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Saturday, December 19, 2026 (7:00 PM ET)
Scotiabank Arena | The Spot
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
 TOR
57% Win Probability
43% Win Probability
TBL is expected to score 3.18 goals TOR is expected to score 3.23 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on November 1, 2026 at 3:13 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning Toronto Maple Leafs
Record 8-3-2 8-6-2
L10 Record 6-2-2 5-4-1
Pts% 69.23% 56.25%
Division Rank 4 (Atlantic) 6 (Atlantic)
Conference Rank 5 (Eastern) 8 (Eastern)
Projected Points 100.14 90.04
xGF/G 3.36+0.36 ● 3.00
xGA/G 2.80+0.37 ● 3.17
xGF% 54.48%+5.85 ● 48.63%
L10 xGF 34.48+4.98 ● 29.50
L10 xGA 27.53+3.11 ● 30.64
L10 xGF% 55.60%+6.55 ● 49.05%
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.71 0 0 0 1 11:00 0.7 -0.7 5 0.0 0.141 -14.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.51 8 8 16 13 21:28 6.6 -0.6 58 13.8 0.114 2.4 4 1 25.0 0.00 -0.08 -0.08
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.46 8 6 14 13 20:47 6.0 1.0 38 21.1 0.159 5.2 73 26 35.6 0.00 -0.07 -0.07
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.42 11 13 24 16 20:35 6.7 3.3 46 23.9 0.145 9.4 270 144 53.3 0.55 -0.15 0.40
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.40 3 8 11 13 19:28 5.1 -2.1 28 10.7 0.184 -7.7 127 61 48.0 0.27 -0.15 0.12
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.36 10 11 21 16 20:06 5.8 3.2 46 21.7 0.127 9.1 22 8 36.4 0.08 0.00 0.08
TOR John Tavares (C)+ 0.34 2 5 7 7 16:31 2.4 -0.4 17 11.8 0.142 -2.4 101 61 60.4 0.24 -0.01 0.23
TOR Kirill Marchenko (R)+ 0.32 6 8 14 14 17:36 4.5 1.5 35 17.1 0.130 4.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Jack Roslovic (C) 0.30 6 10 16 16 16:43 4.8 1.2 39 15.4 0.123 3.1 29 10 34.5 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.29 4 14 18 13 20:58 3.8 0.2 35 11.4 0.107 0.7 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.24 4 4 8 13 17:30 3.1 0.9 17 23.5 0.181 5.5 246 125 50.8 0.16 -0.22 -0.06
TOR Gavin McKenna (L) 0.22 5 6 11 16 13:43 3.6 1.4 29 17.2 0.124 4.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.21 6 8 14 16 15:17 3.4 2.6 33 18.2 0.103 7.9 5 2 40.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.19 4 6 10 13 14:34 2.5 0.5 21 19.0 0.118 7.3 17 7 41.2 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
TOR Nick Paul (L) 0.19 2 4 6 16 16:24 3.0 -2.0 16 12.5 0.188 -6.3 158 73 46.2 0.13 -0.21 -0.08
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.17 4 0 4 13 11:42 2.3 1.7 17 23.5 0.133 10.2 83 33 39.8 0.04 -0.35 -0.31
TOR Zack MacEwen (R) 0.14 2 2 4 10 7:38 1.4 0.6 12 16.7 0.115 5.2 8 4 50.0 0.02 0.00 0.02
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.14 0 2 2 12 15:32 1.6 -1.6 12 0.0 0.137 -13.7 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Ilya Mikheyev (R) 0.13 2 2 4 13 14:41 1.7 0.3 16 12.5 0.105 2.0 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Teddy Blueger (C) 0.12 2 2 4 16 13:05 1.9 -0.9 18 11.1 0.104 0.7 129 66 51.2 0.01 -0.34 -0.33
TOR Colton Sissons (C) 0.11 2 3 5 16 15:02 1.7 0.3 16 12.5 0.109 1.6 180 109 60.6 0.16 -0.16 0.00
TBL Jeffrey Viel (L) 0.11 0 2 2 10 9:26 1.1 -1.1 7 0.0 0.155 -15.5 2 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C)+ 0.11 1 1 2 11 13:33 1.2 -0.2 14 7.1 0.085 -1.3 140 80 57.1 0.05 -0.18 -0.13
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.09 0 2 2 5 12:22 0.4 -0.4 5 0.0 0.085 -8.5 50 20 40.0 0.04 -0.14 -0.10
TOR Brandon Duhaime (L) 0.08 1 3 4 16 11:53 1.3 -0.3 13 7.7 0.097 -2.0 6 2 33.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.07 0 1 1 3 9:10 0.2 -0.2 1 0.0 0.213 -21.3 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Vinni Lettieri (C) 0.07 1 0 1 7 10:09 0.5 0.5 8 12.5 0.059 6.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Bo Groulx (C) 0.02 0 0 0 7 8:02 0.1 -0.1 4 0.0 0.031 -3.1 7 4 57.1 0.00 0.00 0.00
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TBL John Carlson (D) 0.21 5 3 8 13 19:12 2.7 2.3 36 13.9 0.075 6.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.14 0 0 0 13 18:16 1.8 -1.8 15 0.0 0.119 -11.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Darren Raddysh (D) 0.12 0 9 9 16 23:39 2.0 -2.0 35 0.0 0.057 -5.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Nick Blankenburg (D)+ 0.10 1 0 1 6 13:05 0.6 0.4 6 16.7 0.098 6.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.08 0 3 3 7 16:57 0.6 -0.6 13 0.0 0.043 -4.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.08 0 11 11 16 19:36 1.2 -1.2 20 0.0 0.062 -6.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.07 3 2 5 12 14:13 0.9 2.1 15 20.0 0.059 14.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.07 2 5 7 12 16:55 0.9 1.1 18 11.1 0.048 6.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.06 2 3 5 16 19:30 0.9 1.1 18 11.1 0.050 6.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Erik Cernak (D)+ 0.05 0 2 2 12 19:00 0.6 -0.6 15 0.0 0.042 -4.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.05 0 1 1 16 17:47 0.7 -0.7 11 0.0 0.067 -6.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.04 0 3 3 16 19:35 0.6 -0.6 17 0.0 0.037 -3.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Marshall Rifai (D)+ 0.03 1 0 1 2 14:09 0.1 0.9 2 50.0 0.030 47.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.03 0 2 2 13 16:24 0.4 -0.4 7 0.0 0.051 -5.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.02 0 0 0 6 12:42 0.1 -0.1 2 0.0 0.065 -6.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Dakota Mermis (D) 0.01 0 0 0 3 12:35 0.0 0.0 1 0.0 0.020 -2.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Chris Tanev (D) 0.01 0 1 1 7 17:12 0.0 0.0 2 0.0 0.019 -1.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
TOR Anthony Stolarz (G) +1.45% 2.6 2.66 0.910 5 6 1 83.3 0 16 178 162 18.6
TBL Dennis Hildeby (G) -0.06% 0.0 2.98 0.885 2 3 0 66.7 0 9 78 69 9.0
TOR Sergei Bobrovsky (G) -0.29% -0.8 3.29 0.885 3 10 5 30.0 0 33 288 255 32.2
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -1.03% -2.5 3.00 0.877 6 10 3 60.0 0 30 243 213 27.5