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Thursday, October 2, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena (SCRIPPS)
FLA
Florida Panthers
2 – 5
Final
Tampa Bay Lightning
 TBL
35% xGF%
65% xGF%
FLA was expected to score 1.81 goals TBL was expected to score 3.36 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG FLA TBL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Florida Panthers Tampa Bay Lightning
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 19:46 0.60 1 13:43 1.47 3
Even Strength 26:31 0.90 0 26:31 1.86 2
Penalty Kill 13:43 0.32 1 19:46 0.03 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 13:33 0.74 1
Up 1 25:25 1.01 0 5:22 0.34 1
Tied 15:40 0.32 2 15:40 0.98 1
Down 1 5:22 0.16 0 25:25 1.30 2
Down 2+ 13:33 0.33 0 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Eetu Luostarinen scores at 11:52 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (1-0)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 19:19 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (1-1)
  • ► Seth Jones scores at 0:57 in the 2nd period 0.04 xG (2-1)
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 18:55 in the 2nd period 0.19 xG (2-2)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 1:05 in the 3rd period 0.09 xG (2-3)
  • ► Conor Geekie scores at 6:27 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (2-4)
  • ► Anthony Cirelli scores at 15:11 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (2-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
—
Bayesian xGF% Analysis →
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.55 2 1 3 20 22:08
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.44 0 3 3 15 17:11
FLA Eetu Luostarinen (C) 0.40 1 0 1 21 15:10
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.36 1 0 1 19 14:20
FLA Carter Verhaeghe (C) 0.36 0 0 0 20 16:11
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.30 0 0 0 20 14:52
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.27 0 1 1 23 15:42
FLA Sam Reinhart (C) 0.26 0 0 0 18 15:36
FLA Brad Marchand (L) 0.19 0 1 1 19 16:42
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.19 1 0 1 16 12:05
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.19 1 1 2 15 17:38
TBL Jack Finley (C) 0.16 0 0 0 16 12:54
FLA Jesper Boqvist (C) 0.15 0 0 0 24 16:41
TBL Mitchell Chaffee (R) 0.12 0 0 0 21 14:52
FLA Anton Lundell (C) 0.12 0 0 0 14 08:40
FLA Mackie Samoskevich (R) 0.11 0 0 0 18 15:20
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.09 0 0 0 20 17:48
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.08 0 1 1 22 14:41
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.03 0 0 0 6 04:26
FLA Jonah Gadjovich (L) 0.01 0 0 0 15 10:13
FLA Sam Bennett (C) 0.01 0 1 1 15 12:53
FLA A.J. Greer (L) 0.00 0 0 0 15 07:32
FLA Evan Rodrigues (C) 0.00 0 0 0 24 18:26
FLA Luke Kunin (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 13:32
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.23 0 0 0 27 22:31
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.19 0 0 0 18 15:44
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.11 0 0 0 24 22:41
FLA Jeff Petry (D) 0.07 0 0 0 26 20:47
FLA Seth Jones (D) 0.05 1 0 1 29 24:55
FLA Dmitry Kulikov (D) 0.04 0 0 0 26 16:21
FLA Niko Mikkola (D) 0.03 0 0 0 27 19:20
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.02 0 2 2 21 19:24
TBL Declan Carlile (D) 0.02 0 1 1 20 12:43
FLA Gustav Forsling (D) 0.02 0 1 1 27 19:32
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.02 0 0 0 15 11:54
FLA Aaron Ekblad (D) 0.00 0 0 0 21 14:09
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI
TBL Brandon Halverson (G) -1.03% 0.889 -0.2 2 16 59:38
FLA Daniil Tarasov (G) -4.98% 0.849 -1.6 5 28 59:43