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Saturday, April 3, 2027 (7:00 PM ET)
Scotiabank Arena | MSG-B
38% Win Probability
62% Win Probability
BUF is expected to score 2.87 goals TOR is expected to score 3.41 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on November 2, 2026 at 3:13 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Buffalo Sabres Toronto Maple Leafs
Record 7-4-3 8-6-2
L10 Record 5-2-3 5-4-1
Pts% 60.71% 56.25%
Division Rank 7 (Atlantic) 6 (Atlantic)
Conference Rank 9 (Eastern) 8 (Eastern)
Projected Points 89.37 89.99
xGF/G 3.21+0.21 ● 3.00
xGA/G 3.23 ● +0.063.17
xGF% 49.89%+1.26 ● 48.63%
L10 xGF 31.57+2.07 ● 29.50
L10 xGA 35.19 ● +4.5530.64
L10 xGF% 47.29% ● +1.7649.05%
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.71 0 0 0 1 11:00 0.7 -0.7 5 0.0 0.141 -14.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.45 10 7 17 14 19:25 6.3 3.7 63 15.9 0.100 5.8 163 72 44.2 0.91 -0.23 0.68
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.42 11 13 24 16 20:35 6.7 3.3 46 23.9 0.145 9.4 270 144 53.3 0.55 -0.15 0.40
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.40 8 6 14 14 19:16 5.7 2.3 40 20.0 0.142 5.8 3 2 66.7 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.40 2 11 13 14 19:57 5.7 -4.7 33 6.1 0.172 -11.1 13 4 30.8 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.38 1 0 1 5 11:36 1.9 -0.9 10 10.0 0.189 -8.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.36 10 11 21 16 20:06 5.8 3.2 46 21.7 0.127 9.1 22 8 36.4 0.08 0.00 0.08
TOR John Tavares (C)+ 0.34 2 5 7 7 16:31 2.4 -0.4 17 11.8 0.142 -2.4 101 61 60.4 0.24 -0.01 0.23
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.33 4 5 9 14 18:53 4.7 -0.7 33 12.1 0.141 -2.0 128 46 35.9 0.03 -0.17 -0.14
TOR Kirill Marchenko (R)+ 0.32 6 8 14 14 17:36 4.5 1.5 35 17.1 0.130 4.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Jack Roslovic (C) 0.30 6 10 16 16 16:43 4.8 1.2 39 15.4 0.123 3.1 29 10 34.5 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Gavin McKenna (L) 0.22 5 6 11 16 13:43 3.6 1.4 29 17.2 0.124 4.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.21 6 8 14 16 15:17 3.4 2.6 33 18.2 0.103 7.9 5 2 40.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.20 2 1 3 14 15:24 2.8 -0.8 23 8.7 0.123 -3.6 5 2 40.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Nick Paul (L) 0.19 2 4 6 16 16:24 3.0 -2.0 16 12.5 0.188 -6.3 158 73 46.2 0.13 -0.21 -0.08
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.19 2 1 3 14 14:29 2.6 -0.6 15 13.3 0.173 -4.0 134 69 51.5 0.13 -0.47 -0.34
BUF Jiri Kulich (C)+ 0.18 1 2 3 8 13:09 1.4 -0.4 9 11.1 0.159 -4.8 55 28 50.9 0.00 -0.14 -0.14
TOR Zack MacEwen (R) 0.14 2 2 4 10 7:38 1.4 0.6 12 16.7 0.115 5.2 8 4 50.0 0.02 0.00 0.02
BUF Konsta Helenius (C)+ 0.12 1 2 3 11 12:59 1.3 -0.3 12 8.3 0.112 -2.9 8 1 12.5 0.00 -0.01 -0.01
TOR Teddy Blueger (C) 0.12 2 2 4 16 13:05 1.9 -0.9 18 11.1 0.104 0.7 129 66 51.2 0.01 -0.34 -0.33
TOR Colton Sissons (C) 0.11 2 3 5 16 15:02 1.7 0.3 16 12.5 0.109 1.6 180 109 60.6 0.16 -0.16 0.00
