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Saturday, April 5, 2025
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center (MSG-B)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
2 – 3
Final/SO
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
37% xGF%
63% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 2.36 goals BUF was expected to score 3.93 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG TBL BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 6:00 0.41 0 4:33 0.95 1
Even Strength 54:27 1.94 2 54:27 2.97 1
Penalty Kill 4:33 0.01 0 6:00 0.02 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 15:18 0.98 0 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 49:41 1.37 2 49:41 2.92 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 15:18 1.01 2
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 1:35 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (1-0)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 4:47 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (1-1)
  • ► Gage Goncalves scores at 13:01 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (2-1)
  • Jason Zucker scores at 5:07 in the 3rd period 0.17 xG (2-2)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF JJ Peterka (R) 0.94 0 0 0 24 19:35 6 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.44 1 0 1 14 11:42 4 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.39 0 1 1 23 19:54 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.36 1 0 1 25 22:50 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.35 0 0 0 24 18:17 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.35 0 1 1 19 16:06 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.23 0 0 0 25 24:31 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jiri Kulich (C) 0.22 0 0 0 22 18:04 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.22 1 0 1 25 22:24 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.22 1 0 1 18 15:47 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.21 0 0 0 23 17:29 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.20 0 0 0 21 13:22 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.20 0 1 1 15 13:50 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.19 0 1 1 25 23:25 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.14 0 0 0 27 21:53 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.12 0 0 0 23 19:27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Luke Glendening (C) 0.07 0 0 0 15 09:15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.06 0 0 0 14 11:01 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.05 0 1 1 22 17:22 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.05 0 0 0 21 15:49 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Sam Lafferty (C) 0.00 0 0 0 12 09:01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.00 0 0 0 11 08:37 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.00 0 0 0 15 09:52 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.42 0 0 0 29 25:28 4 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.25 0 1 1 29 23:16 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.20 0 0 0 23 20:12 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.12 0 0 0 27 20:18 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bernard-Docker (D) 0.09 0 0 0 18 14:10 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.08 0 0 0 24 22:27 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.05 0 0 0 16 11:41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Connor Clifton (D) 0.04 0 0 0 24 20:14 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.02 0 0 0 25 21:00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.02 0 0 0 13 10:20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.00 0 0 0 24 19:23 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 24:50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Perbix (D) 0.00 0 0 0 10 06:36 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Jonas Johansson (G) +5.08% 0.947 1.9 2 36 64:59 38 O 0
BUF James Reimer (G) +1.48% 0.917 0.4 2 22 65:00 24 W 0