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Thursday, March 5, 2026
7:00 PM ET
PPG Paints Arena (ESPN)
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
5 – 1
Final
Pittsburgh Penguins
 PIT
53% xGF%
47% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 3.47 goals PIT was expected to score 3.11 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG BUF PIT Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Pittsburgh Penguins
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 11:28 1.58 1 11:54 0.93 0
Even Strength 36:38 1.69 2 36:38 1.76 0
Penalty Kill 11:54 0.20 1 11:28 0.42 1
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 33:42 1.35 1 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 4:56 0.35 1 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 21:22 1.77 2 21:22 0.53 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 4:56 0.53 1
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 33:42 2.06 0
  • ► Ryan McLeod scores at 12:00 in the 1st period 0.20 xG (1-0)
  • ► Bryan Rust scores at 14:48 in the 1st period 0.38 xG (1-1)
  • ► Josh Norris scores at 4:10 in the 2nd period 0.17 xG (2-1)
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 6:18 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (3-1)
  • ► Owen Power scores at 10:30 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (4-1)
  • ► Mattias Samuelsson scores at 16:53 in the 3rd period (5-1)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.82 0 1 1 19 18:28 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Bryan Rust (R) 0.72 1 0 1 20 19:53 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.50 0 0 0 13 14:11 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Rickard Rakell (R) 0.39 0 0 0 18 18:34 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Blake Lizotte (C) 0.35 0 0 0 17 16:44 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.35 1 1 2 18 17:41 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
PIT Justin Brazeau (R) 0.33 0 0 0 20 14:13 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.31 1 0 1 25 18:23 1 +2 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.29 1 0 1 25 17:37 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Egor Chinakhov (R) 0.25 0 0 0 20 17:27 1 -4 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Noel Acciari (C) 0.24 0 0 0 16 15:27 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.23 0 0 0 17 11:49 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.19 0 1 1 17 18:43 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.18 0 0 0 12 08:37 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Anthony Mantha (R) 0.17 0 0 0 13 15:58 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Evgeni Malkin (C) 0.17 0 0 0 6 05:54 1 0 17 0 0 0 0
PIT Tommy Novak (C) 0.10 0 0 0 18 15:03 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.08 0 0 0 18 13:22 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Avery Hayes (R) 0.04 0 0 0 16 12:43 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Connor Dewar (C) 0.02 0 0 0 13 14:43 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.01 0 0 0 16 10:35 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.01 0 1 1 19 16:42 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 20 14:25 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Ben Kindel (C) 0.00 0 1 1 19 14:52 0 -2 2 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.30 0 0 0 25 21:29 4 +1 4 0 0 0 0
PIT Erik Karlsson (D) 0.16 0 0 0 17 23:05 3 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.09 1 1 2 21 20:45 1 +3 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ryan Shea (D) 0.09 0 0 0 19 18:30 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Connor Clifton (D) 0.06 0 0 0 17 17:55 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.05 0 0 0 18 12:58 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.04 0 1 1 22 22:32 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Kris Letang (D) 0.02 0 0 0 18 17:09 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.01 1 0 1 24 21:19 1 +3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.00 0 0 0 12 11:00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Parker Wotherspoon (D) 0.00 0 0 0 16 14:54 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Samuel Girard (D) 0.00 0 0 0 18 18:02 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) +7.55% 0.964 2.1 1 27 59:24 28 W 0
PIT Arturs Silovs (G) -2.12% 0.840 -0.5 4 21 55:54 25 L 0