0.37 6 4 10 15 19:12 5.5 0.5 41 14.6 0.135 1.1 31 13 41.9 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.29 4 14 18 13 20:58 3.8 0.2 35 11.4 0.107 0.7 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Alexander Wennberg (C) 0.24 0 3 3 9 20:00 2.1 -2.1 14 0.0 0.153 -15.3 158 74 46.8 0.42 -0.24 0.18
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.24 4 4 8 13 17:30 3.1 0.9 17 23.5 0.181 5.5 246 125 50.8 0.16 -0.22 -0.06
SJS Mason Marchment (L) 0.23 4 2 6 15 15:54 3.5 0.5 28 14.3 0.126 1.7 10 1 10.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Collin Graf (R) 0.20 2 1 3 15 15:18 2.9 -0.9 19 10.5 0.154 -4.9 42 14 33.3 0.02 -0.18 -0.16
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.19 4 6 10 13 14:34 2.5 0.5 21 19.0 0.118 7.3 17 7 41.2 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
SJS Kiefer Sherwood (L) 0.18 2 6 8 15 15:22 2.7 -0.7 27 7.4 0.101 -2.7 5 3 60.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.17 4 0 4 13 11:42 2.3 1.7 17 23.5 0.133 10.2 83 33 39.8 0.04 -0.35 -0.31
SJS Michael Misa (C) 0.17 3 4 7 15 13:38 2.6 0.4 17 17.6 0.152 2.5 164 74 45.1 0.23 -0.13 0.10
SJS Tyler Toffoli (C) 0.17 4 5 9 15 12:58 2.5 1.5 29 13.8 0.088 5.0 4 3 75.0 0.10 0.00 0.10
SJS Adam Gaudette (R) 0.17 0 0 0 3 10:15 0.5 -0.5 4 0.0 0.125 -12.5 12 6 50.0 0.00 -0.13 -0.13
SJS Ivar Stenberg (L) 0.17 3 6 9 15 16:15 2.5 -0.5 20 15.0 0.124 2.6 7 2 28.6 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Filip Bystedt (C) 0.15 0 0 0 2 12:51 0.3 -0.3 3 0.0 0.098 -9.8 16 8 50.0 0.01 0.00 0.01
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.14 0 2 2 12 15:32 1.6 -1.6 12 0.0 0.137 -13.7 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Igor Chernyshov (L)+ 0.14 2 2 4 11 13:34 1.5 0.5 12 16.7 0.125 4.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Ilya Mikheyev (R) 0.13 2 2 4 13 14:41 1.7 0.3 16 12.5 0.105 2.0 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Jeffrey Viel (L) 0.11 0 2 2 10 9:26 1.1 -1.1 7 0.0 0.155 -15.5 2 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C)+ 0.11 1 1 2 11 13:33 1.2 -0.2 14 7.1 0.085 -1.3 140 80 57.1 0.05 -0.18 -0.13
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.09 0 2 2 5 12:22 0.4 -0.4 5 0.0 0.085 -8.5 50 20 40.0 0.04 -0.14 -0.10
SJS Zack Ostapchuk (C) 0.08 1 0 1 14 10:45 1.1 -1.1 12 8.3 0.092 -0.8 123 63 51.2 0.00 -0.07 -0.07
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.07 0 1 1 3 9:10 0.2 -0.2 1 0.0 0.213 -21.3 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Barclay Goodrow (C) 0.06 0 1 1 15 11:46 0.9 -0.9 12 0.0 0.079 -7.9 5 2 40.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Ty Dellandrea (C) 0.06 0 1 1 8 13:25 0.4 -0.4 5 0.0 0.090 -9.0 76 39 51.3 0.04 -0.11 -0.07
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TBL John Carlson (D) 0.21 5 3 8 13 19:12 2.7 2.3 36 13.9 0.075 6.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.14 0 0 0 13 18:16 1.8 -1.8 15 0.0 0.119 -11.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Jacob Trouba (D) 0.09 2 7 9 15 22:27 1.4 0.6 21 9.5 0.066 2.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.08 0 3 3 7 16:57 0.6 -0.6 13 0.0 0.043 -4.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.07 3 2 5 12 14:13 0.9 2.1 15 20.0 0.059 14.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.07 2 5 7 12 16:55 0.9 1.1 18 11.1 0.048 6.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Darnell Nurse (D) 0.07 1 1 2 14 21:23 0.9 0.1 25 4.0 0.038 0.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Nolan Allan (D) 0.06 2 1 3 9 15:41 0.6 1.4 9 22.2 0.064 15.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Erik Cernak (D)+ 0.05 0 2 2 12 19:00 0.6 -0.6 15 0.0 0.042 -4.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Michael Kesselring (D) 0.05 0 3 3 15 19:13 0.8 -0.8 19 0.0 0.040 -4.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Dmitry Orlov (D) 0.05 2 4 6 15 18:09 0.7 1.3 15 13.3 0.048 8.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
SJS Sam Dickinson (D) 0.04 0 2 2 13 18:23 0.5 -0.5 10 0.0 0.050 -5.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.03 0 2 2 13 16:24 0.4 -0.4 7 0.0 0.051 -5.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.02 0 0 0 6 12:42 0.1 -0.1 2 0.0 0.065 -6.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
SJS Yaroslav Askarov (G) +2.56% 6.9 3.01 0.900 4 9 5 44.4 0 27 270 243 33.9
SJS Alex Nedeljkovic (G) +1.98% 3.7 3.09 0.899 3 6 2 50.0 0 19 189 170 22.7
TBL Dennis Hildeby (G) -0.06% 0.0 2.98 0.885 2 3 0 66.7 0 9 78 69 9.0
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -1.03% -2.5 3.00 0.877 6 10 3 60.0 0 30 243 213 27.5