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Saturday, March 29, 2025
2:00 PM ET
Amalie Arena (MSGSN)
NYI
New York Islanders
3 – 5
Final
Tampa Bay Lightning
 TBL
67% xGF%
33% xGF%
NYI was expected to score 4.39 goals TBL was expected to score 2.20 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG NYI TBL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State New York Islanders Tampa Bay Lightning
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 5:21 1.32 1 0:17 0.14 1
Even Strength 54:22 3.06 2 54:22 2.06 3
Penalty Kill 0:17 0.00 0 5:21 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 41:30 1.72 2
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 16:28 0.43 1
Tied 2:02 0.08 0 2:02 0.05 1
Down 1 16:28 0.56 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 41:30 3.75 3 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 2:02 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (0-1)
  • ► Nick Perbix scores at 7:31 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (0-2)
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 17:57 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (0-3)
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 19:43 in the 2nd period 0.14 xG (0-4)
  • ► Ryan Pulock scores at 5:58 in the 3rd period 0.03 xG (1-4)
  • ► Marc Gatcomb scores at 7:47 in the 3rd period 0.02 xG (2-4)
  • ► Tony DeAngelo scores at 8:47 in the 3rd period 0.04 xG (3-4)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 19:46 in the 3rd period (3-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
NYI Anders Lee (L) 1.06 0 1 1 19 15:09 5 -3 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Kyle Palmieri (C) 0.54 0 0 0 23 18:08 5 -3 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.53 2 0 2 22 16:29 4 +3 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Simon Holmstrom (R) 0.45 0 0 0 21 14:12 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.44 1 3 4 23 19:43 6 +4 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Pierre Engvall (L) 0.36 0 0 0 20 16:09 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Bo Horvat (C) 0.31 0 0 0 22 19:04 3 -3 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Jean-Gabriel Pageau (C) 0.29 0 0 0 18 15:22 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Maxim Tsyplakov (R) 0.28 0 1 1 18 17:01 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.22 0 0 0 21 17:53 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
NYI Kyle MacLean (C) 0.22 0 0 0 15 11:46 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.15 1 1 2 24 18:26 3 +4 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Marc Gatcomb (C) 0.15 1 0 1 15 11:36 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Casey Cizikas (C) 0.12 0 0 0 20 15:44 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Hudson Fasching (R) 0.10 0 0 0 20 16:30 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.10 0 0 0 16 11:25 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.09 0 0 0 21 15:49 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.09 0 0 0 17 13:25 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.09 0 0 0 17 13:37 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.04 0 1 1 25 20:30 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.03 0 0 0 19 16:45 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Anthony Duclair (L) 0.02 0 0 0 17 11:05 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Luke Glendening (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 12:04 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
NYI Adam Pelech (D) 0.21 0 1 1 27 20:51 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.15 0 0 0 20 15:21 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Tony DeAngelo (D) 0.12 1 0 1 30 23:44 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Perbix (D) 0.12 1 0 1 19 12:41 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.07 0 2 2 29 22:03 1 +3 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Adam Boqvist (D) 0.05 0 1 1 22 19:48 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Ryan Pulock (D) 0.05 1 0 1 27 21:17 1 -2 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.03 0 0 0 23 21:31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Noah Dobson (D) 0.03 0 0 0 25 19:25 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.02 0 0 0 25 17:21 0 +3 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.01 0 1 1 22 20:37 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Alexander Romanov (D) 0.01 0 0 0 21 15:12 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.01 0 0 0 16 11:19 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Jonas Johansson (G) +3.65% 0.921 1.4 3 35 59:43 38 W 0
NYI Ilya Sorokin (G) -7.82% 0.826 -1.8 4 19 57:57 23 L 0