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Saturday, March 21, 2026 (7:00 PM ET)
Canadian Tire Centre
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
2 – 5
Final
Ottawa Senators
 OTT
28% xGF%
72% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 1.93 goals OTT was expected to score 4.93 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 5 Cumulative xG TOR OTT Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Ottawa Senators
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 5:35 0.45 0 5:57 1.42 1
Even Strength 48:28 1.48 2 48:28 3.52 4
Penalty Kill 5:57 0.00 0 5:35 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 26:02 2.34 2
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 19:00 1.83 2
Tied 14:58 0.53 0 14:58 0.77 1
Down 1 19:00 0.60 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 26:02 0.80 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Tim Stützle scores at 14:58 in the 1st period 0.08 xG (0-1)
  • ► Claude Giroux scores at 9:09 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (0-2)
  • ► Warren Foegele scores at 17:53 in the 2nd period 0.06 xG (0-3)
  • ► John Tavares scores at 18:14 in the 2nd period 0.16 xG (1-3)
  • ► Easton Cowan scores at 4:52 in the 3rd period 0.17 xG (2-3)
  • ► Michael Amadio scores at 9:41 in the 3rd period 0.12 xG (2-4)
  • ► Ridly Greig scores at 13:11 in the 3rd period 0.21 xG (2-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
OTT OTT xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
OTT Brady Tkachuk (L) 0.86 0 0 0 22 16:41 2 +2 0 0
OTT Claude Giroux (R) 0.57 1 0 1 24 13:13 7 +2 0 0
OTT Dylan Cozens (C) 0.46 0 1 1 23 15:25 2 +2 0 0
OTT Ridly Greig (C) 0.45 1 0 1 24 15:07 3 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.45 1 0 1 21 18:55 3 +2 0 0
OTT Tim Stützle (C) 0.38 1 0 1 23 19:04 3 0 2 1
OTT Warren Foegele (L) 0.36 1 0 1 19 12:43 1 +1 0 0
OTT Fabian Zetterlund (L) 0.35 0 0 0 16 09:31 2 0 0 0
OTT Michael Amadio (R) 0.32 1 0 1 22 15:59 2 +1 2 0
OTT Shane Pinto (C) 0.27 0 1 1 25 18:36 3 -1 2 0
TOR Bo Groulx (C) 0.24 0 0 0 18 13:39 1 -2 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.23 1 1 2 18 18:04 3 +1 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.21 0 1 1 20 21:47 1 +2 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.21 0 0 0 16 10:37 2 -1 2 0
OTT Nick Cousins (C) 0.17 0 0 0 18 11:51 1 -2 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.16 0 0 0 24 24:28 0 -2 0 0
OTT Lars Eller (C) 0.15 0 0 0 19 11:59 3 +1 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.12 0 0 0 13 12:25 1 -1 0 0
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.07 0 0 0 16 10:47 0 -2 0 0
OTT Drake Batherson (R) 0.04 0 1 1 22 15:27 1 0 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.00 0 0 0 14 09:54 0 -1 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 14:24 0 -1 2 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.00 0 0 0 16 10:30 0 0 0 0
TOR Jacob Quillan (C) 0.00 0 0 0 16 10:16 0 -1 2 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
OTT Jordan Spence (D) 0.24 0 2 2 23 19:51 5 +2 0 0
OTT Thomas Chabot (D) 0.12 0 1 1 29 28:36 3 -1 0 0
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.09 0 0 0 24 21:19 1 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.09 0 0 0 29 23:20 1 -1 4 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.07 0 1 1 22 17:12 1 -1 0 0
OTT Nikolas Matinpalo (D) 0.06 0 0 0 20 14:20 1 +1 0 0
OTT Artem Zub (D) 0.05 0 0 0 25 24:07 2 -1 0 0
OTT Tyler Kleven (D) 0.05 0 2 2 25 18:13 2 +2 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 22:36 0 -1 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.00 0 1 1 24 18:18 0 0 0 0
OTT Dennis Gilbert (D) 0.00 0 0 0 19 11:17 0 +1 2 0
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.00 0 0 0 19 13:09 0 -1 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Joseph Woll (G) -0.16% 0.884 -0.1 5 38 59:34 43 L 0
OTT Linus Ullmark (G) -0.50% 0.857 -0.1 2 12 60:00 14 W 0