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Friday, October 24, 2025
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center (ESPN+)
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 – 5
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
54% xGF%
46% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 2.76 goals BUF was expected to score 2.35 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TOR BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 7:43 0.99 1 2:03 0.22 0
Even Strength 50:14 1.77 2 50:14 1.65 4
Penalty Kill 2:03 0.00 0 7:43 0.48 1
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 11:46 0.19 0
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 27:50 1.20 2
Tied 20:24 0.80 0 20:24 0.96 3
Down 1 27:50 1.29 2 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 11:46 0.67 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Mattias Samuelsson scores at 4:38 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (0-1)
  • ► William Nylander scores at 5:01 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (1-1)
  • ► Jiri Kulich scores at 6:12 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (1-2)
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 12:45 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (2-2)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 7:20 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (2-3)
  • ► Mattias Samuelsson scores at 13:10 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (2-4)
  • ► Dakota Joshua scores at 1:55 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (3-4)
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 16:59 in the 3rd period 0.17 xG (3-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.38 1 1 2 24 19:06 5 +3 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.34 0 0 0 21 19:03 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.33 1 0 1 27 23:48 4 0 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.33 0 0 0 16 12:14 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.33 0 0 0 20 14:16 4 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.33 0 1 1 25 20:25 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.28 0 1 1 20 19:16 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.25 0 0 0 17 14:40 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.25 1 0 1 23 17:39 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.25 0 1 1 21 15:11 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.24 1 0 1 20 12:36 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.22 1 1 2 25 19:34 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.19 0 0 0 17 12:47 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.15 0 0 0 18 11:57 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.13 0 1 1 27 20:03 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.12 0 1 1 15 11:05 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jiri Kulich (C) 0.10 1 1 2 22 16:50 1 +3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.09 0 0 0 21 14:55 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.08 0 1 1 19 13:43 1 0 4 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.01 0 0 0 15 10:49 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.00 0 0 0 13 10:16 1 -2 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.00 0 0 0 24 18:09 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.00 0 0 0 3 01:49 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 12:28 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.21 2 0 2 31 23:38 3 +4 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.17 0 2 2 32 25:50 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.12 0 0 0 20 14:05 3 -3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Conor Timmins (D) 0.07 0 0 0 29 23:37 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.03 0 1 1 27 21:25 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Dakota Mermis (D) 0.02 0 0 0 22 13:12 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.02 0 1 1 30 21:31 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.02 0 1 1 30 20:28 0 0 4 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.02 0 0 0 29 20:32 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.00 0 1 1 26 20:02 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.00 0 0 0 26 16:53 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.00 0 0 0 14 09:41 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Alex Lyon (G) -0.71% 0.912 -0.2 3 31 60:00 34 W 0
TOR Anthony Stolarz (G) -8.85% 0.833 -2.7 5 25 57:09 30 L 0