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Thursday, March 25, 2027
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center (MSG-B)
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
43% Win Probability
57% Win Probability
TOR is expected to score 2.89 goals BUF is expected to score 3.29 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on October 12, 2026 at 3:13 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs Buffalo Sabres
Record 3-2-1 2-3-0
L10 Record 3-2-1 2-3-0
Pts% 58.33% 40.00%
Division Rank 4 (Atlantic) 7 (Atlantic)
Conference Rank 6 (Eastern) 14 (Eastern)
Projected Points 90.70 89.08
xGF/G 3.18+0.08 ● 3.10
xGA/G 3.66 ● +1.152.51
xGF% 46.50% ● +8.8055.30%
L10 xGF - -
L10 xGA - -
L10 xGF% - -
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.55 3 2 5 5 19:46 2.7 0.3 29 10.3 0.094 0.9 65 30 46.2 0.47 -0.10 0.38
TOR John Tavares (C)+ 0.47 1 2 3 5 17:09 2.4 -1.4 14 7.1 0.168 -9.7 74 43 58.1 0.19 -0.01 0.18
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.45 5 6 11 6 20:09 2.7 2.3 18 27.8 0.149 12.9 9 3 33.3 0.17 0.00 0.17
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.43 0 1 1 5 19:24 2.1 -2.1 9 0.0 0.236 -23.6 6 2 33.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.41 4 6 10 6 22:12 2.5 0.5 21 19.0 0.117 7.3 96 55 57.3 0.16 0.00 0.16
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.38 2 0 2 5 19:59 1.9 0.1 14 14.3 0.137 0.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Jack Roslovic (C) 0.37 2 2 4 6 16:25 2.2 -0.2 18 11.1 0.124 -1.3 18 8 44.4 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.36 1 2 3 5 18:11 1.8 -0.8 14 7.1 0.128 -5.6 51 18 35.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Kirill Marchenko (R) 0.34 1 4 5 6 19:06 2.1 -1.1 15 6.7 0.138 -7.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Colton Sissons (C) 0.24 1 0 1 6 14:30 1.4 -0.4 8 12.5 0.181 -5.6 46 28 60.9 0.03 0.00 0.03
BUF Jiri Kulich (C) 0.23 1 1 2 4 11:58 0.9 0.1 4 25.0 0.229 2.1 32 16 50.0 0.00 -0.09 -0.09
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.20 0 2 2 5 14:37 1.0 -1.0 5 0.0 0.204 -20.4 8 3 37.5 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Nick Paul (L) 0.20 1 3 4 6 16:00 1.2 -0.2 7 14.3 0.170 -2.7 52 21 40.4 0.03 -0.13 -0.10
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.19 0 0 0 5 15:59 1.0 -1.0 7 0.0 0.139 -13.9 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Gavin McKenna (L) 0.18 1 3 4 6 14:38 1.1 -0.1 10 10.0 0.108 -0.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.16 0 1 1 5 16:05 0.8 -0.8 5 0.0 0.161 -16.1 44 25 56.8 0.04 0.00 0.04
BUF Konsta Helenius (C) 0.16 1 0 1 4 14:06 0.6 0.4 6 16.7 0.106 6.1 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.16 3 2 5 6 14:36 0.9 2.1 13 23.1 0.072 15.9 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.07 0 1 1 5 15:04 0.3 -0.3 3 0.0 0.116 -11.6 48 25 52.1 0.16 -0.10 0.07
TOR Teddy Blueger (C) 0.07 0 0 0 6 11:16 0.4 -0.4 3 0.0 0.136 -13.6 43 18 41.9 0.00 -0.13 -0.13
BUF Justin Danforth (R) 0.06 0 0 0 3 10:05 0.2 -0.2 1 0.0 0.177 -17.7 25 13 52.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Brandon Duhaime (R) 0.05 0 0 0 6 11:20 0.3 -0.3 4 0.0 0.082 -8.2 3 1 33.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.02 0 0 0 5 9:27 0.1 -0.1 1 0.0 0.104 -10.4 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Sam Carrick (C) 0.02 0 0 0 3 7:55 0.0 0.0 1 0.0 0.048 -4.8 16 8 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Bo Groulx (C) 0.01 0 0 0 5 7:59 0.0 0.0 2 0.0 0.020 -2.0 5 3 60.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Zack MacEwen (R) 0.00 0 0 0 1 5:25 0.0 0.0 0 - - - 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.00 0 0 0 1 7:32 0.0 0.0 0 - - - 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.17 1 2 3 5 26:32 0.9 0.1 15 6.7 0.057 0.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Nick Blankenburg (D) 0.12 1 0 1 1 16:11 0.1 0.9 1 100.0 0.116 88.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Darren Raddysh (D) 0.10 0 2 2 6 23:09 0.6 -0.6 12 0.0 0.050 -5.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.10 0 4 4 6 20:01 0.6 -0.6 6 0.0 0.097 -9.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.09 1 4 5 5 26:02 0.4 0.6 5 20.0 0.088 11.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Olen Zellweger (D) 0.06 0 0 0 4 16:39 0.2 -0.2 1 0.0 0.222 -22.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.05 1 1 2 5 20:12 0.2 0.8 6 16.7 0.041 12.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.04 0 0 0 6 19:28 0.2 -0.2 6 0.0 0.036 -3.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.03 0 0 0 6 16:19 0.2 -0.2 3 0.0 0.060 -6.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Louis Crevier (D) 0.02 0 1 1 5 15:14 0.1 -0.1 5 0.0 0.024 -2.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.02 0 0 0 6 17:38 0.1 -0.1 5 0.0 0.023 -2.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.01 0 1 1 5 11:39 0.0 0.0 1 0.0 0.031 -3.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Chris Tanev (D) 0.01 0 1 1 6 16:50 0.0 0.0 1 0.0 0.034 -3.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Matt Grzelcyk (D) 0.00 0 0 0 1 14:27 0.0 0.0 0 - - - 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
TOR Sergei Bobrovsky (G) +3.01% 3.9 2.97 0.907 1 4 2 25.0 0 12 129 117 15.9
TOR Anthony Stolarz (G) +2.05% 1.1 2.44 0.904 2 2 0 100.0 0 5 52 47 6.1
BUF Colten Ellis (G) +0.51% 0.3 2.91 0.880 1 2 1 50.0 0 6 50 44 6.3
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -10.38% -5.7 4.02 0.782 1 3 2 33.3 0 12 55 43 6.3