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Saturday, January 9, 2027 (3:30 PM ET)
Scotiabank Saddledome | The Spot
57% Win Probability
43% Win Probability
TBL is expected to score 3.22 goals CGY is expected to score 3.22 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on November 3, 2026 at 3:14 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning Calgary Flames
Record 8-3-2 7-8-0
L10 Record 6-2-2 7-3-0
Pts% 69.23% 46.67%
Division Rank 4 (Atlantic) 5 (Pacific)
Conference Rank 5 (Eastern) 11 (Western)
Projected Points 98.81 83.39
xGF/G 3.36+0.78 ● 2.58
xGA/G 2.80+0.34 ● 3.15
xGF% 54.48%+9.45 ● 45.03%
L10 xGF 34.48+8.31 ● 26.17
L10 xGA 27.53+4.56 ● 32.09
L10 xGF% 55.60%+10.68 ● 44.92%
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.51 8 8 16 13 21:28 6.6 -0.6 58 13.8 0.114 2.4 4 1 25.0 0.00 -0.08 -0.08
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.46 8 6 14 13 20:47 6.0 1.0 38 21.1 0.159 5.2 73 26 35.6 0.00 -0.07 -0.07
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.40 3 8 11 13 19:28 5.1 -2.1 28 10.7 0.184 -7.7 127 61 48.0 0.27 -0.15 0.12
CGY William Stromgren (L) 0.34 1 0 1 1 8:34 0.3 0.7 2 50.0 0.168 33.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.29 4 14 18 13 20:58 3.8 0.2 35 11.4 0.107 0.7 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Mikael Backlund (C) 0.29 2 3 5 13 18:11 3.7 -1.7 37 5.4 0.100 -4.6 228 114 50.0 0.20 -0.52 -0.31
CGY Joel Farabee (L) 0.28 5 10 15 15 18:36 4.2 -0.2 34 14.7 0.122 2.5 19 8 42.1 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.24 4 4 8 13 17:30 3.1 0.9 17 23.5 0.181 5.5 246 125 50.8 0.16 -0.22 -0.06
CGY Morgan Frost (C) 0.23 4 5 9 15 15:07 3.5 0.5 27 14.8 0.128 2.0 172 84 48.8 0.22 -0.06 0.16
CGY Matt Coronato (R) 0.20 3 11 14 15 17:13 3.0 0.0 32 9.4 0.094 -0.1 64 36 56.3 0.11 -0.02 0.09
CGY Ryan Strome (C) 0.20 3 3 6 15 14:09 3.0 0.0 34 8.8 0.088 0.0 55 19 34.5 0.03 -0.02 0.00
CGY Aydar Suniev (L) 0.19 4 1 5 12 13:42 2.3 1.7 19 21.1 0.122 8.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.19 4 6 10 13 14:34 2.5 0.5 21 19.0 0.118 7.3 17 7 41.2 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.17 4 0 4 13 11:42 2.3 1.7 17 23.5 0.133 10.2 83 33 39.8 0.04 -0.35 -0.31
CGY Yegor Sharangovich (C) 0.17 2 2 4 15 16:17 2.6 -1.6 25 8.0 0.104 -2.4 13 8 61.5 0.01 0.00 0.01
CGY Matvei Gridin (R) 0.16 5 5 10 15 15:36 2.5 2.5 34 14.7 0.073 7.5 2 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Adam Klapka (R) 0.15 3 3 6 15 11:28 2.3 0.7 23 13.0 0.101 3.0 15 5 33.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.14 0 2 2 12 15:32 1.6 -1.6 12 0.0 0.137 -13.7 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Ilya Mikheyev (R) 0.13 2 2 4 13 14:41 1.7 0.3 16 12.5 0.105 2.0 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Martin Pospisil (C) 0.13 3 3 6 15 13:42 1.9 0.1 24 12.5 0.080 4.5 176 81 46.0 0.10 -0.32 -0.22
TBL Jeffrey Viel (L) 0.11 0 2 2 10 9:26 1.1 -1.1 7 0.0 0.155 -15.5 2 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C)+ 0.11 1 1 2 11 13:33 1.2 -0.2 14 7.1 0.085 -1.3 140 80 57.1 0.05 -0.18 -0.13
CGY Jonathan Castagna (C) 0.10 0 3 3 12 12:26 1.2 -1.2 9 0.0 0.129 -12.9 117 56 47.9 0.08 -0.22 -0.14
CGY Samuel Honzek (L)+ 0.09 0 0 0 4 15:38 0.4 -0.4 3 0.0 0.123 -12.3 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.09 0 2 2 5 12:22 0.4 -0.4 5 0.0 0.085 -8.5 50 20 40.0 0.04 -0.14 -0.10
CGY Maxim Tsyplakov (R) 0.08 0 1 1 8 11:13 0.6 -0.6 5 0.0 0.128 -12.8 8 2 25.0 0.06 -0.06 0.00
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.07 0 1 1 3 9:10 0.2 -0.2 1 0.0 0.213 -21.3 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Ben Jones (C) 0.05 0 0 0 2 12:16 0.1 -0.1 0 - - - 7 2 28.6 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Brennan Othmann (L)+ 0.04 0 0 0 6 9:20 0.3 -0.3 5 0.0 0.053 -5.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TBL John Carlson (D) 0.21 5 3 8 13 19:12 2.7 2.3 36 13.9 0.075 6.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Zayne Parekh (D) 0.15 1 4 5 15 17:37 2.2 -1.2 25 4.0 0.088 -4.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.14 0 0 0 13 18:16 1.8 -1.8 15 0.0 0.119 -11.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Simon Nemec (D) 0.12 0 5 5 15 21:21 1.7 -1.7 23 0.0 0.076 -7.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.08 0 3 3 7 16:57 0.6 -0.6 13 0.0 0.043 -4.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.07 3 2 5 12 14:13 0.9 2.1 15 20.0 0.059 14.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.07 2 5 7 12 16:55 0.9 1.1 18 11.1 0.048 6.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Jake Middleton (D) 0.06 1 1 2 15 18:18 0.9 0.1 16 6.3 0.058 0.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Erik Cernak (D)+ 0.05 0 2 2 12 19:00 0.6 -0.6 15 0.0 0.042 -4.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Kevin Bahl (D) 0.05 1 1 2 15 21:59 0.7 0.3 11 9.1 0.065 2.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Yan Kuznetsov (D) 0.04 0 2 2 14 17:19 0.6 -0.6 16 0.0 0.035 -3.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Joel Hanley (D) 0.03 0 0 0 1 16:18 0.0 0.0 0 - - - 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.03 0 2 2 13 16:24 0.4 -0.4 7 0.0 0.051 -5.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.02 0 0 0 6 12:42 0.1 -0.1 2 0.0 0.065 -6.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CGY Zach Whitecloud (D) 0.02 0 1 1 15 20:24 0.3 -0.3 15 0.0 0.021 -2.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
CGY Devin Cooley (G)+ +1.47% 2.9 2.69 0.912 4 7 3 57.1 0 17 194 177 19.9
TBL Dennis Hildeby (G) -0.06% 0.0 2.98 0.885 2 3 0 66.7 0 9 78 69 9.0
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -1.03% -2.5 3.00 0.877 6 10 3 60.0 0 30 243 213 27.5
CGY Dustin Wolf (G) -2.97% -6.4 3.94 0.862 3 8 4 37.5 0 30 217 187 23.6
CGY Arsenii Sergeev (G) -3.71% -1.2 5.00 0.848 0 1 1 0.0 0 5 33 28 3.8