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Thursday, November 6, 2025
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center (MSG-B)
STL
St. Louis Blues
3 – 0
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
35% xGF%
65% xGF%
STL was expected to score 1.53 goals BUF was expected to score 2.81 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG STL BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State St. Louis Blues Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play — 0.34 0 — 0.69 0
Even Strength — 0.96 1 — 2.03 0
Penalty Kill — 0.23 1 — 0.09 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 37:18 0.65 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 10:04 0.38 1 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 12:38 0.50 1 12:38 0.64 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 10:04 0.16 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 37:18 2.01 0
  • ► Mathieu Joseph scores at 12:38 in the 1st period 0.20 xG (1-0)
  • ► Nick Bjugstad scores at 2:42 in the 2nd period 0.05 xG (2-0)
  • ► Justin Faulk scores at 18:58 in the 3rd period (3-0)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
STL STL xWin%
—
Bayesian xGF% Analysis →
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.66 0 0 0 23 18:24
BUF Isak Rosen (R) 0.36 0 0 0 22 17:10
STL Brayden Schenn (C) 0.33 0 0 0 25 16:43
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.32 0 0 0 24 16:07
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.28 0 0 0 20 20:16
STL Nathan Walker (L) 0.23 0 0 0 18 12:10
STL Mathieu Joseph (R) 0.20 1 2 3 19 12:21
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.16 0 0 0 16 10:10
STL Jimmy Snuggerud (R) 0.15 0 0 0 22 17:00
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.15 0 0 0 13 10:17
STL Robert Thomas (C) 0.15 0 0 0 21 15:28
STL Alexey Toropchenko (R) 0.13 0 0 0 21 13:12
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.13 0 0 0 25 19:04
STL Nick Bjugstad (C) 0.08 1 0 1 20 11:27
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.07 0 0 0 17 14:41
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.06 0 0 0 12 08:39
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.06 0 0 0 24 20:00
STL Pavel Buchnevich (L) 0.03 0 0 0 23 17:13
STL Pius Suter (C) 0.02 0 0 0 22 17:08
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.00 0 0 0 16 11:25
STL Alexandre Texier (L) 0.00 0 0 0 19 12:23
STL Dylan Holloway (L) 0.00 0 0 0 23 17:18
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.00 0 0 0 20 13:46
STL Dalibor Dvorsky (R) 0.00 0 0 0 16 12:22
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.27 0 0 0 26 22:43
STL Cam Fowler (D) 0.16 0 0 0 29 24:08
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.13 0 0 0 23 21:03
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.09 0 0 0 21 15:59
BUF Conor Timmins (D) 0.04 0 0 0 22 17:19
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.03 0 0 0 24 22:58
STL Justin Faulk (D) 0.03 1 1 2 29 24:16
STL Colton Parayko (D) 0.01 0 0 0 33 25:11
STL Tyler Tucker (D) 0.01 0 0 0 15 09:26
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 16:09
STL Philip Broberg (D) 0.00 0 0 0 32 27:09
STL Matthew Kessel (D) 0.00 0 0 0 13 09:05
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI
STL Joel Hofer (G) +10.05% 1.000 2.8 0 28 60:00
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -2.93% 0.875 -0.5 2 14 59:50