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Tuesday, February 21, 2023
7:30 PM ET
KeyBank Center
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
6 – 3
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
54% xGF%
46% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 2.98 goals BUF was expected to score 2.49 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 2 Cumulative xG TOR BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 2:25 0.70 1 3:22 0.09 0
Even Strength 54:13 2.27 4 54:13 2.40 3
Penalty Kill 3:22 0.00 0 2:25 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 55:32 2.70 3 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 0:37 0.14 1 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 3:51 0.14 1 3:51 0.14 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 55:32 2.35 3
  • Ryan O'Reilly scores at 3:51 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (1-0)
  • Ryan O'Reilly scores at 4:28 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (2-0)
  • John Tavares scores at 7:14 in the 1st period 0.13 xG (3-0)
  • Michael Bunting scores at 12:09 in the 1st period 0.06 xG (4-0)
  • William Nylander scores at 14:36 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (5-0)
  • Jack Quinn scores at 5:12 in the 3rd period 0.07 xG (5-1)
  • Alex Tuch scores at 8:01 in the 3rd period 0.05 xG (5-2)
  • Jeff Skinner scores at 16:29 in the 3rd period 0.03 xG (5-3)
  • Ryan O'Reilly scores at 18:50 in the 3rd period (6-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TOR TOR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.72 1 1 2 20 15:53 7 0 0 1 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.42 0 0 0 21 15:54 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Alexander Kerfoot (C) 0.41 0 0 0 20 14:20 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Ryan O'Reilly (C) 0.39 3 1 4 21 16:38 5 +3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.36 1 1 2 22 18:28 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.32 1 3 4 20 15:14 3 +4 0 0 0 0 0
TOR David Kampf (C) 0.30 0 0 0 21 15:36 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Dylan Cozens (C) 0.27 0 0 0 22 14:32 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.27 0 1 1 22 18:01 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF JJ Peterka (R) 0.24 0 0 0 16 11:44 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.23 1 0 1 16 13:29 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.16 0 0 0 19 13:55 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Kyle Okposo (R) 0.14 0 0 0 19 15:10 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Zachary Aston-Reese (L) 0.13 0 0 0 15 10:44 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jeff Skinner (L) 0.10 1 0 1 22 16:27 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Michael Bunting (L) 0.09 1 0 1 19 13:51 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Victor Olofsson (L) 0.06 0 0 0 19 13:45 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.04 0 0 0 19 14:48 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Casey Mittelstadt (C) 0.04 0 1 1 18 16:03 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Pierre Engvall (L) 0.00 0 0 0 20 15:53 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Noel Acciari (C) 0.00 0 0 0 20 13:19 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Jost (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 14:40 0 -2 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 15:08 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Mitch Marner (R) 0.00 0 5 5 21 16:48 0 +4 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Henri Jokiharju (D) 0.21 0 1 1 32 23:22 3 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.17 0 1 1 34 26:04 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR TJ Brodie (D) 0.14 0 0 0 25 21:02 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.11 0 0 0 25 17:41 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ilya Lyubushkin (D) 0.08 0 0 0 20 14:32 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.05 0 0 0 31 23:51 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Mark Giordano (D) 0.01 0 0 0 27 19:53 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Justin Holl (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 21:10 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.00 0 1 1 27 21:34 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Timothy Liljegren (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 20:32 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 21 12:05 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Conor Timmins (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 14:51 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Craig Anderson (G) +4.60% 0.944 0.8 1 17 46:29 18 - 0
TOR Ilya Samsonov (G) -1.59% 0.906 -0.5 3 29 60:00 32 W 0
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -28.52% 0.600 -2.9 4 6 12:09 10 L 0