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Wednesday, March 3, 2027 (7:00 PM ET)
Capital One Arena | MNMT
64% Win Probability
36% Win Probability
CAR is expected to score 3.23 goals WSH is expected to score 3.10 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on October 31, 2026 at 3:12 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Carolina Hurricanes Washington Capitals
Record 11-2-2 8-4-0
L10 Record 8-1-1 7-3-0
Pts% 80.00% 66.67%
Division Rank 1 (Metropolitan) 3 (Metropolitan)
Conference Rank 1 (Eastern) 8 (Eastern)
Projected Points 107.18 93.92
xGF/G 3.71+0.47 ● 3.24
xGA/G 2.37+0.85 ● 3.22
xGF% 60.97%+10.87 ● 50.10%
L10 xGF 38.95+5.67 ● 33.28
L10 xGA 23.85+8.34 ● 32.19
L10 xGF% 62.02%+11.19 ● 50.83%
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.47 8 11 19 15 19:48 7.1 0.9 44 18.2 0.162 2.0 260 145 55.8 0.58 -0.04 0.53
CAR Jackson Blake (R) 0.44 3 12 15 15 18:06 6.5 -3.5 43 7.0 0.152 -8.2 4 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Logan Stankoven (C) 0.42 9 3 12 15 17:19 6.3 1.7 46 19.6 0.138 5.8 180 79 43.9 0.48 -0.13 0.36
WSH Alex Tuch (R) 0.40 10 2 12 12 18:58 4.8 4.2 33 30.3 0.145 15.8 24 12 50.0 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
CAR Andrei Svechnikov (R) 0.37 6 7 13 15 17:38 5.6 -0.6 41 14.6 0.136 1.0 10 2 20.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Dylan Strome (C) 0.36 3 9 12 12 17:07 4.4 -1.4 26 11.5 0.168 -5.2 189 97 51.3 0.58 -0.20 0.39
WSH Ryan Leonard (R) 0.35 4 4 8 12 14:16 4.2 -0.2 32 12.5 0.131 -0.6 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Seth Jarvis (R) 0.33 1 4 5 4 16:06 1.3 -0.3 9 11.1 0.144 -3.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Taylor Hall (L)+ 0.29 3 2 5 8 13:01 2.3 0.7 17 17.6 0.134 4.2 2 1 50.0 0.04 0.00 0.04
WSH Tom Wilson (R) 0.27 2 3 5 12 18:37 3.3 -2.3 26 7.7 0.126 -4.9 2 0 0.0 0.00 -0.16 -0.16
CAR Mark Jankowski (L) 0.25 7 1 8 11 14:28 2.7 3.3 17 41.2 0.161 25.1 165 82 49.7 0.16 -0.02 0.14
CAR William Carrier (L) 0.24 0 8 8 15 13:04 3.6 -3.6 27 0.0 0.132 -13.2 2 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (L) 0.22 4 8 12 15 16:15 3.3 0.7 30 13.3 0.110 2.3 4 3 75.0 0.11 0.00 0.11
WSH Boone Jenner (C) 0.22 5 1 6 12 16:00 2.6 2.4 26 19.2 0.101 9.2 160 87 54.4 0.26 -0.27 0.00
WSH Pierre-Luc Dubois (C) 0.21 1 6 7 7 16:40 1.5 -0.5 11 9.1 0.135 -4.4 104 39 37.5 0.02 -0.15 -0.12
WSH Alex Ovechkin (L) 0.20 1 3 4 12 13:32 2.5 -1.5 19 5.3 0.129 -7.6 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Aliaksei Protas (L) 0.19 1 4 5 12 16:19 2.3 -1.3 16 6.3 0.141 -7.8 10 7 70.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Jordan Martinook (L) 0.17 2 5 7 15 14:45 2.6 -0.6 23 8.7 0.112 -2.5 41 21 51.2 0.02 -0.06 -0.05
WSH Jordan Kyrou (R) 0.17 4 7 11 12 14:09 2.0 2.0 22 18.2 0.092 8.9 3 1 33.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Ilya Protas (L) 0.16 1 4 5 12 11:44 1.9 -0.9 10 10.0 0.194 -9.4 91 45 49.5 0.11 -0.15 -0.04
