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Monday, February 2, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena (MSG-B)
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
5 – 3
Final
Florida Panthers
 FLA
36% xGF%
64% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 2.28 goals FLA was expected to score 4.06 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG BUF FLA Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Florida Panthers
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:17 0.54 1 8:33 1.54 1
Even Strength 47:10 1.74 4 47:10 2.52 2
Penalty Kill 8:33 0.00 0 4:17 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 2:09 0.00 0 9:09 0.59 0
Up 1 25:35 1.14 1 8:40 0.27 1
Tied 14:27 0.68 2 14:27 1.11 1
Down 1 8:40 0.17 1 25:35 1.84 1
Down 2+ 9:09 0.29 1 2:09 0.25 0
  • ► Sandis Vilmanis scores at 0:37 in the 1st period 0.07 xG (0-1)
  • ► Evan Rodrigues scores at 5:54 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (0-2)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 15:03 in the 1st period 0.06 xG (1-2)
  • ► Peyton Krebs scores at 18:26 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (2-2)
  • ► Zach Benson scores at 5:44 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (3-2)
  • ► Uvis Balinskis scores at 18:59 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (3-3)
  • ► Jason Zucker scores at 5:31 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (4-3)
  • ► Josh Doan scores at 17:51 in the 3rd period 0.18 xG (5-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
FLA Cole Schwindt (C) 0.76 0 0 0 22 14:24 3 +1 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Carter Verhaeghe (C) 0.70 0 1 1 22 22:53 7 -2 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Evan Rodrigues (C) 0.63 1 0 1 24 24:09 5 -1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sam Reinhart (C) 0.39 0 2 2 24 24:41 5 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.38 1 0 1 25 20:14 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.37 1 0 1 23 16:00 2 -1 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.34 0 1 1 22 16:13 4 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.25 0 2 2 26 16:54 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
FLA A.J. Greer (L) 0.25 0 1 1 22 15:08 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Mackie Samoskevich (R) 0.23 0 0 0 20 10:50 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.22 1 1 2 19 16:22 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.21 1 2 3 25 19:27 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Matthew Tkachuk (L) 0.21 0 0 0 22 24:07 2 -3 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Luke Kunin (C) 0.20 0 0 0 10 06:58 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.16 0 1 1 29 22:27 1 +3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.15 1 0 1 18 14:10 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sandis Vilmanis (L) 0.09 1 0 1 19 14:13 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.05 0 0 0 18 11:14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Eetu Luostarinen (C) 0.02 0 0 0 22 17:04 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Jesper Boqvist (C) 0.01 0 0 0 12 06:14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sam Bennett (C) 0.00 0 0 0 7 05:11 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 12 08:04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Isak Rosen (R) 0.00 0 0 0 6 03:08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.00 0 0 0 15 12:15 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
FLA Uvis Balinskis (D) 0.33 1 0 1 25 24:57 3 0 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.15 0 2 2 27 21:54 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Tobias Bjornfot (D) 0.09 0 1 1 17 11:01 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Aaron Ekblad (D) 0.07 0 0 0 28 20:15 3 -2 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Niko Mikkola (D) 0.03 0 1 1 24 20:19 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Gustav Forsling (D) 0.03 0 0 0 28 23:16 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.01 0 0 0 15 11:48 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Jeff Petry (D) 0.01 0 0 0 21 12:00 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 28 27:26 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.00 0 0 0 30 22:54 0 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.00 0 1 1 30 24:17 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.00 0 0 0 10 07:30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Alex Lyon (G) +2.57% 0.927 1.1 3 38 59:55 41 W 0
FLA Sergei Bobrovsky (G) -13.59% 0.750 -2.7 5 15 58:08 20 L 0