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Thursday, October 15, 2026 (7:00 PM ET)
Scotiabank Arena | MSG-B
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
5 – 4
Final/OT
Toronto Maple Leafs
 TOR
50% xGF%
50% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 3.15 goals TOR was expected to score 3.14 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG BUF TOR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Toronto Maple Leafs
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 2:26 0.61 0 3:04 0.33 1
Even Strength 57:44 2.45 5 57:44 2.80 3
Penalty Kill 3:04 0.10 0 2:26 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 13:14 0.25 0
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 18:31 1.43 1
Tied 31:29 1.25 1 31:29 1.46 3
Down 1 18:31 1.48 3 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 13:14 0.42 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 2:24 in the 1st period 0.15 xG (0-1)
  • ► Jack Quinn scores at 3:35 in the 1st period 0.13 xG (1-1)
  • ► Kirill Marchenko scores at 13:10 in the 1st period 0.20 xG (1-2)
  • ► Jack Quinn scores at 2:41 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (2-2)
  • ► Kirill Marchenko scores at 11:13 in the 2nd period 0.06 xG (2-3)
  • ► Kirill Marchenko scores at 16:51 in the 2nd period 0.18 xG (2-4)
  • ► Dennis Gilbert scores at 10:05 in the 3rd period 0.02 xG (3-4)
  • ► Mattias Samuelsson scores at 12:16 in the 3rd period 0.08 xG (4-4)
  • ► Owen Power scores at 3:14 in the OT period 0.14 xG (5-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.56 0 2 2 29 21:18 4 +3 2 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.55 2 2 4 25 18:04 4 +4 5 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.54 0 1 1 29 21:11 6 0 0 0
TOR Kirill Marchenko (R) 0.52 3 0 3 24 18:36 3 0 0 1
TOR Jack Roslovic (C) 0.49 0 1 1 25 19:04 5 -1 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.47 0 0 0 27 22:18 5 0 0 0
TOR Teddy Blueger (C) 0.44 0 0 0 19 14:43 3 0 0 0
BUF Konsta Helenius (C) 0.31 0 0 0 22 15:11 4 -2 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.24 0 1 1 23 16:39 2 0 0 0
TOR Gavin McKenna (L) 0.23 0 0 0 9 06:36 1 -1 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.16 0 0 0 25 18:38 2 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.15 1 0 1 26 22:14 1 0 0 0
TOR Colton Sissons (C) 0.12 0 1 1 25 17:49 0 -1 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.10 0 2 2 29 21:39 1 +4 0 0
TOR Nick Paul (L) 0.09 0 0 0 24 17:13 1 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.02 0 0 0 23 16:22 1 -2 0 0
TOR Brandon Duhaime (R) 0.00 0 0 0 19 11:42 0 -1 0 0
BUF Justin Danforth (R) 0.00 0 0 0 12 06:08 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.00 0 0 0 24 17:22 0 -1 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.00 0 2 2 14 11:47 0 0 0 0
BUF Sam Carrick (C) 0.00 0 0 0 10 05:46 0 0 4 0
TOR Zack MacEwen (R) 0.00 0 0 0 9 05:27 0 -1 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.00 0 0 0 23 14:50 0 -2 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 13 08:03 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
BUF Olen Zellweger (D) 0.28 0 0 0 27 24:28 5 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.27 1 0 1 32 28:01 2 +1 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.21 1 1 2 30 28:24 3 +1 0 0
TOR Nick Blankenburg (D) 0.19 0 0 0 26 15:37 2 -1 0 0
TOR Darren Raddysh (D) 0.11 0 1 1 31 27:09 3 +3 0 0
BUF Louis Crevier (D) 0.10 0 0 0 19 16:26 1 +1 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.07 0 0 0 29 18:35 3 -2 2 0
BUF Dennis Gilbert (D) 0.04 1 0 1 15 10:37 1 +2 2 0
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.03 0 0 0 24 17:08 1 -3 5 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.00 0 0 0 32 23:30 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.00 0 1 1 14 12:36 0 -1 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 31 19:35 0 0 4 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -2.87% 0.867 -0.9 4 26 63:14 30 W 0
TOR Sergei Bobrovsky (G) -5.45% 0.853 -1.9 5 29 63:14 34 O 0