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Thursday, February 5, 2026
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center (MSG-B)
PIT
Pittsburgh Penguins
5 – 2
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
47% xGF%
53% xGF%
PIT was expected to score 3.38 goals BUF was expected to score 3.82 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG PIT BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Pittsburgh Penguins Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 6:22 0.59 0 10:04 1.16 1
Even Strength 43:34 2.79 4 43:34 2.65 1
Penalty Kill 10:04 0.00 0 6:22 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 18:38 0.67 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 22:35 1.89 2 7:32 0.49 0
Tied 11:15 0.38 1 11:15 0.58 1
Down 1 7:32 0.45 1 22:35 1.16 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 18:38 1.59 1
  • ► Jason Zucker scores at 1:46 in the 1st period 0.03 xG (0-1)
  • ► Avery Hayes scores at 9:18 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (1-1)
  • ► Avery Hayes scores at 18:47 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (2-1)
  • ► Ben Kindel scores at 7:44 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (3-1)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 1:55 in the 3rd period 0.12 xG (3-2)
  • ► Tommy Novak scores at 15:33 in the 3rd period 0.23 xG (4-2)
  • ► Ben Kindel scores at 19:46 in the 3rd period (5-2)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
PIT PIT xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.78 1 0 1 24 23:18 7 -3 0 1 0 0 0
PIT Evgeni Malkin (C) 0.75 0 1 1 19 17:59 5 0 4 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.75 0 1 1 20 19:24 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Avery Hayes (R) 0.56 2 0 2 14 10:09 6 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Sidney Crosby (C) 0.55 0 0 0 21 20:05 6 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.49 0 0 0 23 18:35 0 -4 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Tommy Novak (C) 0.36 1 0 1 17 15:19 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.33 0 0 0 26 20:53 3 -2 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Egor Chinakhov (R) 0.27 0 1 1 17 13:08 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.22 0 0 0 17 11:10 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Justin Brazeau (R) 0.20 0 0 0 14 11:11 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.18 0 0 0 16 10:40 0 0 7 0 0 0 0
PIT Anthony Mantha (R) 0.15 0 1 1 20 16:30 0 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.15 0 1 1 28 20:01 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.14 1 0 1 21 18:48 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Isak Rosen (R) 0.11 0 0 0 13 10:36 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ben Kindel (C) 0.09 2 0 2 21 17:27 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Kevin Hayes (R) 0.08 0 0 0 12 07:07 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Bryan Rust (R) 0.07 0 0 0 23 23:31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Rutger McGroarty (R) 0.07 0 1 1 16 10:01 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.05 0 0 0 18 10:38 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Connor Dewar (C) 0.03 0 1 1 18 15:41 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.01 0 0 0 18 12:23 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Konsta Helenius (C) 0.00 0 0 0 11 08:02 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.22 0 0 0 30 25:12 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.21 0 1 1 30 26:00 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.18 0 1 1 32 26:32 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ryan Shea (D) 0.10 0 0 0 26 19:29 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Erik Karlsson (D) 0.09 0 0 0 23 22:47 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Connor Clifton (D) 0.02 0 0 0 21 17:19 0 +3 5 0 0 0 0
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.00 0 0 0 14 07:56 1 -2 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Parker Wotherspoon (D) 0.00 0 1 1 24 23:37 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Brett Kulak (D) 0.00 0 0 0 25 18:44 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ilya Solovyov (D) 0.00 0 1 1 17 12:08 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 7 04:19 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 28 22:42 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
PIT Arturs Silovs (G) +6.50% 0.929 1.8 2 26 59:38 28 W 0
BUF Alex Lyon (G) -2.01% 0.871 -0.6 4 27 56:51 31 L 0