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Saturday, October 11, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena (FDSNDET)
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 – 6
Final
Detroit Red Wings
 DET
40% xGF%
60% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 2.52 goals DET was expected to score 3.72 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG TOR DET Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Detroit Red Wings
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:16 0.61 0 5:43 0.65 1
Even Strength 50:01 1.84 3 50:01 3.07 3
Penalty Kill 5:43 0.06 0 4:16 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 16:27 0.65 0 1:48 0.00 0
Up 1 16:01 0.19 1 15:55 0.22 0
Tied 9:49 0.50 1 9:49 0.72 2
Down 1 15:55 1.15 1 16:01 1.62 1
Down 2+ 1:48 0.03 0 16:27 1.15 1
  • ► Calle Jarnkrok scores at 2:27 in the 1st period 0.30 xG (1-0)
  • ► Nicolas Roy scores at 12:29 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (2-0)
  • ► Marco Kasper scores at 8:56 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (2-1)
  • ► Lucas Raymond scores at 14:55 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (2-2)
  • ► Patrick Kane scores at 18:10 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (2-3)
  • ► Max Domi scores at 2:38 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (3-3)
  • ► Lucas Raymond scores at 6:45 in the 3rd period 0.15 xG (3-4)
  • ► Simon Edvinsson scores at 18:12 in the 3rd period (3-5)
  • ► Andrew Copp scores at 19:55 in the 3rd period (3-6)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
DET DET xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.67 0 0 0 23 21:41 6 -1 2 0 0 0 0
DET Dylan Larkin (C) 0.64 0 1 1 24 21:56 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
DET Alex DeBrincat (R) 0.64 0 3 3 22 17:47 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (R) 0.50 0 0 0 17 11:23 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Marco Kasper (C) 0.43 1 0 1 18 13:49 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.41 1 0 1 21 14:53 3 -1 2 0 0 0 0
DET Patrick Kane (R) 0.38 1 2 3 19 16:25 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Lucas Raymond (L) 0.32 2 0 2 24 20:41 2 +3 0 1 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.32 0 0 0 24 21:19 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.30 1 0 1 15 08:20 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.26 1 1 2 19 10:47 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Emmitt Finnie (C) 0.24 0 1 1 19 13:46 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.16 0 0 0 19 19:58 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.14 0 0 0 18 11:22 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
DET J.T. Compher (L) 0.14 0 0 0 19 16:45 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.10 0 0 0 15 13:01 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.06 0 1 1 26 21:13 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Andrew Copp (C) 0.03 1 0 1 20 14:48 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Mason Appleton (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 13:07 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Jonatan Berggren (R) 0.00 0 0 0 14 08:47 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.00 0 0 0 3 01:17 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.00 0 0 0 18 15:45 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 16:35 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
DET Michael Rasmussen (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 10:17 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
DET Axel Sandin-Pellikka (D) 0.14 0 0 0 24 18:20 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
DET Albert Johansson (D) 0.12 0 1 1 18 13:17 2 +4 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.10 0 2 2 29 22:15 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Moritz Seider (D) 0.09 0 0 0 29 28:03 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
DET Jacob Bernard-Docker (D) 0.03 0 0 0 14 10:16 2 +3 0 0 0 0 0
DET Simon Edvinsson (D) 0.01 1 0 1 27 20:35 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Chris Tanev (D) 0.00 0 1 1 27 17:46 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.00 0 0 0 29 19:38 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 28 19:08 0 -2 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.00 0 0 0 25 17:00 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 20:35 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
DET Ben Chiarot (D) 0.00 0 0 0 26 23:58 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Anthony Stolarz (G) -0.85% 0.879 -0.3 4 29 58:24 33 L 0
DET Cam Talbot (G) -2.10% 0.870 -0.5 3 20 60:00 23 W 0