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Thursday, February 25, 2027 (7:00 PM ET)
PPG Paints Arena | SN-PIT
45% Win Probability
55% Win Probability
TOR is expected to score 3.03 goals PIT is expected to score 3.35 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on October 31, 2026 at 3:12 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs Pittsburgh Penguins
Record 7-6-2 5-6-2
L10 Record 5-4-1 3-5-2
Pts% 53.33% 46.15%
Division Rank 6 (Atlantic) 6 (Metropolitan)
Conference Rank 10 (Eastern) 14 (Eastern)
Projected Points 88.33 89.16
xGF/G 2.99 ● +0.163.15
xGA/G 3.21 ● +0.143.06
xGF% 48.30% ● +2.4250.72%
L10 xGF 29.95 ● +0.7730.72
L10 xGA 32.75 ● +2.2630.49
L10 xGF% 47.77% ● +2.4250.19%
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.43 10 13 23 15 20:37 6.4 2.6 44 22.7 0.147 8.1 248 130 52.4 0.55 -0.11 0.44
PIT Rickard Rakell (R) 0.41 3 3 6 13 19:33 5.4 -2.4 33 9.1 0.162 -7.1 6 3 50.0 0.00 -0.06 -0.06
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.38 9 10 19 15 20:08 5.6 2.4 44 20.5 0.128 7.6 21 8 38.1 0.08 0.00 0.08
TOR John Tavares (C)+ 0.34 2 5 7 7 16:31 2.4 -0.4 17 11.8 0.142 -2.4 101 61 60.4 0.24 -0.01 0.23
TOR Kirill Marchenko (R)+ 0.32 6 8 14 14 17:36 4.5 1.5 35 17.1 0.130 4.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Jack Roslovic (C) 0.31 6 9 15 15 16:39 4.6 1.4 38 15.8 0.122 3.6 28 9 32.1 0.00 0.00 0.00
PIT Ben Kindel (C) 0.30 3 3 6 10 17:14 3.0 0.0 26 11.5 0.115 0.0 89 40 44.9 0.01 0.00 0.01
PIT Sidney Crosby (C) 0.29 3 4 7 13 19:16 3.8 -0.8 25 12.0 0.150 -3.0 255 133 52.2 0.48 -0.26 0.23
PIT Evgeni Malkin (C) 0.27 6 5 11 12 16:58 3.2 2.8 26 23.1 0.124 10.7 10 4 40.0 0.04 0.00 0.04
PIT Bryan Rust (R)+ 0.24 3 2 5 7 17:22 1.7 1.3 9 33.3 0.187 14.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.22 6 8 14 15 15:26 3.3 2.7 32 18.8 0.102 8.6 5 2 40.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Gavin McKenna (L) 0.21 5 6 11 15 13:46 3.2 1.8 26 19.2 0.122 7.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
PIT Tommy Novak (C) 0.21 3 5 8 13 15:33 2.7 0.3 19 15.8 0.144 1.4 116 41 35.3 0.02 -0.05 -0.03
PIT Egor Chinakhov (R) 0.20 2 2 4 9 15:53 1.8 0.2 14 14.3 0.132 1.1 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
PIT Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.18 6 0 6 13 12:48 2.4 2.6 28 21.4 0.085 13.0 2 2 100.0 0.01 0.00 0.01
TOR Nick Paul (L) 0.18 2 3 5 15 16:19 2.7 -1.7 14 14.3 0.192 -4.9 152 71 46.7 0.13 -0.21 -0.08
PIT Connor Dewar (C) 0.16 2 3 5 13 13:25 2.1 -0.1 22 9.1 0.094 -0.3 31 10 32.3 0.00 -0.01 -0.01
PIT Elmer Soderblom (L)+ 0.15 0 1 1 6 11:25 0.9 -0.9 5 0.0 0.185 -18.5 1 1 100.0 0.17 0.00 0.17
PIT Rutger McGroarty (R) 0.15 0 0 0 2 13:40 0.3 -0.3 2 0.0 0.148 -14.8 4 1 25.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
PIT Hendrix Lapierre (C) 0.15 2 4 6 9 12:31 1.3 0.7 10 20.0 0.133 6.7 46 21 45.7 0.02 0.00 0.02
PIT Ville Koivunen (R) 0.14 2 3 5 11 14:03 1.6 0.4 12 16.7 0.129 3.7 2 2 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
PIT Blake Lizotte (C) 0.14 0 4 4 13 13:23 1.8 -1.8 14 0.0 0.126 -12.6 173 76 43.9 0.03 -0.27 -0.23
