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Tuesday, January 27, 2026 (7:00 PM ET)
Scotiabank Arena | MSG-B
Buffalo Sabres BUF
7-4
Final
TOR Toronto Maple Leafs
51% xGF Expected Goals Share 49% xGF
BUF was expected to score 2.67 goals TOR was expected to score 2.57 goals
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 0 1 2 Cumulative xG BUF TOR Dots represent goals
Goals & Replays
  • ► Matthew Knies scores at 7:44 in the 1st period 0.16 xG (0-1)
  • ► Rasmus Dahlin scores at 9:29 in the 1st period 0.06 xG (1-1)
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 10:49 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (1-2)
  • Josh Doan scores at 13:16 in the 1st period 0.06 xG (2-2)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 18:05 in the 1st period 0.02 xG (3-2) End of Period 1
  • ► Bobby McMann scores at 11:17 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (3-3)
  • ► Rasmus Dahlin scores at 18:17 in the 2nd period 0.05 xG (4-3) End of Period 2
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 0:16 in the 3rd period 0.06 xG (5-3)
  • ► Jack Quinn scores at 11:33 in the 3rd period 0.12 xG (6-3)
  • ► Max Domi scores at 14:59 in the 3rd period 0.15 xG (6-4)
  • ► Rasmus Dahlin scores at 19:16 in the 3rd period (7-4) End of Game
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
xG by State
Buffalo Sabres
Toronto Maple Leafs
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Man-Advantage 2:49 0.36 1 1:52 0.00 0
Even Strength 55:19 2.31 5 55:19 2.57 4
Short-Handed 1:52 0.00 0 2:49 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 19:44 0.73 1 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 15:11 0.71 1 4:12 0.03 0
Tied 20:53 0.98 2 20:53 0.88 2
Down 1 4:12 0.25 2 15:11 0.15 1
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 19:44 1.51 1
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.57 1 2 3 23 19:36 3 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.52 0 0 0 20 15:55 3 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.42 1 0 1 19 14:21 2 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.41 1 0 1 18 17:19 5 0 0 1
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.37 0 1 1 21 15:36 3 -1 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.32 1 2 3 21 15:55 3 +1 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.26 1 0 1 21 17:44 2 -1 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.25 0 0 0 18 11:59 2 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.25 1 1 2 21 17:40 4 -1 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.17 0 1 1 22 19:58 0 -1 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.15 1 1 2 23 18:57 2 +1 0 0
BUF Konsta Helenius (C) 0.14 0 0 0 17 16:12 2 -1 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.12 1 0 1 21 15:44 2 +2 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.11 0 0 0 19 18:33 1 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.09 0 0 0 16 13:04 1 0 2 0
TOR Scott Laughton (C) 0.05 0 0 0 20 15:05 0 -1 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.03 0 0 0 21 17:02 0 +1 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.02 0 1 1 19 11:47 1 +1 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.02 0 0 0 13 11:14 1 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 11:20 0 +1 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.00 0 0 0 11 09:44 0 -2 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.00 0 1 1 19 13:36 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 18 11:54 0 +1 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.00 0 0 0 14 13:17 0 -2 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.37 3 2 5 28 26:24 7 +2 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.21 0 0 0 24 22:48 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.16 0 0 0 32 21:54 1 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.08 0 0 0 28 23:02 3 -1 0 0
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.05 0 0 0 17 15:08 2 +1 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.03 0 1 1 31 21:43 1 -3 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.02 0 0 0 9 08:17 1 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.02 0 0 0 29 20:52 1 0 0 0
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.01 0 0 0 27 19:47 1 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 16:40 0 -1 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.00 0 0 0 28 17:15 0 +1 2 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.00 0 3 3 27 21:41 0 +2 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Colten Ellis (G) +0.19% 0.889 0.1 2 16 47:46 18 W 0
TOR Joseph Woll (G) -7.40% 0.800 -3.3 6 24 58:08 30 L 0
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -24.67% 0.600 -1.5 2 3 12:14 5 - 0