bpdatabases logo bpdatabases logo

Loading game data…

Saturday, November 29, 2025
2:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden (NHLN)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
4 – 1
Final
New York Rangers
 NYR
64% xGF%
36% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 3.57 goals NYR was expected to score 1.97 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TBL NYR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning New York Rangers
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play — 0.60 0 — 0.67 0
Even Strength — 2.96 3 — 1.08 1
Penalty Kill — 0.01 0 — 0.21 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 26:32 0.85 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 22:35 1.78 2 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 10:53 0.93 1 10:53 0.02 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 22:35 0.68 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 26:32 1.27 1
  • ► Brandon Hagel scores at 10:53 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (1-0)
  • ► Brandon Hagel scores at 8:57 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (2-0)
  • ► J.T. Miller scores at 17:31 in the 2nd period 0.31 xG (2-1)
  • ► Nick Paul scores at 2:02 in the 3rd period 0.18 xG (3-1)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 19:42 in the 3rd period (4-1)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
—
Bayesian xGF% Analysis →
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.86 2 0 2 22 18:59
NYR Vincent Trocheck (C) 0.49 0 0 0 22 22:51
NYR J.T. Miller (C) 0.48 1 0 1 22 20:18
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.47 0 0 0 21 17:51
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.46 1 0 1 17 17:51
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.36 0 0 0 21 19:05
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.33 1 0 1 16 14:11
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.30 0 0 0 14 13:25
NYR Artemi Panarin (L) 0.28 0 0 0 20 23:40
NYR Taylor Raddysh (R) 0.21 0 0 0 14 09:39
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.15 0 3 3 19 21:40
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.09 0 0 0 16 16:03
NYR Will Cuylle (L) 0.09 0 0 0 23 22:07
NYR Mika Zibanejad (C) 0.08 0 1 1 21 21:18
NYR Noah Laba (C) 0.06 0 0 0 16 14:14
NYR Adam Edstrom (C) 0.02 0 0 0 10 07:01
NYR Alexis Lafrenière (L) 0.01 0 0 0 19 18:30
TBL Curtis Douglas (C) 0.00 0 0 0 7 05:06
NYR Brett Berard (L) 0.00 0 0 0 15 11:49
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.00 0 0 0 13 08:15
NYR Sam Carrick (C) 0.00 0 0 0 10 06:55
NYR Jonny Brodzinski (C) 0.00 0 0 0 14 11:13
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.00 0 0 0 12 09:20
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.00 0 1 1 19 18:21
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.22 0 3 3 24 25:22
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.20 0 0 0 25 23:44
NYR Carson Soucy (D) 0.18 0 0 0 22 19:12
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.05 0 1 1 24 20:44
NYR Adam Fox (D) 0.04 0 1 1 18 16:27
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.04 0 0 0 22 22:17
TBL Steven Santini (D) 0.03 0 0 0 14 10:41
NYR Braden Schneider (D) 0.01 0 0 0 18 15:48
NYR Matthew Robertson (D) 0.01 0 0 0 17 13:10
NYR Vladislav Gavrikov (D) 0.01 0 0 0 22 24:23
NYR Will Borgen (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 19:50
TBL Declan Carlile (D) 0.00 0 0 0 17 13:05
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI
TBL Jonas Johansson (G) +7.43% 0.923 1.0 1 12 60:00
NYR Igor Shesterkin (G) +1.64% 0.912 0.6 3 31 57:35