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Monday, January 12, 2026
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center (MSG-B)
FLA
Florida Panthers
4 – 3
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
53% xGF%
47% xGF%
FLA was expected to score 2.75 goals BUF was expected to score 2.45 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG FLA BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Florida Panthers Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 0:42 0.20 1 6:32 0.30 1
Even Strength 52:46 2.41 2 52:46 2.15 2
Penalty Kill 6:32 0.13 0 0:42 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 38:23 1.37 0 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 20:37 1.37 3 20:37 0.97 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 38:23 1.31 2
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 1:00 0.17 1
  • ► Sam Reinhart scores at 2:35 in the 1st period 0.16 xG (1-0)
  • ► Jacob Bryson scores at 10:19 in the 1st period 0.02 xG (1-1)
  • ► A.J. Greer scores at 15:11 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (2-1)
  • ► Zach Benson scores at 17:57 in the 2nd period 0.39 xG (2-2)
  • ► Anton Lundell scores at 11:07 in the 3rd period 0.15 xG (3-2)
  • ► A.J. Greer scores at 18:46 in the 3rd period (4-2)
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 19:46 in the 3rd period 0.03 xG (4-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
FLA FLA xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
FLA Sam Reinhart (C) 0.66 1 0 1 27 20:55 7 0 0 1 0 0 0
FLA Anton Lundell (C) 0.54 1 0 1 27 18:53 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.50 0 1 1 24 22:08 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sam Bennett (C) 0.39 0 2 2 23 19:29 4 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.39 1 0 1 24 18:17 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.37 0 0 0 23 19:14 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.27 0 0 0 21 18:03 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.27 0 0 0 23 16:53 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.21 0 0 0 19 15:47 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Carter Verhaeghe (C) 0.19 0 3 3 23 20:39 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Mackie Samoskevich (R) 0.16 0 0 0 18 13:46 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.16 1 0 1 25 18:51 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Eetu Luostarinen (C) 0.14 0 1 1 25 18:29 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Luke Kunin (C) 0.12 0 0 0 11 06:25 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA A.J. Greer (L) 0.09 2 0 2 22 17:35 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Evan Rodrigues (C) 0.08 0 0 0 20 16:40 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sandis Vilmanis (L) 0.03 0 0 0 18 12:03 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.02 0 0 0 11 07:13 1 0 5 0 0 0 0
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.00 0 0 0 12 08:07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Jack Studnicka (C) 0.00 0 0 0 10 05:31 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.00 0 1 1 22 17:55 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 11 06:41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Jesper Boqvist (C) 0.00 0 0 0 11 06:14 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.00 0 0 0 23 16:43 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
FLA Gustav Forsling (D) 0.18 0 1 1 30 24:12 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.12 0 0 0 22 24:27 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.07 0 1 1 28 24:16 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.05 0 1 1 27 25:27 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Jeff Petry (D) 0.05 0 0 0 20 13:15 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Donovan Sebrango (D) 0.05 0 0 0 16 10:44 0 -1 5 0 0 0 0
FLA Niko Mikkola (D) 0.04 0 0 0 32 25:16 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Uvis Balinskis (D) 0.02 0 1 1 30 22:19 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Aaron Ekblad (D) 0.02 0 0 0 31 23:58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.02 1 0 1 12 08:18 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.00 0 1 1 13 10:07 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 23:46 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Colten Ellis (G) -0.82% 0.903 -0.3 3 28 57:28 31 L 0
FLA Sergei Bobrovsky (G) -2.38% 0.870 -0.5 3 20 59:37 23 W 0