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Saturday, January 17, 2026
12:30 PM ET
KeyBank Center (NHLN)
MIN
Minnesota Wild
5 – 4
Final/OT
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
64% xGF%
36% xGF%
MIN was expected to score 4.75 goals BUF was expected to score 2.72 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 4 5 Cumulative xG MIN BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Minnesota Wild Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 8:00 1.39 1 6:07 0.46 1
Even Strength 47:39 3.36 4 47:39 2.16 3
Penalty Kill 6:07 0.00 0 8:00 0.10 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 8:59 1.77 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 3:29 0.20 1 0:57 0.00 0
Tied 48:21 2.70 3 48:21 1.88 1
Down 1 0:57 0.07 1 3:29 0.59 2
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 8:59 0.25 1
  • ► Marcus Foligno scores at 9:19 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (1-0)
  • ► Ryan McLeod scores at 10:05 in the 1st period 0.16 xG (1-1)
  • ► Ryan Hartman scores at 19:52 in the 1st period 0.61 xG (2-1)
  • ► Vladimir Tarasenko scores at 1:08 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (3-1)
  • ► Peyton Krebs scores at 10:07 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (3-2)
  • ► Jack Quinn scores at 11:34 in the 2nd period 0.14 xG (3-3)
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 16:07 in the 2nd period 0.05 xG (3-4)
  • ► Quinn Hughes scores at 17:04 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (4-4)
  • ► Mats Zuccarello scores at 1:46 in the OT period 0.16 xG (5-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
MIN MIN xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
MIN Vladimir Tarasenko (R) 0.77 1 1 2 19 15:55 5 +2 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Ryan Hartman (R) 0.73 1 0 1 22 22:10 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Kirill Kaprizov (L) 0.70 0 3 3 23 24:28 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Mats Zuccarello (R) 0.54 1 1 2 22 25:35 4 +1 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.47 0 1 1 23 22:17 6 -1 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Danila Yurov (R) 0.40 0 1 1 21 16:27 1 +1 4 0 0 0 0
MIN Vinnie Hinostroza (C) 0.39 0 0 0 15 12:28 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.33 0 2 2 19 17:49 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.31 1 1 2 21 16:03 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.28 1 0 1 26 18:40 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.27 1 1 2 25 16:30 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.26 1 0 1 15 10:31 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Marcus Foligno (L) 0.24 1 0 1 16 14:25 2 0 7 0 0 0 0
MIN Tyler Pitlick (C) 0.23 0 0 0 8 06:08 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Ben Jones (C) 0.11 0 1 1 12 08:54 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.10 0 0 0 19 16:09 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.08 0 0 0 21 16:31 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.06 0 0 0 20 15:14 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Nico Sturm (C) 0.03 0 0 0 13 10:55 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.01 0 0 0 14 08:32 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Yakov Trenin (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 15:33 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 14 09:56 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Hunter Haight (C) 0.00 0 0 0 12 08:06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.00 0 0 0 15 10:43 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
MIN Quinn Hughes (D) 0.31 1 1 2 28 29:52 4 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.30 0 1 1 29 27:10 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Jake Middleton (D) 0.21 0 0 0 26 21:17 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.15 0 0 0 16 10:16 0 +1 9 0 0 0 0
MIN Brock Faber (D) 0.08 0 0 0 32 28:41 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.06 0 0 0 8 07:04 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.03 0 0 0 25 21:33 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.02 0 0 0 31 25:36 1 -2 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Daemon Hunt (D) 0.02 0 0 0 20 11:36 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Jared Spurgeon (D) 0.01 0 1 1 26 16:16 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN David Jiricek (D) 0.00 0 0 0 14 09:12 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.00 0 1 1 28 26:30 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -0.73% 0.857 -0.3 5 30 61:46 35 O 0
MIN Filip Gustavsson (G) -5.33% 0.833 -1.3 4 20 61:46 24 W 0