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Saturday, January 3, 2026
4:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose (NBCSCA)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
7 – 3
Final
San Jose Sharks
 SJS
54% xGF%
46% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 3.85 goals SJS was expected to score 3.28 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG TBL SJS Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning San Jose Sharks
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play - 0.91 3 - 1.15 1
Even Strength - 2.94 4 - 2.13 2
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 55:52 3.52 5 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 1:31 0.06 1 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 2:37 0.27 1 2:37 0.03 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 1:31 0.05 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 55:52 3.20 3
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 2:37 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (1-0)
  • ► Darren Raddysh scores at 4:08 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (2-0)
  • ► Brandon Hagel scores at 6:46 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (3-0)
  • ► Pavol Regenda scores at 10:50 in the 1st period 0.26 xG (3-1)
  • ► Darren Raddysh scores at 2:49 in the 2nd period 0.04 xG (4-1)
  • ► Dominic James scores at 3:55 in the 2nd period 0.21 xG (5-1)
  • ► Pavol Regenda scores at 9:50 in the 2nd period 0.24 xG (5-2)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 14:08 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (6-2)
  • ► Darren Raddysh scores at 16:53 in the 2nd period 0.06 xG (7-2)
  • ► Pavol Regenda scores at 16:11 in the 3rd period 0.07 xG (7-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
SJS Pavol Regenda (L) 1.04 3 0 3 15 09:11 6 +1 2 1 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.63 0 0 0 17 15:19 3 -1 2 0 0 0 0
SJS Barclay Goodrow (C) 0.58 0 0 0 14 11:31 0 -2 12 0 0 0 0
SJS Macklin Celebrini (C) 0.58 0 1 1 21 24:19 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.54 0 0 0 17 13:27 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.46 0 0 0 16 13:36 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.44 1 4 5 18 15:37 2 +2 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.38 0 2 2 16 14:28 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.26 1 0 1 20 16:58 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.21 1 0 1 13 10:35 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.20 0 1 1 19 16:38 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
SJS William Eklund (L) 0.19 0 0 0 20 21:54 2 -1 4 0 0 0 0
SJS Jeff Skinner (L) 0.18 0 2 2 15 09:33 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.14 1 1 2 18 14:44 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
SJS Collin Graf (R) 0.13 0 0 0 20 17:17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SJS Tyler Toffoli (C) 0.12 0 0 0 16 13:56 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SJS Alexander Wennberg (C) 0.12 0 0 0 21 19:38 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.11 0 1 1 17 13:31 1 +2 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.08 0 2 2 19 16:56 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
SJS Igor Chernyshov (L) 0.06 0 0 0 18 16:05 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
SJS Zack Ostapchuk (C) 0.05 0 0 0 16 11:35 2 -2 2 0 0 0 0
SJS Ryan Reaves (R) 0.04 0 0 0 12 09:15 0 -2 4 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.02 0 0 0 20 18:08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SJS Ty Dellandrea (C) 0.02 0 0 0 16 10:28 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.18 3 0 3 19 20:48 3 +1 0 2 0 0 0
SJS Vincent Iorio (D) 0.06 0 0 0 25 23:58 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.06 0 1 1 25 20:48 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
SJS Dmitry Orlov (D) 0.06 0 0 0 24 23:20 1 0 4 0 0 0 0
TBL Declan Carlile (D) 0.06 0 0 0 22 17:36 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
SJS Sam Dickinson (D) 0.05 0 0 0 23 20:03 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.05 0 1 1 21 16:49 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.02 0 0 0 20 16:57 0 +1 6 0 0 0 0
SJS Timothy Liljegren (D) 0.01 0 2 2 26 21:39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.01 0 0 0 27 19:29 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
SJS Mario Ferraro (D) 0.00 0 0 0 21 21:02 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
SJS Shakir Mukhamadullin (D) 0.00 0 0 0 7 05:33 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) +1.27% 0.864 0.3 3 19 60:00 22 W 0
SJS Alex Nedeljkovic (G) -7.12% 0.750 -1.1 4 12 53:14 16 L 0
SJS Yaroslav Askarov (G) -20.09% 0.700 -2.0 3 7 06:46 10 - 0