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Saturday, October 4, 2025 (7:00 PM ET)
Little Caesars Arena | FDSNDET
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
5 – 6
Final/OT
Detroit Red Wings
 DET
39% xGF%
61% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 3.12 goals DET was expected to score 4.87 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 4 5 2 Cumulative xG TOR DET Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Detroit Red Wings
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 17:14 0.71 0 6:19 1.53 3
Even Strength 39:50 2.33 4 39:50 3.34 3
Penalty Kill 6:19 0.08 1 17:14 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 20:07 0.89 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 10:38 0.23 2 4:49 0.22 0
Tied 27:49 1.44 2 27:49 1.91 2
Down 1 4:49 0.55 1 10:38 1.22 2
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 20:07 1.52 2
  • ► Michael Brandsegg-Nygård scores at 11:08 in the 1st period 0.17 xG (0-1)
  • ► Logan Shaw scores at 15:57 in the 1st period 0.16 xG (1-1)
  • ► Nicholas Robertson scores at 17:45 in the 1st period 0.08 xG (2-1)
  • ► Patrick Kane scores at 5:04 in the 2nd period 0.19 xG (2-2)
  • ► Michael Pezzetta scores at 16:03 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (3-2)
  • ► Alex Nylander scores at 16:57 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (4-2)
  • ► Michael Brandsegg-Nygård scores at 12:33 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (4-3)
  • ► Cedric Pare scores at 12:48 in the 3rd period 0.16 xG (5-3)
  • ► Dylan Larkin scores at 17:19 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (5-4)
  • ► Albert Johansson scores at 19:29 in the 3rd period 0.03 xG (5-5)
  • ► Dylan Larkin scores at 3:23 in the OT period 0.15 xG (5-6)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
DET DET xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
DET Dylan Larkin (C) 0.95 2 0 2 24 20:50 4 -1 0 2
DET Marco Kasper (C) 0.62 0 1 1 23 17:13 4 0 2 0
DET Alex DeBrincat (R) 0.57 0 1 1 20 19:07 5 -1 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.56 1 0 1 23 21:38 5 0 0 0
DET Lucas Raymond (L) 0.49 0 2 2 24 20:32 3 -1 0 0
DET Patrick Kane (R) 0.47 1 2 3 22 19:30 4 -1 0 0
TOR Unknown (?) 0.44 1 0 1 23 12:52 3 +1 0 0
DET Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (R) 0.34 2 0 2 18 10:53 2 +1 0 1
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.33 0 1 1 23 22:53 2 0 0 0
TOR Unknown (?) 0.30 0 1 1 15 13:10 2 +2 0 0
DET Emmitt Finnie (C) 0.28 0 0 0 19 12:36 2 0 0 0
TOR Luke Haymes (C) 0.26 0 0 0 20 16:47 2 -1 0 0
DET Michael Rasmussen (C) 0.24 0 0 0 20 14:51 2 -1 2 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.23 0 0 0 19 19:10 2 -2 2 0
TOR Jacob Quillan (C) 0.21 0 0 0 21 16:41 1 -2 0 0
DET J.T. Compher (L) 0.18 0 2 2 26 13:48 2 +1 0 0
TOR Unknown (?) 0.16 1 1 2 12 10:02 1 +2 0 0
TOR Michael Pezzetta (L) 0.15 1 1 2 12 08:43 1 +3 2 0
TOR Unknown (?) 0.14 1 0 1 18 15:33 1 +1 0 0
DET Andrew Copp (C) 0.11 0 0 0 24 13:47 1 +1 0 0
TOR Unknown (?) 0.10 0 1 1 12 10:11 1 +2 0 0
DET Elmer Soderblom (L) 0.09 0 0 0 17 12:42 2 -2 0 0
DET Mason Appleton (C) 0.05 0 0 0 21 14:39 0 -2 2 0
TOR Unknown (?) 0.00 0 0 0 19 16:19 0 -1 2 0
TOR Unknown (?) 0.00 0 0 0 23 15:02 0 +2 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
TOR Dakota Mermis (D) 0.21 0 0 0 26 23:16 2 +2 0 0
DET Jacob Bernard-Docker (D) 0.15 0 0 0 21 14:01 2 +1 0 0
DET Moritz Seider (D) 0.10 0 0 0 31 28:49 3 -2 2 0
DET Ben Chiarot (D) 0.10 0 0 0 26 20:16 2 -2 0 0
DET Albert Johansson (D) 0.07 1 0 1 21 14:20 3 0 0 0
DET Axel Sandin-Pellikka (D) 0.07 0 2 2 26 17:47 1 -1 0 0
TOR Matt Benning (D) 0.02 0 0 0 26 16:43 1 0 0 0
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.00 0 1 1 30 22:41 1 0 2 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.00 0 0 0 31 22:21 0 +2 4 0
TOR Henry Thrun (D) 0.00 0 1 1 25 17:35 0 -2 0 0
DET Simon Edvinsson (D) 0.00 0 2 2 27 18:54 0 +1 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Dennis Hildeby (G) -2.20% 0.857 -0.3 2 12 30:47 14 - 0
TOR James Reimer (G) -2.95% 0.857 -0.8 4 24 32:36 28 O 0
DET John Gibson (G) -7.53% 0.800 -1.9 5 20 60:21 25 W 0