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Saturday, September 27, 2025 (3:00 PM ET)
KeyBank Center
59% xGF%
41% xGF%
DET was expected to score 3.05 goals BUF was expected to score 2.08 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG DET BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Detroit Red Wings Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 7:51 0.37 0 3:32 0.13 1
Even Strength 48:37 2.67 2 48:37 1.95 3
Penalty Kill 3:32 0.00 0 7:51 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 38:55 1.03 0
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 17:24 0.97 3
Tied 3:41 0.21 0 3:41 0.09 1
Down 1 17:24 0.87 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 38:55 1.97 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Rasmus Dahlin scores at 3:41 in the 1st period 0.02 xG (0-1)
  • ► Radim Mrtka scores at 12:17 in the 1st period 0.13 xG (0-2)
  • ► Patrick Kane scores at 18:27 in the 1st period 0.13 xG (1-2)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 0:14 in the 2nd period 0.04 xG (1-3)
  • ► Marco Kasper scores at 13:36 in the 2nd period 0.22 xG (2-3)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 0:37 in the 3rd period 0.10 xG (2-4)
  • ► Josh Norris scores at 19:47 in the 3rd period (2-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
DET Alex DeBrincat (R) 0.70 0 2 2 24 20:04 5 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.66 2 1 3 20 20:02 4 +3 0 1
DET Marco Kasper (C) 0.53 1 0 1 25 19:52 3 0 0 0
DET Mason Appleton (C) 0.39 0 0 0 25 14:46 2 -1 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.34 0 0 0 21 16:18 2 0 0 0
DET Patrick Kane (R) 0.28 1 0 1 24 20:33 4 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.24 1 2 3 21 20:18 1 +3 0 0
DET Michael Rasmussen (C) 0.18 0 0 0 22 14:44 1 -1 0 0
DET Andrew Copp (C) 0.16 0 0 0 25 17:40 1 -1 0 0
DET Unknown (?) 0.14 0 0 0 14 10:08 1 0 0 0
BUF Unknown (?) 0.13 1 0 1 21 17:03 1 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.09 0 0 0 20 16:08 0 0 0 0
DET Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (R) 0.08 0 0 0 19 16:45 1 -1 0 0
DET Unknown (?) 0.06 0 0 0 26 18:38 1 -2 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.06 0 1 1 21 18:00 1 0 0 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.05 0 0 0 17 11:58 1 0 0 0
BUF Unknown (?) 0.05 0 0 0 15 10:08 0 -1 0 0
DET Unknown (?) 0.04 0 0 0 25 15:52 2 -1 0 0
BUF Konsta Helenius (C) 0.03 0 1 1 16 10:26 1 -1 0 0
BUF Isak Rosen (R) 0.01 0 1 1 16 10:24 1 -1 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 13:58 1 0 0 0
DET Unknown (?) 0.00 0 0 0 20 15:43 0 -2 0 0
DET Unknown (?) 0.00 0 0 0 13 09:27 0 0 0 0
BUF Mason Geertsen (L) 0.00 0 0 0 17 12:26 0 0 0 0
DET Unknown (?) 0.00 0 0 0 13 10:00 0 0 0 0
DET Carter Mazur (L) 0.00 0 0 0 21 16:50 0 -1 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.00 0 1 1 21 18:28 0 +3 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
DET Axel Sandin-Pellikka (D) 0.25 0 0 0 27 24:14 2 0 0 0
BUF Ryan Johnson (D) 0.19 0 0 0 23 18:01 1 0 2 0
DET Ben Chiarot (D) 0.16 0 1 1 24 18:40 2 +1 0 0
BUF Conor Timmins (D) 0.11 0 0 0 26 20:47 1 0 2 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.08 1 0 1 27 22:46 5 +1 0 0
DET Jacob Bernard-Docker (D) 0.05 0 0 0 30 18:16 2 -1 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.04 0 1 1 27 21:40 0 +2 0 0
DET Albert Johansson (D) 0.01 0 0 0 27 18:07 1 -1 2 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.01 0 0 0 22 17:09 1 +1 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Alex Lyon (G) +3.74% 0.929 1.0 2 26 60:00 28 W 0
DET Unknown (G) -9.60% 0.800 -1.9 4 16 56:09 20 L 0