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Monday, January 12, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena (NBCSP)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
5 – 1
Final
Philadelphia Flyers
 PHI
52% xGF%
48% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 3.23 goals PHI was expected to score 2.97 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TBL PHI Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Philadelphia Flyers
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 5:49 0.97 2 6:19 0.87 0
Even Strength 47:52 2.26 2 47:52 2.10 1
Penalty Kill 6:19 0.00 0 5:49 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 39:27 2.44 2 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 19:23 0.68 1 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 1:10 0.11 1 1:10 0.00 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 19:23 0.34 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 39:27 2.63 1
  • ► Pontus Holmberg scores at 1:10 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (1-0)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 0:33 in the 2nd period 0.22 xG (2-0)
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 4:29 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (3-0)
  • ► Christian Dvorak scores at 5:40 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (3-1)
  • ► Brandon Hagel scores at 19:29 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (4-1)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 16:39 in the 3rd period (5-1)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.70 1 1 2 19 18:40 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Matvei Michkov (R) 0.64 0 0 0 18 16:07 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.51 1 0 1 8 05:47 5 0 0 1 0 0 0
PHI Travis Konecny (R) 0.48 0 0 0 18 14:21 0 -1 14 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.41 1 0 1 15 14:59 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Owen Tippett (R) 0.36 0 0 0 18 17:48 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Christian Dvorak (C) 0.34 1 0 1 23 19:39 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.29 1 1 2 22 19:21 3 +2 2 1 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.25 1 1 2 18 17:43 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
PHI Rodrigo Abols (C) 0.25 0 0 0 13 12:14 3 0 9 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.23 0 1 1 21 15:09 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Trevor Zegras (C) 0.20 0 0 0 19 18:35 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.14 0 1 1 17 15:16 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.13 0 1 1 14 15:39 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
PHI Noah Cates (L) 0.13 0 0 0 20 13:31 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.13 0 0 0 13 10:42 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.09 0 0 0 15 11:32 0 0 5 0 0 0 0
PHI Carl Grundstrom (R) 0.07 0 0 0 16 12:15 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Sean Couturier (C) 0.06 0 0 0 21 15:12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Nikita Grebenkin (R) 0.00 0 0 0 13 10:50 0 0 17 0 0 0 0
PHI Denver Barkey (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 13:29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.00 0 0 0 13 13:29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.00 0 1 1 17 16:47 0 +1 2 0 0 0 0
PHI Garnet Hathaway (R) 0.00 0 0 0 16 10:16 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
PHI Rasmus Ristolainen (D) 0.23 0 0 0 30 21:56 4 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.21 0 2 2 24 25:17 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Travis Sanheim (D) 0.09 0 0 0 29 19:12 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.08 0 1 1 25 19:16 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
PHI Emil Andrae (D) 0.06 0 0 0 25 19:32 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.05 0 0 0 24 19:31 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
PHI Nick Seeler (D) 0.03 0 0 0 23 15:59 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
PHI Noah Juulsen (D) 0.03 0 0 0 25 17:16 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Declan Carlile (D) 0.02 0 0 0 19 14:45 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.00 0 0 0 17 13:54 1 0 15 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.00 0 0 0 26 23:00 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Cam York (D) 0.00 0 0 0 29 23:05 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Jonas Johansson (G) +9.37% 0.952 2.0 1 20 59:13 21 W 0
PHI Dan Vladar (G) -3.07% 0.840 -0.8 4 21 57:41 25 L 0