PIT Andrei Kuzmenko (L) 0.13 0 1 1 9 13:02 1.2 -1.2 8 0.0 0.145 -14.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Zack MacEwen (R) 0.13 1 2 3 9 7:27 1.1 -0.1 9 11.1 0.127 -1.6 7 3 42.9 0.02 0.00 0.02
TOR Colton Sissons (C) 0.12 2 3 5 15 14:59 1.7 0.3 16 12.5 0.109 1.6 163 98 60.1 0.16 -0.16 0.00
TOR Teddy Blueger (C) 0.11 1 1 2 15 12:56 1.7 -0.7 16 6.3 0.107 -4.4 123 62 50.4 0.01 -0.34 -0.33
TOR Brandon Duhaime (L) 0.08 1 3 4 15 11:50 1.3 -0.3 13 7.7 0.097 -2.0 6 2 33.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Vinni Lettieri (C) 0.07 1 0 1 6 10:03 0.4 0.6 7 14.3 0.056 8.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Bo Groulx (C) 0.02 0 0 0 7 8:02 0.1 -0.1 4 0.0 0.031 -3.1 7 4 57.1 0.00 0.00 0.00
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
PIT Erik Karlsson (D) 0.13 2 11 13 13 23:19 1.7 0.3 21 9.5 0.083 1.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Darren Raddysh (D) 0.12 0 8 8 15 23:47 1.9 -1.9 33 0.0 0.056 -5.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
PIT Samuel Girard (D) 0.11 1 6 7 10 18:50 1.1 -0.1 14 7.1 0.079 -0.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
PIT Declan Carlile (D) 0.11 3 2 5 13 19:08 1.4 1.6 20 15.0 0.072 7.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Nick Blankenburg (D)+ 0.10 1 0 1 6 13:05 0.6 0.4 6 16.7 0.098 6.8 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
PIT Kris Letang (D) 0.10 0 6 6 13 20:14 1.3 -1.3 25 0.0 0.051 -5.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.08 0 10 10 15 19:42 1.2 -1.2 18 0.0 0.065 -6.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
PIT Kaedan Korczak (D) 0.07 0 6 6 13 18:20 0.9 -0.9 13 0.0 0.067 -6.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
PIT Ilya Solovyov (D) 0.06 0 0 0 3 16:14 0.2 -0.2 3 0.0 0.056 -5.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.05 2 3 5 15 19:41 0.8 1.2 17 11.8 0.046 7.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.04 0 1 1 15 17:45 0.7 -0.7 11 0.0 0.059 -5.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.04 0 2 2 15 19:20 0.6 -0.6 17 0.0 0.037 -3.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Marshall Rifai (D)+ 0.03 1 0 1 2 14:09 0.1 0.9 2 50.0 0.030 47.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
PIT Spencer Stastney (D) 0.03 0 2 2 8 17:29 0.2 -0.2 7 0.0 0.029 -2.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Dakota Mermis (D) 0.01 0 0 0 3 12:35 0.0 0.0 1 0.0 0.020 -2.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOR Chris Tanev (D) 0.00 0 1 1 6 16:50 0.0 0.0 1 0.0 0.030 -3.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
PIT Trevor van Riemsdyk (D)+ 0.00 0 0 0 5 18:48 0.0 0.0 2 0.0 0.002 -0.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
TOR Anthony Stolarz (G) +1.28% 1.9 2.79 0.907 4 5 1 80.0 0 14 150 136 15.9
PIT Arturs Silovs (G) +0.49% 1.2 2.98 0.889 5 9 3 55.6 2 27 243 216 28.2
TOR Sergei Bobrovsky (G) -0.29% -0.8 3.29 0.885 3 10 5 30.0 0 33 288 255 32.2
PIT Sergei Murashov (G) -2.00% -2.4 3.50 0.883 0 4 3 0.0 0 14 120 106 11.6