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Sunday, September 21, 2025 (3:00 PM ET)
Canadian Tire Centre
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 – 3
Final
Ottawa Senators
 OTT
27% xGF%
73% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 1.39 goals OTT was expected to score 3.66 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG TOR OTT Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Ottawa Senators
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 6:28 0.53 2 13:20 1.06 1
Even Strength 40:12 0.83 2 40:12 2.60 2
Penalty Kill 13:20 0.02 0 6:28 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 31:46 0.69 2 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 27:27 0.53 1 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 0:47 0.17 1 0:47 0.38 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 27:27 1.89 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 31:46 1.39 3
  • ► Calle Jarnkrok scores at 0:47 in the 1st period 0.17 xG (1-0)
  • ► Nicholas Robertson scores at 12:47 in the 1st period 0.03 xG (2-0)
  • ► William Villeneuve scores at 18:00 in the 1st period 0.04 xG (3-0)
  • ► Ridly Greig scores at 1:45 in the 2nd period 0.19 xG (3-1)
  • ► Unknown scores at 5:42 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (4-1)
  • ► Arthur Kaliyev scores at 13:12 in the 2nd period 0.21 xG (4-2)
  • ► Olle Lycksell scores at 4:33 in the 3rd period 0.18 xG (4-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TOR TOR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
OTT Ridly Greig (C) 0.58 1 1 2 24 16:15 4 +2 4 0
OTT Tim Stützle (C) 0.54 0 0 0 25 22:27 0 0 0 0
OTT Arthur Kaliyev (R) 0.50 1 0 1 20 14:21 4 +1 0 0
OTT Brady Tkachuk (L) 0.45 0 1 1 22 18:13 5 0 2 0
OTT Olle Lycksell (R) 0.29 1 0 1 24 18:46 2 0 0 1
OTT Zack MacEwen (R) 0.28 0 0 0 13 08:45 2 -2 5 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.28 1 0 1 23 17:15 3 0 0 0
OTT David Perron (L) 0.24 0 1 1 22 14:24 2 +2 2 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.17 1 0 1 24 19:00 1 +1 0 0
OTT Claude Giroux (R) 0.16 0 0 0 26 19:30 1 +1 0 0
OTT Drake Batherson (R) 0.16 0 2 2 23 18:01 1 +1 4 0
TOR Luke Haymes (C) 0.15 0 1 1 19 14:58 2 0 0 0
TOR David Kampf (C) 0.15 0 1 1 30 20:11 2 +1 0 0
TOR Unknown (?) 0.14 0 0 0 27 18:41 0 0 4 0
TOR Unknown (?) 0.10 1 0 1 19 11:42 2 -1 0 1
OTT Unknown (?) 0.08 0 0 0 14 08:57 2 -2 0 0
TOR Michael Pezzetta (L) 0.08 0 0 0 14 10:56 2 +1 4 0
TOR Unknown (?) 0.06 0 1 1 15 10:36 0 0 2 0
TOR Bo Groulx (C) 0.05 0 1 1 23 17:34 2 +1 0 0
TOR Jacob Quillan (C) 0.04 0 0 0 21 15:02 2 -2 2 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.03 0 0 0 18 14:19 1 +1 0 0
OTT Nick Cousins (C) 0.01 0 0 0 17 12:10 1 -2 0 0
OTT Unknown (?) 0.01 0 0 0 19 12:15 1 0 0 0
TOR Unknown (?) 0.00 0 0 0 15 10:43 0 0 0 0
TOR Unknown (?) 0.00 0 0 0 15 09:56 0 -1 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
OTT Thomas Chabot (D) 0.15 0 0 0 27 25:43 3 0 2 0
TOR Henry Thrun (D) 0.07 0 0 0 28 19:20 1 0 2 0
OTT Donovan Sebrango (D) 0.07 0 1 1 20 15:38 2 0 0 0
OTT Tyler Kleven (D) 0.07 0 0 0 17 13:20 1 -1 0 0
TOR William Villeneuve (D) 0.06 1 0 1 24 18:02 1 0 0 1
OTT Jordan Spence (D) 0.04 0 0 0 25 21:36 2 +1 0 0
OTT Lassi Thomson (D) 0.03 0 0 0 22 17:25 1 0 0 0
OTT Nikolas Matinpalo (D) 0.02 0 0 0 20 15:40 1 -1 0 0
TOR Dakota Mermis (D) 0.02 0 0 0 28 21:10 1 +1 0 0
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.00 0 1 1 27 19:01 0 0 2 0
TOR Marshall Rifai (D) 0.00 0 0 0 24 18:08 0 -2 7 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Artur Akhtyamov (G) +3.30% 0.941 0.6 1 16 30:00 17 W 0
TOR Unknown (G) +0.55% 0.889 0.1 2 16 30:00 18 - 0
OTT Mads Sogaard (G) -1.70% 0.917 -0.2 1 11 37:34 12 L 0
OTT Linus Ullmark (G) -30.10% 0.625 -2.4 3 5 20:00 8 - 0