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Saturday, September 27, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
MTL
Montreal Canadiens
4 – 2
Final
Toronto Maple Leafs
 TOR
58% xGF%
42% xGF%
MTL was expected to score 3.41 goals TOR was expected to score 2.45 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG MTL TOR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Montreal Canadiens Toronto Maple Leafs
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 3:59 0.91 2 7:57 1.37 2
Even Strength 48:04 2.34 2 48:04 1.08 0
Penalty Kill 7:57 0.15 0 3:59 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 27:15 1.76 1 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 21:23 0.79 2 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 11:22 0.86 1 11:22 0.32 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 21:23 0.52 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 27:15 1.61 2
  • ► Alex Newhook scores at 11:22 in the 1st period 0.17 xG (1-0)
  • ► Riley Kidney scores at 9:34 in the 2nd period 0.16 xG (2-0)
  • ► John Tavares scores at 13:00 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (2-1)
  • ► Lane Hutson scores at 16:11 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (3-1)
  • ► Sean Farrell scores at 9:21 in the 3rd period 0.24 xG (4-1)
  • ► William Nylander scores at 16:07 in the 3rd period 0.27 xG (4-2)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
MTL MTL xWin%
—
Bayesian xGF% Analysis →
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
MTL Unknown (?) 0.46 1 1 2 19 15:36
MTL Owen Beck (C) 0.42 0 0 0 21 14:30
MTL Unknown (?) 0.40 1 0 1 16 11:51
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.36 0 0 0 23 18:32
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.35 1 1 2 23 19:07
TOR Unknown (?) 0.34 0 0 0 12 09:12
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.34 0 0 0 20 16:00
MTL Sammy Blais (L) 0.33 0 1 1 18 12:00
MTL Unknown (?) 0.28 0 0 0 17 13:08
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.27 1 0 1 25 18:22
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.26 0 0 0 23 15:11
MTL Alex Newhook (C) 0.25 1 1 2 23 19:06
MTL Zachary Bolduc (R) 0.25 0 1 1 19 15:29
MTL Unknown (?) 0.22 0 1 1 20 15:07
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.16 0 0 0 21 13:56
MTL Joe Veleno (C) 0.15 0 0 0 22 15:36
MTL Unknown (?) 0.09 0 1 1 19 15:55
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.08 0 0 0 21 15:28
MTL Oliver Kapanen (C) 0.01 0 0 0 21 17:49
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.00 0 0 0 24 17:23
TOR Michael Pezzetta (L) 0.00 0 0 0 13 08:53
MTL Unknown (?) 0.00 0 0 0 18 15:59
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.00 0 0 0 23 20:37
TOR Jacob Quillan (C) 0.00 0 0 0 15 12:20
MTL Unknown (?) 0.00 0 0 0 15 10:40
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
MTL Lane Hutson (D) 0.25 1 0 1 18 20:34
MTL Adam Engstrom (D) 0.11 0 0 0 21 17:51
MTL Arber Xhekaj (D) 0.09 0 0 0 21 21:33
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.07 0 1 1 27 21:47
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.06 0 0 0 24 22:31
MTL Alexandre Carrier (D) 0.06 0 1 1 21 20:45
TOR Matt Benning (D) 0.05 0 0 0 21 15:46
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.05 0 0 0 25 19:15
TOR Chris Tanev (D) 0.05 0 0 0 23 15:52
MTL Jayden Struble (D) 0.04 0 0 0 22 19:56
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.03 0 0 0 23 17:11
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI
TOR Artur Akhtyamov (G) +3.19% 0.909 0.4 1 10 16:38
MTL Unknown (G) +1.94% 0.913 0.4 2 21 60:00
TOR Anthony Stolarz (G) -5.23% 0.833 -0.9 3 15 40:00