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Tuesday, October 14, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena (ESPN)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
2 – 3
Final/OT
Washington Capitals
 WSH
37% xGF%
63% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 1.79 goals WSH was expected to score 3.04 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TBL WSH Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Washington Capitals
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:15 0.27 1 5:21 0.36 1
Even Strength 51:43 1.51 1 51:43 2.39 2
Penalty Kill 5:21 0.00 0 4:15 0.29 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 34:05 1.00 0 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 27:14 0.78 2 27:14 1.55 1
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 34:05 1.49 2
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 7:06 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (1-0)
  • ► Aliaksei Protas scores at 17:38 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (1-1)
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 1:23 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (2-1)
  • ► Tom Wilson scores at 4:56 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (2-2)
  • ► Jakob Chychrun scores at 1:19 in the OT period 0.21 xG (2-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
WSH WSH xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
WSH Tom Wilson (R) 0.55 1 2 3 26 20:21 3 +2 0 1 0 0 0
WSH Alex Ovechkin (L) 0.39 0 0 0 23 18:33 3 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.38 1 0 1 28 19:45 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.35 0 0 0 25 18:17 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.33 1 0 1 27 20:13 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
WSH Aliaksei Protas (C) 0.31 1 0 1 26 18:30 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.29 0 1 1 26 21:05 2 -1 2 0 0 0 0
WSH Dylan Strome (C) 0.28 0 2 2 23 21:48 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Justin Sourdif (R) 0.20 0 0 0 22 12:48 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Connor McMichael (C) 0.19 0 1 1 21 13:33 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Ryan Leonard (R) 0.18 0 0 0 14 10:35 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.08 0 0 0 23 16:49 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.04 0 0 0 13 07:52 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Mitchell Chaffee (R) 0.04 0 0 0 14 08:04 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Brandon Duhaime (R) 0.03 0 0 0 24 14:08 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Curtis Douglas (C) 0.03 0 0 0 12 07:05 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
WSH Anthony Beauvillier (L) 0.03 0 0 0 24 16:42 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.01 0 0 0 20 14:53 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.00 0 0 0 22 12:51 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.00 0 1 1 29 17:33 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Sonny Milano (L) 0.00 0 0 0 12 10:51 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Hendrix Lapierre (C) 0.00 0 0 0 12 08:16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Nic Dowd (C) 0.00 0 0 0 24 16:39 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.00 0 0 0 23 16:38 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
WSH John Carlson (D) 0.49 0 1 1 24 26:10 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Jakob Chychrun (D) 0.31 1 0 1 23 20:40 4 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.19 0 0 0 29 25:26 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Martin Fehérváry (D) 0.04 0 0 0 20 18:19 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.03 0 0 0 23 15:53 2 0 4 0 0 0 0
WSH Matt Roy (D) 0.03 0 0 0 21 18:17 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Rasmus Sandin (D) 0.02 0 0 0 22 18:51 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Trevor van Riemsdyk (D) 0.02 0 0 0 20 14:59 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.01 0 0 0 30 23:18 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.00 0 1 1 31 24:41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.00 0 1 1 28 24:04 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.00 0 0 0 4 04:27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) +0.15% 0.893 0.0 3 25 61:01 28 O 0
WSH Logan Thompson (G) -1.12% 0.895 -0.2 2 17 61:19 19 W 0