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Thursday, October 1, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden (MSG)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
1 – 5
Final
New York Rangers
 NYR
57% xGF%
43% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 3.11 goals NYR was expected to score 2.33 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TBL NYR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning New York Rangers
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 15:08 0.86 0 2:33 0.24 1
Even Strength 42:19 2.25 1 42:19 2.09 3
Penalty Kill 2:33 0.00 0 15:08 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 49:09 1.94 2
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 5:17 0.12 1
Tied 5:34 0.14 0 5:34 0.27 1
Down 1 5:17 0.58 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 49:09 2.39 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Mika Zibanejad scores at 5:34 in the 1st period 0.08 xG (0-1)
  • ► Pavel Dorofeyev scores at 10:51 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (0-2)
  • ► Eeli Tolvanen scores at 1:40 in the 2nd period 0.06 xG (0-3)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 7:59 in the 2nd period 0.03 xG (1-3)
  • ► Gabe Perreault scores at 16:01 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (1-4)
  • ► Igor Shesterkin scores at 17:26 in the 3rd period (1-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
NYR NYR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
NYR Pavel Dorofeyev (R) 0.49 1 1 2 20 13:44 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Will Cuylle (L) 0.42 0 0 0 23 14:12 3 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.40 1 0 1 21 24:07 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.37 0 0 0 22 24:02 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.36 0 0 0 24 23:40 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Mika Zibanejad (C) 0.34 1 1 2 23 18:53 3 +1 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.34 0 1 1 20 22:38 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Alexis Lafrenière (L) 0.31 0 0 0 17 15:15 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.27 0 0 0 18 14:59 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ilya Mikheyev (R) 0.23 0 1 1 15 10:56 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.18 0 0 0 26 19:56 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jansen Harkins (C) 0.17 0 0 0 12 10:55 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Gabe Perreault (R) 0.15 1 0 1 14 10:46 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jeffrey Viel (L) 0.15 0 0 0 13 08:49 1 -2 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.11 0 0 0 15 12:09 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.10 0 1 1 19 12:25 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NYR J.T. Miller (C) 0.09 0 0 0 25 15:33 1 +1 4 0 0 0 0
NYR Jaroslav Chmelar (R) 0.08 0 0 0 11 06:18 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Joe Veleno (C) 0.08 0 0 0 25 14:45 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Eeli Tolvanen (R) 0.06 1 0 1 22 14:18 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Noah Laba (C) 0.00 0 1 1 24 16:14 0 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.00 0 0 0 15 12:32 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.00 0 0 0 11 07:39 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Tye Kartye (L) 0.00 0 0 0 24 14:47 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL John Carlson (D) 0.17 0 0 0 24 23:41 4 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.16 0 0 0 23 16:00 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.15 0 0 0 19 14:54 0 -1 4 0 0 0 0
NYR Marcus Pettersson (D) 0.10 0 0 0 26 21:38 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Adam Fox (D) 0.09 0 2 2 26 19:04 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.04 0 0 0 21 17:45 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Braden Schneider (D) 0.03 0 0 0 26 18:48 3 +2 4 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.01 0 0 0 23 15:46 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Vladislav Gavrikov (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 23:20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Alberts Smits (D) 0.00 0 0 0 18 14:09 0 +3 0 0 0 0 0
NYR Sean Durzi (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 20:54 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 19:07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
NYR Igor Shesterkin (G) +8.44% 0.960 2.1 1 24 60:00 25 W 0
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -6.96% 0.833 -1.7 4 20 55:52 24 L 0