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Saturday, January 9, 2027 (3:30 PM ET)
Scotiabank Saddledome | The Spot
55% Win Probability
45% Win Probability
TBL is expected to score 3.08 goals CGY is expected to score 3.22 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on November 1, 2026 at 3:13 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning Calgary Flames
Record 8-3-2 6-8-0
L10 Record 6-2-2 6-4-0
Pts% 69.23% 42.86%
Division Rank 4 (Atlantic) 5 (Pacific)
Conference Rank 5 (Eastern) 11 (Western)
Projected Points 100.14 83.96
xGF/G 3.36+0.73 ● 2.63
xGA/G 2.80+0.36 ● 3.17
xGF% 54.48%+9.13 ● 45.35%
L10 xGF 34.48+7.79 ● 26.69
L10 xGA 27.53+3.63 ● 31.16
L10 xGF% 55.60%+9.47 ● 46.14%
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.51 8 8 16 13 21:28 6.6 -0.6 58 13.8 0.114 2.4 4 1 25.0 0.00 -0.08 -0.08
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.46 8 6 14 13 20:47 6.0 1.0 38 21.1 0.159 5.2 73 26 35.6 0.00 -0.07 -0.07
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.40 3 8 11 13 19:28 5.1 -2.1 28 10.7 0.184 -7.7 127 61 48.0 0.27 -0.15 0.12
CGY Joel Farabee (L) 0.30 5 10 15 14 18:29 4.1 -0.1 33 15.2 0.125 2.6 17 6 35.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.29 4 14 18 13 20:58 3.8 0.2 35 11.4 0.107 0.7 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Mikael Backlund (C) 0.28 2 3 5 12 17:58 3.4 -1.4 33 6.1 0.102 -4.1 214 109 50.9 0.20 -0.51 -0.30
CGY Morgan Frost (C) 0.25 4 5 9 14 15:10 3.4 0.6 26 15.4 0.132 2.2 159 81 50.9 0.22 -0.05 0.17
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.24 4 4 8 13 17:30 3.1 0.9 17 23.5 0.181 5.5 246 125 50.8 0.16 -0.22 -0.06
CGY Matt Coronato (R) 0.22 3 11 14 14 17:07 3.0 0.0 32 9.4 0.094 -0.1 59 34 57.6 0.11 -0.02 0.09
CGY Aydar Suniev (L) 0.21 4 1 5 11 13:36 2.3 1.7 19 21.1 0.119 9.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.19 4 6 10 13 14:34 2.5 0.5 21 19.0 0.118 7.3 17 7 41.2 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
CGY Ryan Strome (C) 0.19 3 3 6 14 14:13 2.7 0.3 33 9.1 0.081 1.0 53 19 35.8 0.03 -0.02 0.00
CGY Yegor Sharangovich (C) 0.18 2 2 4 14 16:12 2.5 -1.5 23 8.7 0.107 -2.0 11 7 63.6 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Matvei Gridin (R) 0.17 5 5 10 14 15:35 2.4 2.6 33 15.2 0.074 7.8 2 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.17 4 0 4 13 11:42 2.3 1.7 17 23.5 0.133 10.2 83 33 39.8 0.04 -0.35 -0.31
CGY Adam Klapka (R) 0.16 2 2 4 14 11:27 2.2 -0.2 21 9.5 0.106 -1.0 12 3 25.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.14 0 2 2 12 15:32 1.6 -1.6 12 0.0 0.137 -13.7 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Martin Pospisil (C) 0.13 3 3 6 14 13:43 1.8 0.2 24 12.5 0.076 4.9 168 78 46.4 0.10 -0.32 -0.22
TBL Ilya Mikheyev (R) 0.13 2 2 4 13 14:41 1.7 0.3 16 12.5 0.105 2.0 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Jeffrey Viel (L) 0.11 0 2 2 10 9:26 1.1 -1.1 7 0.0 0.155 -15.5 2 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C)+ 0.11 1 1 2 11 13:33 1.2 -0.2 14 7.1 0.085 -1.3 140 80 57.1 0.05 -0.18 -0.13
CGY Jonathan Castagna (C) 0.11 0 1 1 11 12:40 1.2 -1.2 9 0.0 0.129 -12.9 108 52 48.1 0.08 -0.16 -0.09
CGY Samuel Honzek (L)+ 0.09 0 0 0 4 15:38 0.4 -0.4 3 0.0 0.123 -12.3 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.09 0 2 2 5 12:22 0.4 -0.4 5 0.0 0.085 -8.5 50 20 40.0 0.04 -0.14 -0.10
CGY Maxim Tsyplakov (R) 0.08 0 1 1 8 11:13 0.6 -0.6 5 0.0 0.128 -12.8 8 2 25.0 0.06 -0.06 0.00
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.07 0 1 1 3 9:10 0.2 -0.2 1 0.0 0.213 -21.3 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Ben Jones (C) 0.05 0 0 0 2 12:16 0.1 -0.1 0 - - - 7 2 28.6 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Brennan Othmann (L)+ 0.04 0 0 0 6 9:20 0.3 -0.3 5 0.0 0.053 -5.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TBL John Carlson (D) 0.21 5 3 8 13 19:12 2.7 2.3 36 13.9 0.075 6.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Zayne Parekh (D) 0.15 1 4 5 14 17:34 2.2 -1.2 25 4.0 0.087 -4.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.14 0 0 0 13 18:16 1.8 -1.8 15 0.0 0.119 -11.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Simon Nemec (D) 0.12 0 5 5 14 21:38 1.7 -1.7 21 0.0 0.082 -8.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.08 0 3 3 7 16:57 0.6 -0.6 13 0.0 0.043 -4.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.07 3 2 5 12 14:13 0.9 2.1 15 20.0 0.059 14.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.07 2 5 7 12 16:55 0.9 1.1 18 11.1 0.048 6.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Jake Middleton (D) 0.05 1 1 2 14 18:06 0.7 0.3 13 7.7 0.057 2.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Erik Cernak (D)+ 0.05 0 2 2 12 19:00 0.6 -0.6 15 0.0 0.042 -4.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Kevin Bahl (D) 0.05 1 1 2 14 22:10 0.7 0.3 11 9.1 0.065 2.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Yan Kuznetsov (D) 0.03 0 2 2 13 17:24 0.4 -0.4 14 0.0 0.031 -3.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Joel Hanley (D) 0.03 0 0 0 1 16:18 0.0 0.0 0 - - - 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.03 0 2 2 13 16:24 0.4 -0.4 7 0.0 0.051 -5.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.02 0 0 0 6 12:42 0.1 -0.1 2 0.0 0.065 -6.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Zach Whitecloud (D) 0.02 0 1 1 14 20:15 0.3 -0.3 14 0.0 0.021 -2.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
CGY Devin Cooley (G)+ +1.47% 2.9 2.69 0.912 4 7 3 57.1 0 17 194 177 19.9
TBL Dennis Hildeby (G) -0.06% 0.0 2.98 0.885 2 3 0 66.7 0 9 78 69 9.0
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -1.03% -2.5 3.00 0.877 6 10 3 60.0 0 30 243 213 27.5
CGY Arsenii Sergeev (G) -3.71% -1.2 5.00 0.848 0 1 1 0.0 0 5 33 28 3.8
CGY Dustin Wolf (G) -4.37% -8.3 4.39 0.847 2 7 4 28.6 0 29 190 161 20.7