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Saturday, January 9, 2027 (7:00 PM ET)
KeyBank Center | MSG-B
65% win probability Game Projection 35% win probability
CAR is expected to score 3.28 goals BUF is expected to score 3.05 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on November 3, 2026 at 3:14 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Record 12-2-2 7-4-3
L10 Record 8-1-1 5-2-3
Pts% 81.25% 60.71%
Division Rank 1 (Metropolitan) 7 (Atlantic)
Conference Rank 1 (Eastern) 9 (Eastern)
Projected Points 106.16 89.74
xGF/G 3.78+0.57 ● 3.21
xGA/G 2.43+0.80 ● 3.23
xGF% 60.90%+11.01 ● 49.89%
L10 xGF 36.79+5.22 ● 31.57
L10 xGA 24.32+10.87 ● 35.19
L10 xGF% 60.20%+12.91 ● 47.29%
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.49 9 12 21 16 19:54 7.9 1.1 45 20.0 0.174 2.6 274 158 57.7 0.60 -0.04 0.55
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.45 10 7 17 14 19:25 6.3 3.7 63 15.9 0.100 5.8 163 72 44.2 0.91 -0.23 0.68
CAR Jackson Blake (R) 0.43 3 13 16 16 17:55 6.9 -3.9 44 6.8 0.157 -8.9 4 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Logan Stankoven (C) 0.42 10 5 15 16 17:04 6.7 2.3 49 20.4 0.137 6.7 194 87 44.8 0.51 -0.13 0.39
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.40 8 6 14 14 19:16 5.7 2.3 40 20.0 0.142 5.8 3 2 66.7 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Zach Benson (L)+ 0.40 2 11 13 14 19:57 5.7 -4.7 33 6.1 0.172 -11.1 13 4 30.8 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.38 1 0 1 5 11:36 1.9 -0.9 10 10.0 0.189 -8.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Seth Jarvis (R) 0.37 1 6 7 5 16:08 1.8 -0.8 12 8.3 0.154 -7.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Andrei Svechnikov (R) 0.37 6 8 14 16 17:37 5.9 -0.9 44 13.6 0.134 0.3 10 2 20.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.33 4 5 9 14 18:53 4.7 -0.7 33 12.1 0.141 -2.0 128 46 35.9 0.03 -0.17 -0.14
CAR Taylor Hall (L)+ 0.29 3 2 5 8 13:01 2.3 0.7 17 17.6 0.134 4.2 2 1 50.0 0.04 0.00 0.04
CAR Mark Jankowski (L) 0.27 8 1 9 12 14:35 3.3 3.7 20 40.0 0.164 23.6 186 89 47.8 0.16 -0.11 0.05
CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (L) 0.24 4 10 14 16 16:04 3.8 0.2 34 11.8 0.111 0.6 5 3 60.0 0.11 0.00 0.11
CAR William Carrier (L) 0.23 0 8 8 16 13:04 3.7 -3.7 27 0.0 0.137 -13.7 3 1 33.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.20 2 1 3 14 15:24 2.8 -0.8 23 8.7 0.123 -3.6 5 2 40.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.19 2 1 3 14 14:29 2.6 -0.6 15 13.3 0.173 -4.0 134 69 51.5 0.13 -0.47 -0.34
BUF Jiri Kulich (C) 0.18 1 2 3 8 13:09 1.4 -0.4 9 11.1 0.159 -4.8 55 28 50.9 0.00 -0.14 -0.14
CAR Jordan Martinook (L) 0.17 2 5 7 16 14:42 2.8 -0.8 24 8.3 0.116 -3.3 41 21 51.2 0.02 -0.06 -0.05
CAR Eric Robinson (L) 0.15 2 5 7 16 12:26 2.5 -0.5 24 8.3 0.103 -1.9 5 1 20.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Jordan Staal (C)+ 0.15 0 0 0 6 15:33 0.9 -0.9 6 0.0 0.151 -15.1 124 69 55.6 0.15 -0.01 0.14
BUF Konsta Helenius (C)+ 0.12 1 2 3 11 12:59 1.3 -0.3 12 8.3 0.112 -2.9 8 1 12.5 0.00 -0.01 -0.01
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.11 1 2 3 14 15:03 1.5 -0.5 13 7.7 0.116 -4.0 154 80 51.9 0.23 -0.23 0.00
CAR Nicolas Deslauriers (L) 0.09 2 1 3 11 8:57 1.0 1.0 7 28.6 0.148 13.8 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.09 0 7 7 14 13:41 1.3 -1.3 7 0.0 0.179 -17.9 50 24 48.0 0.17 0.00 0.17
CAR Jesperi Kotkaniemi (C) 0.09 4 3 7 14 11:54 1.2 2.8 14 28.6 0.087 19.8 84 38 45.2 0.18 -0.08 0.10
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.07 0 2 2 14 11:00 1.0 -1.0 7 0.0 0.145 -14.5 7 4 57.1 0.00 -0.11 -0.11
BUF Sam Carrick (C) 0.05 0 1 1 6 7:39 0.3 -0.3 5 0.0 0.058 -5.8 20 11 55.0 0.00 -0.01 -0.01
BUF Justin Danforth (R)+ 0.04 0 0 0 6 9:09 0.3 -0.3 1 0.0 0.251 -25.1 40 20 50.0 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.03 1 0 1 6 11:05 0.2 0.8 2 50.0 0.090 41.0 36 14 38.9 0.00 -0.10 -0.10
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.21 2 7 9 11 24:39 2.3 -0.3 33 6.1 0.070 -0.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Olen Zellweger (D) 0.14 3 3 6 13 19:46 1.8 1.2 27 11.1 0.067 4.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Shayne Gostisbehere (D) 0.13 2 9 11 16 17:31 2.1 -0.1 28 7.1 0.075 -0.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Sean Walker (D) 0.11 3 6 9 16 21:16 1.8 1.2 33 9.1 0.054 3.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.11 2 9 11 14 26:38 1.6 0.4 18 11.1 0.087 2.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR K'Andre Miller (D) 0.10 1 3 4 16 22:27 1.6 -0.6 23 4.3 0.070 -2.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.10 2 7 9 14 23:50 1.4 0.6 21 9.5 0.067 2.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Juuso Välimäki (D) 0.09 2 1 3 6 14:01 0.5 1.5 7 28.6 0.074 21.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Jalen Chatfield (D) 0.07 1 3 4 16 20:36 1.1 -0.1 21 4.8 0.053 -0.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Jaccob Slavin (D) 0.06 0 4 4 16 21:24 1.0 -1.0 29 0.0 0.034 -3.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Mike Reilly (D) 0.06 0 2 2 8 12:26 0.5 -0.5 9 0.0 0.053 -5.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Louis Crevier (D) 0.03 0 1 1 14 13:12 0.5 -0.5 12 0.0 0.038 -3.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.03 0 2 2 12 12:20 0.4 -0.4 7 0.0 0.051 -5.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
BUF Matt Grzelcyk (D)+ 0.00 0 0 0 1 14:27 0.0 - 0 - - - 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
CAR Pyotr Kochetkov (G) +4.17% 8.8 1.49 0.929 10 10 0 100.0 2 15 210 195 23.8
BUF Colten Ellis (G) +0.11% 0.1 3.11 0.880 3 5 1 60.0 1 14 117 103 14.1
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -0.75% -2.0 3.40 0.873 4 10 3 40.0 0 33 260 227 31.0
CAR Brandon Bussi (G) -3.33% -4.9 3.27 0.865 2 6 2 33.3 0 20 148 128 15.1