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Saturday, November 15, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena (MSG-B)
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
5 – 4
Final/OT
Detroit Red Wings
 DET
51% xGF%
49% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 3.10 goals DET was expected to score 2.95 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG BUF DET Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Detroit Red Wings
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 6:15 0.69 0 6:03 1.33 1
Even Strength 48:47 2.29 4 48:47 1.62 3
Penalty Kill 6:03 0.12 1 6:15 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 18:29 0.72 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 7:36 0.97 1
Tied 35:00 1.10 1 35:00 1.26 2
Down 1 7:36 1.09 2 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 18:29 0.91 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Patrick Kane scores at 10:23 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (0-1)
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 10:52 in the 1st period 0.13 xG (1-1)
  • ► Alex DeBrincat scores at 3:52 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (1-2)
  • ► Dylan Larkin scores at 5:56 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (1-3)
  • ► Alex DeBrincat scores at 8:50 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (1-4)
  • ► Josh Doan scores at 17:58 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (2-4)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 4:25 in the 3rd period 0.24 xG (3-4)
  • ► Ryan McLeod scores at 9:28 in the 3rd period 0.12 xG (4-4)
  • ► Mattias Samuelsson scores at 1:05 in the OT period 0.17 xG (5-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
—
Bayesian xGF% Analysis →
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
DET Alex DeBrincat (R) 0.73 2 0 2 25 18:04
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.70 1 1 2 26 18:07
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.45 1 1 2 24 16:10
DET Patrick Kane (R) 0.41 1 0 1 20 17:06
DET Dylan Larkin (C) 0.40 1 0 1 29 21:53
DET J.T. Compher (L) 0.38 0 0 0 23 15:44
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.33 0 0 0 21 16:42
BUF Isak Rosen (R) 0.28 0 0 0 18 14:32
DET Nate Danielson (C) 0.26 0 0 0 16 12:12
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.20 1 0 1 31 18:20
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.15 1 0 1 32 19:20
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.14 0 0 0 21 13:22
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.13 0 0 0 19 15:14
DET Michael Rasmussen (C) 0.11 0 0 0 18 11:25
DET Lucas Raymond (L) 0.11 0 3 3 24 16:47
DET Marco Kasper (C) 0.09 0 0 0 20 15:47
DET Jonatan Berggren (R) 0.06 0 0 0 15 09:25
DET Mason Appleton (C) 0.04 0 0 0 19 15:27
DET Emmitt Finnie (C) 0.03 0 0 0 20 14:26
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.01 0 0 0 22 13:01
DET Andrew Copp (C) 0.00 0 0 0 20 12:20
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.00 0 0 0 21 12:58
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 17 11:28
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.00 0 0 0 11 08:14
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.28 0 2 2 32 27:05
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.20 0 1 1 27 20:28
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.17 1 0 1 29 22:31
DET Moritz Seider (D) 0.16 0 2 2 32 24:39
DET Jacob Bernard-Docker (D) 0.12 0 0 0 18 13:56
DET Albert Johansson (D) 0.03 0 0 0 21 13:36
DET Axel Sandin-Pellikka (D) 0.03 0 0 0 27 22:59
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.03 0 0 0 15 10:59
BUF Conor Timmins (D) 0.01 0 0 0 25 18:51
DET Simon Edvinsson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 16:05
DET Ben Chiarot (D) 0.00 0 1 1 31 23:59
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.00 0 0 0 28 17:35
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI
BUF Colten Ellis (G) -3.75% 0.857 -1.0 4 24 61:02
DET John Gibson (G) -7.04% 0.815 -1.9 5 22 60:30