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Tuesday, October 28, 2025 (7:45 PM ET)
Bridgestone Arena | FDSNSO
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
5 – 2
Final
Nashville Predators
 NSH
66% xGF%
34% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 3.65 goals NSH was expected to score 1.84 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 2 Cumulative xG TBL NSH Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Nashville Predators
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 8:11 0.73 0 7:50 1.14 1
Even Strength 43:59 2.92 4 43:59 0.60 1
Penalty Kill 7:50 0.00 0 8:11 0.10 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 20:17 0.62 1 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 29:12 2.38 2 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 10:31 0.64 1 10:31 0.87 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 29:12 0.28 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 20:17 0.70 2
  • ► Zemgus Girgensons scores at 10:31 in the 1st period 0.22 xG (1-0)
  • ► Brandon Hagel scores at 15:37 in the 2nd period 0.28 xG (2-0)
  • ► Luke Evangelista scores at 5:05 in the 3rd period 0.17 xG (2-1)
  • ► Charle-Edouard D'Astous scores at 7:58 in the 3rd period 0.09 xG (3-1)
  • ► Filip Forsberg scores at 17:54 in the 3rd period 0.04 xG (3-2)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 19:07 in the 3rd period (4-2)
  • ► Zemgus Girgensons scores at 19:33 in the 3rd period 0.20 xG (5-2)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.71 1 1 2 27 23:55 4 +2 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.50 0 2 2 19 11:38 3 +2 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.49 2 0 2 22 13:14 2 +1 0 0
NSH Jonathan Marchessault (C) 0.42 0 0 0 21 16:22 3 -2 0 0
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.34 0 0 0 16 12:32 4 +1 2 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.33 0 1 1 20 17:30 1 +1 2 0
NSH Matthew Wood (R) 0.29 0 0 0 18 13:53 2 0 0 0
NSH Erik Haula (L) 0.26 0 2 2 23 14:04 3 -2 2 0
NSH Luke Evangelista (R) 0.26 1 1 2 17 13:27 2 0 0 1
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.18 0 0 0 13 09:22 1 +1 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.18 0 2 2 26 21:30 1 +2 0 0
NSH Steven Stamkos (C) 0.17 0 0 0 20 16:23 3 -1 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.15 0 0 0 19 17:13 1 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.11 1 1 2 22 19:57 4 +2 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.08 0 0 0 14 11:48 1 0 0 0
TBL Curtis Douglas (C) 0.07 0 0 0 8 04:37 1 0 0 0
NSH Filip Forsberg (L) 0.04 1 0 1 20 17:08 1 0 2 0
NSH Ozzy Wiesblatt (R) 0.03 0 0 0 13 09:28 1 -1 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.00 0 1 1 22 14:32 1 +2 0 0
NSH Cole Smith (R) 0.00 0 0 0 19 14:03 1 -2 0 0
NSH Michael McCarron (C) 0.00 0 0 0 20 15:30 0 0 0 0
NSH Michael Bunting (L) 0.00 0 0 0 18 14:17 0 0 2 0
NSH Tyson Jost (C) 0.00 0 0 0 14 12:13 0 -2 0 0
NSH Ryan O'Reilly (C) 0.00 0 0 0 22 21:19 0 -1 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.23 1 0 1 20 17:11 2 +3 2 0
NSH Brady Skjei (D) 0.20 0 1 1 28 26:55 3 -2 0 0
NSH Nick Perbix (D) 0.11 0 0 0 29 24:57 1 -2 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.09 0 0 0 23 18:15 1 0 2 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.09 0 0 0 24 21:14 2 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.05 0 0 0 25 21:51 1 +1 0 0
NSH Justin Barron (D) 0.05 0 0 0 22 18:14 0 -1 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.03 0 0 0 20 16:06 1 +1 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.02 0 1 1 25 18:26 1 +1 2 0
NSH Spencer Stastney (D) 0.02 0 0 0 23 16:29 0 -3 2 0
NSH Adam Wilsby (D) 0.00 0 0 0 8 05:36 0 0 2 0
NSH Nicolas Hague (D) 0.00 0 0 0 25 20:12 0 -1 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -0.78% 0.900 -0.2 2 18 59:49 20 W 0
NSH Juuse Saros (G) -1.13% 0.871 -0.4 4 27 57:30 31 L 0