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Thursday, October 1, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena (MSG-B)
57% xGF%
43% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 2.69 goals CBJ was expected to score 2.03 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 2 Cumulative xG BUF CBJ Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Columbus Blue Jackets
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 7:27 1.04 0 3:28 0.58 2
Even Strength 49:05 1.58 3 49:05 1.43 3
Penalty Kill 3:28 0.06 0 7:27 0.02 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 13:49 0.07 0
Up 1 5:30 0.10 0 28:13 1.16 3
Tied 12:28 0.44 1 12:28 0.53 1
Down 1 28:13 1.44 0 5:30 0.27 1
Down 2+ 13:49 0.71 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Mattias Samuelsson scores at 7:21 in the 1st period 0.04 xG (1-0)
  • ► Cole Sillinger scores at 12:51 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (1-1)
  • ► Matthew Knies scores at 17:58 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (1-2)
  • ► Adam Fantilli scores at 18:44 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (1-3)
  • ► Jack Quinn scores at 1:25 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (2-3)
  • ► Matthew Knies scores at 7:45 in the 2nd period 0.16 xG (2-4)
  • ► Konsta Helenius scores at 13:14 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (3-4)
  • ► Sean Monahan scores at 14:21 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (3-5)
  • ► Mathieu Olivier scores at 17:53 in the 3rd period (3-6)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
CBJ CBJ xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
CBJ Matthew Knies (L) 0.64 2 1 3 24 16:06 4 0 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.51 1 0 1 23 20:46 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.50 0 0 0 26 19:46 4 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.43 0 1 1 21 18:34 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Danton Heinen (L) 0.34 0 0 0 17 12:11 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.28 0 0 0 26 19:06 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.27 0 2 2 22 16:42 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Cole Sillinger (C) 0.26 1 0 1 22 15:21 3 +2 4 0 0 0 0
BUF Konsta Helenius (C) 0.17 1 0 1 21 15:09 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Sean Monahan (C) 0.14 1 0 1 24 15:31 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
CBJ Mathieu Olivier (R) 0.13 1 0 1 21 14:32 3 +2 7 0 0 0 0
CBJ Adam Fantilli (C) 0.13 1 0 1 26 17:28 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Conor Garland (R) 0.10 0 0 0 19 12:09 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jiri Kulich (C) 0.08 0 0 0 17 08:45 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.08 0 0 0 22 14:58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.06 0 0 0 22 16:19 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Ryan Lomberg (L) 0.02 0 0 0 14 09:21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.01 0 0 0 17 08:11 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Kent Johnson (C) 0.00 0 1 1 22 14:53 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Sam Carrick (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 07:43 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.00 0 1 1 25 16:41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Charlie Coyle (C) 0.00 0 3 3 26 19:04 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Valeri Nichushkin (R) 0.00 0 1 1 22 15:45 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Dmitri Voronkov (L) 0.00 0 1 1 14 10:44 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.23 0 0 0 28 25:58 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Zach Werenski (D) 0.13 0 2 2 32 28:46 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Carson Soucy (D) 0.05 0 0 0 29 20:15 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.04 1 0 1 26 18:21 1 -2 4 0 0 0 0
CBJ Denton Mateychuk (D) 0.04 0 1 1 30 27:28 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Erik Gudbranson (D) 0.02 0 0 0 21 17:44 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Jake Christiansen (D) 0.02 0 0 0 11 07:05 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Louis Crevier (D) 0.02 0 0 0 24 16:14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.00 0 2 2 28 25:25 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.00 0 0 0 21 12:54 0 -1 5 0 0 0 0
CBJ Emil Andrae (D) 0.00 0 1 1 19 15:37 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Matt Grzelcyk (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 14:27 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
CBJ Jet Greaves (G) -1.20% 0.885 -0.3 3 23 60:00 26 W 0
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -13.52% 0.773 -3.0 5 17 59:08 22 L 0