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.11 1 2 3 14 15:03 1.5 -0.5 13 7.7 0.116 -4.0 154 80 51.9 0.23 -0.23 0.00
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.09 0 7 7 14 13:41 1.3 -1.3 7 0.0 0.179 -17.9 50 24 48.0 0.17 0.00 0.17
TOR Brandon Duhaime (L) 0.08 1 3 4 16 11:53 1.3 -0.3 13 7.7 0.097 -2.0 6 2 33.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.07 0 2 2 14 11:00 1.0 -1.0 7 0.0 0.145 -14.5 7 4 57.1 0.00 -0.11 -0.11
TOR Vinni Lettieri (C) 0.07 1 0 1 7 10:09 0.5 0.5 8 12.5 0.059 6.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Sam Carrick (C) 0.05 0 1 1 6 7:39 0.3 -0.3 5 0.0 0.058 -5.8 20 11 55.0 0.00 -0.01 -0.01
BUF Justin Danforth (R)+ 0.04 0 0 0 6 9:09 0.3 -0.3 1 0.0 0.251 -25.1 40 20 50.0 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.03 1 0 1 6 11:05 0.2 0.8 2 50.0 0.090 41.0 36 14 38.9 0.00 -0.10 -0.10
TOR Bo Groulx (C) 0.02 0 0 0 7 8:02 0.1 -0.1 4 0.0 0.031 -3.1 7 4 57.1 0.00 0.00 0.00
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.21 2 7 9 11 24:39 2.3 -0.3 33 6.1 0.070 -0.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Olen Zellweger (D) 0.14 3 3 6 13 19:46 1.8 1.2 27 11.1 0.067 4.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Darren Raddysh (D) 0.12 0 9 9 16 23:39 2.0 -2.0 35 0.0 0.057 -5.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.11 2 9 11 14 26:38 1.6 0.4 18 11.1 0.087 2.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.10 2 7 9 14 23:50 1.4 0.6 21 9.5 0.067 2.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Nick Blankenburg (D)+ 0.10 1 0 1 6 13:05 0.6 0.4 6 16.7 0.098 6.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.08 0 11 11 16 19:36 1.2 -1.2 20 0.0 0.062 -6.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.06 2 3 5 16 19:30 0.9 1.1 18 11.1 0.050 6.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.05 0 1 1 16 17:47 0.7 -0.7 11 0.0 0.067 -6.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.04 0 3 3 16 19:35 0.6 -0.6 17 0.0 0.037 -3.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Louis Crevier (D) 0.03 0 1 1 14 13:12 0.5 -0.5 12 0.0 0.038 -3.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.03 0 2 2 12 12:20 0.4 -0.4 7 0.0 0.051 -5.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Marshall Rifai (D)+ 0.03 1 0 1 2 14:09 0.1 0.9 2 50.0 0.030 47.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Dakota Mermis (D) 0.01 0 0 0 3 12:35 0.0 0.0 1 0.0 0.020 -2.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Chris Tanev (D) 0.01 0 1 1 7 17:12 0.0 0.0 2 0.0 0.019 -1.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Matt Grzelcyk (D)+ 0.00 0 0 0 1 14:27 0.0 - 0 - - - 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
TOR Anthony Stolarz (G) +1.45% 2.6 2.66 0.910 5 6 1 83.3 0 16 178 162 18.6
BUF Colten Ellis (G) +0.11% 0.1 3.11 0.880 3 5 1 60.0 1 14 117 103 14.1
TOR Sergei Bobrovsky (G) -0.29% -0.8 3.29 0.885 3 10 5 30.0 0 33 288 255 32.2
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -0.75% -2.0 3.40 0.873 4 10 3 40.0 0 33 260 227 31.0