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Wednesday, October 1, 2025
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center (MSG-B)
PIT
Pittsburgh Penguins
5 – 3
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
39% xGF%
61% xGF%
PIT was expected to score 2.51 goals BUF was expected to score 3.98 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG PIT BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Pittsburgh Penguins Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 8:39 0.82 3 7:43 1.56 1
Even Strength 43:38 1.69 1 43:38 2.42 2
Penalty Kill 7:43 0.00 0 8:39 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 8:19 0.07 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 25:59 1.29 2 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 25:42 1.14 2 25:42 0.97 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 25:59 1.57 1
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 8:19 1.44 2
  • ► Tristan Broz scores at 17:32 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (1-0)
  • ► Josh Norris scores at 17:42 in the 1st period 0.13 xG (1-1)
  • ► Mathew Dumba scores at 5:52 in the 2nd period 0.04 xG (2-1)
  • Avery Hayes scores at 19:54 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (3-1)
  • ► Josh Norris scores at 4:29 in the 3rd period 0.18 xG (3-2)
  • ► Ville Koivunen scores at 10:01 in the 3rd period 0.17 xG (4-2)
  • ► Rasmus Dahlin scores at 11:42 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (4-3)
  • ► Filip Hallander scores at 17:57 in the 3rd period (5-3)
PIT PIT xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.64 0 1 1 21 18:52 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.56 0 0 0 17 12:50 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Avery Hayes (R) 0.48 1 0 1 20 14:37 3 +2 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.45 2 0 2 23 18:59 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Ville Koivunen (R) 0.41 1 0 1 18 16:44 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.41 0 0 0 15 12:32 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Justin Danforth (R) 0.32 0 0 0 17 11:55 3 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.29 0 0 0 19 14:46 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.23 0 0 0 24 21:29 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.23 0 0 0 23 18:49 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Blake Lizotte (C) 0.20 0 0 0 22 16:12 0 -1 4 0 0 0 0
PIT Philip Tomasino (R) 0.20 0 2 2 17 14:28 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Tristan Broz (C) 0.17 1 0 1 20 13:55 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
PIT Filip Hallander (C) 0.16 1 1 2 17 14:07 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jiri Kulich (C) 0.15 0 0 0 20 15:11 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ben Kindel (C) 0.13 0 1 1 20 17:25 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mason Geertsen (L) 0.13 0 0 0 10 09:10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Noel Acciari (C) 0.13 0 0 0 22 14:00 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Rafael Harvey-Pinard (L) 0.10 0 0 0 17 13:18 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.05 0 2 2 20 14:15 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Robby Fabbri (C) 0.03 0 2 2 16 13:42 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.02 0 0 0 20 16:27 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Danton Heinen (L) 0.00 0 0 0 19 14:09 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Unknown (?) 0.00 0 0 0 20 15:35 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Joona Koppanen (L) 0.00 0 1 1 18 12:40 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.40 1 0 1 24 27:07 4 -1 0 1 0 0 0
PIT Mathew Dumba (D) 0.24 1 1 2 25 25:44 4 +3 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ryan Graves (D) 0.14 0 0 0 24 20:02 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Harrison Brunicke (D) 0.08 0 0 0 27 22:35 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.04 0 0 0 15 14:26 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Conor Timmins (D) 0.04 0 0 0 23 18:40 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Ryan Shea (D) 0.02 0 1 1 27 24:31 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan Johnson (D) 0.01 0 1 1 24 17:40 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Owen Pickering (D) 0.01 0 0 0 27 18:41 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 17:01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Jack St. Ivany (D) 0.00 0 0 0 5 04:32 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
PIT Arturs Silovs (G) +3.16% 0.903 1.0 3 28 59:37 31 W 0
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -0.38% 0.917 0.0 1 11 20:00 12 - 0
BUF Unknown (G) -11.14% 0.769 -1.4 3 10 37:22 13 L 0