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Sunday, April 13, 2025
6:00 PM ET
Amalie Arena (MSG-B)
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
4 – 7
Final
Tampa Bay Lightning
 TBL
35% xGF%
65% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 2.48 goals TBL was expected to score 4.54 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 2 Cumulative xG BUF TBL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Tampa Bay Lightning
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play - 0.33 1 - 0.67 1
Even Strength - 2.15 3 - 3.77 6
Penalty Kill - 0.00 0 - 0.10 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 25:39 1.52 3
Up 1 3:10 0.04 0 10:49 1.08 1
Tied 20:22 0.91 1 20:22 1.71 2
Down 1 10:49 0.54 1 3:10 0.22 1
Down 2+ 25:39 0.98 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 16:35 in the 1st period 0.21 xG (0-1)
  • ► Jiri Kulich scores at 19:37 in the 1st period 0.21 xG (1-1)
  • ► Connor Clifton scores at 19:52 in the 1st period 0.25 xG (2-1)
  • ► Ryan McDonagh scores at 3:02 in the 2nd period 0.03 xG (2-2)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 6:34 in the 2nd period 0.29 xG (2-3)
  • ► Conor Geekie scores at 14:21 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (2-4)
  • ► Emil Lilleberg scores at 16:45 in the 2nd period 0.02 xG (2-5)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 2:39 in the 3rd period 0.12 xG (2-6)
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 8:39 in the 3rd period 0.17 xG (3-6)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 13:12 in the 3rd period 0.23 xG (3-7)
  • ► Sam Lafferty scores at 18:23 in the 3rd period 0.06 xG (4-7)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.88 2 1 3 24 19:42 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.69 2 0 2 25 18:16 4 +1 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.67 1 0 1 21 12:40 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.43 0 3 3 26 20:24 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Sam Lafferty (C) 0.33 1 0 1 17 11:34 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.31 0 2 2 26 20:59 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.30 0 1 1 22 15:43 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.30 1 0 1 25 19:04 1 -2 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Jiri Kulich (C) 0.29 1 0 1 21 12:56 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.26 0 1 1 23 18:56 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.26 0 1 1 21 13:16 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.24 0 0 0 22 18:18 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.23 0 2 2 23 15:51 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.19 0 0 0 20 16:22 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.17 0 0 0 18 12:44 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Mitchell Chaffee (R) 0.13 0 1 1 16 10:38 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.13 0 1 1 20 14:41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.12 0 0 0 19 11:45 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.11 0 0 0 21 15:22 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF JJ Peterka (R) 0.05 0 1 1 22 16:37 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.04 0 0 0 16 09:25 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.00 0 1 1 21 17:48 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.00 0 0 0 23 15:47 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Connor Clifton (D) 0.26 1 0 1 26 19:07 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.13 0 1 1 29 21:33 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.11 0 2 2 28 24:11 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bernard-Docker (D) 0.08 0 0 0 20 14:08 4 -2 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.07 1 0 1 24 18:14 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Perbix (D) 0.06 0 0 0 22 17:08 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.06 0 0 0 23 17:23 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.04 1 0 1 22 16:27 1 +2 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.03 0 0 0 27 21:46 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.03 0 0 0 10 09:06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.01 0 0 0 28 21:59 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 18:03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 20 15:40 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Jonas Johansson (G) -6.08% 0.840 -1.5 4 21 60:00 25 W 0
BUF James Reimer (G) -7.94% 0.774 -2.5 7 24 60:00 31 L 0