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Saturday, October 10, 2026 (7:30 PM ET)
UBS Arena | MSGSN
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
5-3
Final
NYI New York Islanders
48% xGF Expected Goals Share 52% xGF
TBL was expected to score 2.34 goals NYI was expected to score 2.53 goals
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 0 1 2 2 Cumulative xG TBL NYI Dots represent goals
Goals & Replays
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 5:45 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (1-0)
  • ► Brandon Hagel scores at 15:42 in the 1st period 0.18 xG (2-0) End of Period 1
  • ► Tony DeAngelo scores at 6:27 in the 2nd period 0.06 xG (2-1)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 7:54 in the 2nd period 0.18 xG (3-1)
  • ► Jean-Gabriel Pageau scores at 11:41 in the 2nd period 0.20 xG (3-2)
  • ► Brayden Schenn scores at 19:53 in the 2nd period 0.52 xG (3-3) End of Period 2
  • Brandon Hagel scores at 18:16 in the 3rd period 0.02 xG (4-3)
  • ► Brandon Hagel scores at 18:37 in the 3rd period (5-3) End of Game
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
xG by State
Tampa Bay Lightning
New York Islanders
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Man-Advantage 7:42 1.04 1 4:39 0.90 1
Even Strength 47:39 1.09 3 47:39 1.62 2
Short-Handed 4:39 0.21 0 7:42 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 15:55 0.95 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 19:57 0.73 2 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 24:08 0.67 2 24:08 0.79 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 19:57 1.10 1
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 15:55 0.64 2
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
NYI Brayden Schenn (C) 0.74 1 0 1 18 17:14 2 -1 0 1
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.67 3 1 4 30 21:32 6 +2 0 0
NYI Bo Horvat (C) 0.49 0 1 1 24 20:09 3 -1 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.33 2 0 2 25 19:29 4 +1 0 1
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.28 0 0 0 26 15:13 4 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.28 0 0 0 22 18:57 1 -1 0 0
NYI Jean-Gabriel Pageau (C) 0.20 1 0 1 25 14:41 1 -1 0 0
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.18 0 0 0 14 09:29 1 0 5 0
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.16 0 0 0 17 11:28 1 0 0 0
NYI Anthony Duclair (L) 0.15 0 0 0 19 13:17 1 -1 0 0
NYI Emil Heineman (L) 0.13 0 0 0 20 13:41 2 0 2 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.12 0 2 2 22 17:46 1 +1 0 0
NYI Ondrej Palat (L) 0.07 0 1 1 22 15:29 0 +1 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.06 0 1 1 29 18:04 0 +3 0 0
NYI Calum Ritchie (C) 0.01 0 0 0 16 13:37 1 0 0 0
TBL Ilya Mikheyev (R) 0.00 0 0 0 25 15:16 0 0 0 0
NYI Kyle Palmieri (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 15:16 0 -1 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.00 0 0 0 30 17:37 0 0 2 0
NYI Simon Holmstrom (R) 0.00 0 0 0 20 13:18 0 -2 0 0
NYI Matias Maccelli (L) 0.00 0 1 1 16 14:23 0 -1 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.00 0 0 0 25 18:13 0 0 0 0
NYI Victor Eklund (R) 0.00 0 0 0 17 13:25 0 0 2 0
NYI Casey Cizikas (C) 0.00 0 0 0 16 10:10 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
NYI Matthew Schaefer (D) 0.39 0 1 1 30 27:01 8 -1 0 0
NYI Tony DeAngelo (D) 0.21 1 1 2 22 16:33 2 0 0 0
TBL John Carlson (D) 0.11 0 0 0 23 20:43 1 -1 0 0
NYI Scott Mayfield (D) 0.08 0 0 0 19 14:45 1 +1 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.08 0 0 0 27 19:01 1 +1 0 0
NYI Logan Stanley (D) 0.05 0 0 0 26 19:38 2 -1 5 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.03 0 0 0 16 13:30 2 0 2 0
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.03 0 2 2 22 16:30 2 +2 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.02 0 0 0 22 17:01 1 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.01 0 1 1 22 15:56 1 +1 0 0
NYI Adam Pelech (D) 0.01 0 0 0 32 21:11 0 -2 2 0
NYI Ryan Pulock (D) 0.00 0 0 0 31 19:14 0 -1 2 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.00 0 1 1 15 10:34 0 +1 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -1.53% 0.870 -0.5 3 20 60:00 23 W 0
NYI Ilya Sorokin (G) -5.34% 0.840 -1.7 4 21 59:49 25 L 0