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Saturday, January 10, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena (NBCSP)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
7 – 2
Final
Philadelphia Flyers
 PHI
55% xGF%
45% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 2.83 goals PHI was expected to score 2.33 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TBL PHI Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Philadelphia Flyers
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:00 0.72 0 2:32 1.02 1
Even Strength 53:28 2.11 7 53:28 1.29 1
Penalty Kill 2:32 0.00 0 4:00 0.02 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 26:23 1.22 4 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 29:58 1.45 1 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 3:39 0.17 2 3:39 0.02 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 29:58 1.72 1
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 26:23 0.58 1
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 1:49 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (1-0)
  • ► Garnet Hathaway scores at 4:15 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (1-1)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 6:05 in the 1st period 0.04 xG (2-1)
  • ► Nick Paul scores at 13:37 in the 2nd period 0.25 xG (3-1)
  • ► Gage Goncalves scores at 2:03 in the 3rd period 0.16 xG (4-1)
  • ► Brandon Hagel scores at 3:37 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (5-1)
  • ► Owen Tippett scores at 4:45 in the 3rd period 0.07 xG (5-2)
  • ► Yanni Gourde scores at 9:00 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (6-2)
  • ► Gage Goncalves scores at 11:00 in the 3rd period 0.09 xG (7-2)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
PHI Christian Dvorak (C) 0.49 0 1 1 20 18:11 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.40 0 0 0 20 15:28 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Owen Tippett (R) 0.37 1 0 1 19 15:56 3 -4 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.35 1 0 1 18 17:02 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Matvei Michkov (R) 0.32 0 0 0 20 17:10 2 -3 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.31 0 1 1 18 13:28 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.25 2 0 2 17 15:05 2 +4 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.24 1 0 1 20 16:19 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.22 1 0 1 19 16:10 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
PHI Carl Grundstrom (R) 0.20 0 0 0 18 13:49 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.19 2 2 4 17 14:24 2 +4 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.18 0 2 2 19 15:24 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.17 0 3 3 16 13:35 0 +4 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.16 0 1 1 17 17:41 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Rodrigo Abols (C) 0.15 0 1 1 15 11:10 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Sean Couturier (C) 0.15 0 0 0 20 15:59 0 -4 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Nikita Grebenkin (R) 0.14 0 0 0 21 15:40 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Garnet Hathaway (R) 0.14 1 0 1 17 11:37 1 +1 7 0 0 0 0
PHI Trevor Zegras (C) 0.10 0 0 0 21 17:11 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.08 0 0 0 18 14:04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Noah Cates (L) 0.03 0 0 0 21 15:22 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.00 0 0 0 15 12:11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Nicolas Deslauriers (L) 0.00 0 0 0 16 10:28 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Denver Barkey (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 14:30 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
PHI Emil Andrae (D) 0.14 0 0 0 26 20:22 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Declan Carlile (D) 0.10 0 0 0 17 15:39 2 0 5 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.06 0 0 0 22 21:29 2 +3 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Cam York (D) 0.06 0 0 0 25 19:55 2 -3 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.05 0 2 2 27 20:28 1 +3 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.04 0 1 1 23 21:57 1 +4 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.03 0 0 0 19 18:47 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Rasmus Ristolainen (D) 0.02 0 0 0 29 20:36 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Nick Seeler (D) 0.01 0 0 0 27 18:33 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Travis Sanheim (D) 0.00 0 0 0 25 20:26 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Noah Juulsen (D) 0.00 0 1 1 25 19:05 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.00 0 0 0 26 18:17 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) +1.63% 0.900 0.3 2 18 60:00 20 W 0
PHI Samuel Ersson (G) -18.12% 0.696 -4.2 7 16 60:00 23 L 0