CAR Eric Robinson (L) 0.15 2 4 6 15 12:18 2.3 -0.3 22 9.1 0.105 -1.4 4 1 25.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Jordan Staal (C)+ 0.15 0 0 0 6 15:33 0.9 -0.9 6 0.0 0.151 -15.1 124 69 55.6 0.15 -0.01 0.14
WSH Justin Sourdif (C) 0.13 1 1 2 10 13:42 1.3 -0.3 9 11.1 0.143 -3.2 61 32 52.5 0.00 -0.08 -0.08
WSH Ivan Miroshnichenko (L) 0.12 1 0 1 3 11:03 0.4 0.6 1 100.0 0.371 62.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Ethen Frank (R) 0.11 0 0 0 2 9:43 0.2 -0.2 2 0.0 0.112 -11.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Anthony Beauvillier (R) 0.10 1 1 2 12 11:17 1.2 -0.2 12 8.3 0.102 -1.9 10 4 40.0 0.01 0.00 0.01
CAR Jesperi Kotkaniemi (C) 0.08 3 3 6 13 11:46 1.0 2.0 13 23.1 0.076 15.4 74 31 41.9 0.18 -0.08 0.10
CAR Nicolas Deslauriers (L) 0.07 2 1 3 10 8:40 0.7 1.3 6 33.3 0.118 21.5 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
WSH Cole Hutson (D) 0.20 4 3 7 12 19:04 2.4 1.6 25 16.0 0.095 6.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Jakob Chychrun (D) 0.19 1 8 9 12 24:16 2.3 -1.3 37 2.7 0.062 -3.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Shayne Gostisbehere (D) 0.14 2 7 9 15 17:32 2.1 -0.1 27 7.4 0.077 -0.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR K'Andre Miller (D) 0.11 1 3 4 15 22:29 1.6 -0.6 22 4.5 0.073 -2.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Sean Walker (D) 0.10 1 6 7 15 21:16 1.5 -0.5 28 3.6 0.055 -1.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Juuso Välimäki (D) 0.09 1 1 2 5 13:41 0.4 0.6 5 20.0 0.090 11.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Matt Roy (D) 0.08 0 1 1 6 20:21 0.5 -0.5 5 0.0 0.100 -10.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Jalen Chatfield (D) 0.07 1 3 4 15 20:48 1.1 -0.1 21 4.8 0.053 -0.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Jaccob Slavin (D) 0.06 0 4 4 15 21:28 1.0 -1.0 29 0.0 0.033 -3.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Mike Reilly (D) 0.06 0 2 2 8 12:26 0.5 -0.5 9 0.0 0.053 -5.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Martin Fehérváry (D) 0.04 0 3 3 12 21:57 0.5 -0.5 6 0.0 0.083 -8.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Timothy Liljegren (D) 0.04 1 0 1 12 17:26 0.4 0.6 6 16.7 0.072 9.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Jack St. Ivany (D) 0.01 0 4 4 6 14:00 0.1 -0.1 2 0.0 0.036 -3.6 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Vincent Desharnais (D)+ 0.01 0 3 3 9 19:24 0.1 -0.1 3 0.0 0.033 -3.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
WSH Dylan McIlrath (D) 0.00 0 0 0 4 6:34 0.0 0.0 0 - - - 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
CAR Pyotr Kochetkov (G) +3.01% 5.5 1.66 0.918 9 9 0 100.0 1 15 184 169 20.5
WSH Logan Thompson (G) +2.15% 4.9 2.78 0.903 5 8 3 62.5 0 22 227 205 26.9
WSH Charlie Lindgren (G) -0.19% -0.2 2.98 0.887 3 4 1 75.0 0 12 106 94 11.8
CAR Brandon Bussi (G) -3.33% -4.9 3.27 0.865 2 6 2 33.3 0 20 148 128 15.1